Vikings vs. Packers Prediction: Week 17 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – December 31, 2023

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The Minnesota Vikings (7-8) host a fellow NFC North team on Sunday, December 31, 2023, when they face the Green Bay Packers (7-8) at U.S. Bank Stadium.

Vikings vs. Packers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with oddsmakers listing the Vikings as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Vikings have -115 odds to pick up the win, while the Packers are listed at -105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 42 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Vikings vs. Packers Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBC
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: U.S. Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

Vikings

The Vikings are averaging 350.2 yards per game on offense this season (10th in NFL), and they are giving up 320.9 yards per game (13th) on the other side of the ball. Offensively, the Vikings rank 21st in the NFL with 20.9 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 10th in points allowed (320.9 points allowed per contest).

The Vikings own the 17th-ranked defense this season in terms of passing yards (225.5 allowed per game), and they’ve been better on offense, ranking third-best with 257.1 passing yards per game. The Vikings are totaling 93.1 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 27th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank ninth, surrendering 95.4 rushing yards per contest.

Offensively, the Vikings rank 14th in the NFL with a 40% third-down conversion rate. Meanwhile, they rank 24th in third-down percentage allowed (41.1%). The Vikings are surrendering 5 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (eighth in the NFL), while gaining 5.5 per play (eighth in the league) on offense this season. The Vikings have forced 21 total turnovers (18th in NFL) this season and have turned it over 30 times (30th in NFL) to register a turnover margin of -9, the third-worst in the league.

Packers

With 331.4 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Packers rank 17th in the NFL in 2023. Defensively, they rank 23rd, surrendering 352.9 total yards per contest. From an offensive angle, the Packers are accumulating 22.2 points per contest (11th-ranked). They rank 17th in the NFL defensively (22.1 points surrendered per game).

In terms of passing, the Packers rank 18th in the NFL (224.5 passing yards per game) and 13th on the other side of the ball (216.9 passing yards allowed per contest). The Packers’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in run defense this season, surrendering 135.9 rushing yards per game, which ranks third-worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank 18th with 106.9 rushing yards per contest.

From an offensive angle, the Packers are posting a 44.7% third-down conversion percentage (sixth-ranked). They rank 27th in the NFL on defense (42.4% third-down rate allowed). From an offensive standpoint, the Packers are posting 5.4 yards per play (11th-ranked). They rank 24th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (5.5 yards surrendered per play). The Packers own a 0 turnover margin this season, which ranks 15th in the NFL.

Vikings vs. Packers Injury Report

Vikings

Player Pos. Injury Status
Joshua Dobbs QB Gameday inactive Out
D.J. Wonnum OLB Quadricep Out
Byron Murphy CB Knee Out
Troy Dye LB Wrist Out
Hakeem Adeniji OT Gameday inactive Out
T.J. Hockenson TE Knee Out
Jalen Nailor WR Concussion Out
Mekhi Blackmon CB Shoulder Probable
Jordan Addison WR Ankle Probable

Packers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Christian Watson WR Hamstring Out
Robert Rochell CB Neck Probable
De’Vondre Campbell LB Neck Out
Jaire Alexander CB Suspension Out
Eric Stokes CB Hamstring Out
Caleb Jones OT Gameday inactive Out
Dontayvion Wicks WR Chest Out
Brenton Cox Jr. LB Gameday inactive Out

Vikings vs. Packers Betting Analysis

Vikings Betting Insights

The Vikings have put together a record of 7-5-3 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 1-point favorites or more, the Vikings have an ATS record of 3-3-1.

This season, Vikings games have hit the over five times.

Packers Betting Insights

The Packers have registered a 7-7-1 record against the spread this year. In games they have played as 1-point underdogs or more, the Packers have an ATS record of 6-4-1.

Packers games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under nine times this season. This season, the Packers have been the underdog 11 times and won five, or 45.5%, of those games.

The Packers are 4-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -105 or more on the moneyline.

Vikings vs. Packers Against The Spread & Betting Records

Vikings

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.8 46.6 43.1
Implied Team Total AVG 24.3 25.1 23.5
ATS Record 7-5-3 2-5-0 5-0-3
Over/Under Record 5-10-0 2-5-0 3-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 0-2 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-5 2-2 1-3

Packers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 41.8 42.1 41.5
Implied Team Total AVG 22.5 22.7 22.4
ATS Record 7-7-1 4-3-0 3-4-1
Over/Under Record 9-6-0 3-4-0 6-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-2 1-1 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-6 3-2 2-4

Players to Watch

Vikings

  • Joshua Dobbs has 2,464 passing yards in 13 games this year, averaging 189.5 per game with a 62.8% completion percentage and 13 touchdowns against 10 interceptions.
  • In addition to his passing stats, Dobbs also has 421 rushing yards (second on the Vikings), with six rushing touchdowns.
  • Jordan Addison has caught 63 passes on 95 targets for 826 total yards and nine touchdowns. He is averaging 4.2 catches and 55.1 yards per game in 15 games.
  • In the passing game, Justin Jefferson, has racked up 823 receiving yards and four touchdowns after catching 51 balls on 76 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 102.9 yards and 6.4 receptions over eight games.
  • In the ground game, Alexander Mattison averages 3.9 yards per attempt (28th in the NFL) and 47.1 yards per game for 659 total rushing yards. He’s still looking to score his first rushing TD of the season.
  • He’s added 27 catches (on 41 targets) for 174 receiving yards with three touchdowns. He’s averaging 12.4 receiving yards and 1.9 receptions per game.
  • On the defensive side, Danielle Hunter has 74 tackles, 21 TFL, 15.5 sacks, and two passes defended in 2023.
  • Camryn Bynum has 0.5 sacks in addition to his two TFL, 120 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • This season, Josh Metellus has recorded 2.5 sacks (fifth on the Vikings) to go with his seven TFL, 99 tackles, and one interception.
  • This season, Jordan Hicks has 96 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and one interception. He’s third on the Vikings in tackles.

Packers

  • Jordan Love has thrown for 3,587 yards this year, with 27 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions. He is completing 62.5% of his attempts while averaging 239.1 yards per game and 7 per attempt.
  • On the ground, Love has added three rushing touchdowns and 246 rushing yards (third on the Packers).
  • Jayden Reed has 54 catches for 592 yards and six receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 82 times and averages 3.9 receptions per game through 14 games played.
  • Romeo Doubs has put up 646 receiving yards and eight touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) on 56 receptions, while being targeted 89 times this season.
  • A.J. Dillon averages 41.9 rushing yards per game over 14 games (586 total yards), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Dillon has also caught 22 passes for 223 yards (seventh on the Packers). He’s been targeted 28 times and averages 15.9 yards per game.
  • In 2023, Quay Walker has amassed 0.5 sacks to go with five TFL, 103 tackles, and one interception through 12 games.
  • Rashan Gary has 39 tackles, six TFL, and nine sacks.
  • During the 2023 season, Preston Smith has 45 tackles, four TFL, and seven sacks through 15 games.
  • Kenny Clark has totaled 6.5 sacks (third on the Packers) as well as eight TFL and 41 tackles.

Vikings vs. Packers Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Vikings, and we expect that Vikings will cover the spread (Vikings -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 42 points.

How to Bet on Vikings vs. Packers

You can bet this Vikings vs. Packers pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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