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The Green Bay Packers (9-8) and San Francisco 49ers (12-5) square off in the NFC Divisional round of the NFL Playoffs at Levi’s Stadium on Saturday, January 20, 2024.
49ers vs. Packers Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the 49ers as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the 49ers have -470 odds to pick up the win, while the Packers are listed at +360 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 50.5 points.
Game Info
How to Watch 49ers vs. Packers Live?
- Game Day: Saturday, January 20, 2024
- Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Santa Clara, California
- Stadium: Levi’s Stadium
Betting Preview
49ers
On offense, the 49ers have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best in the NFL by averaging 398.4 yards per game. They rank eighth on defense (303.9 yards allowed per game). The 49ers have been thriving on both offense and defense, ranking third-best in scoring offense (28.9 points per game) and third-best in scoring defense (17.5 points allowed per game).
The 49ers rank 14th in pass defense this season (214.2 passing yards allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on offense, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 257.9 passing yards per game. The 49ers have been finding success on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking third-best in rushing offense (140.5 rushing yards per game) and third-best in rushing defense (89.7 rushing yards allowed per game).
The 49ers rank 23rd in third-down defense this season (40.9% third-down percentage allowed), but they’ve been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with a 47.5% third-down percentage. The 49ers sport the seventh-ranked defense this year in terms of yards per play (5 yards per play allowed), and they’ve been more effective offensively, ranking best with 6.6 yards per play. The 49ers own the fifth-best turnover margin in the league at +10, forcing 28 turnovers (fifth in NFL) while turning it over 18 times (sixth in NFL).
Packers
The Packers are generating 345.5 total yards per contest on offense this season (11th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 335.1 total yards per contest (17th-ranked). The Packers are compiling 22.5 points per game on offense this season (12th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 20.6 points per game (10th-ranked) on defense.
The Packers rank 12th in the NFL with 233.4 passing yards per game on offense, and they rank ninth with 206.8 passing yards ceded per game on the defensive side of the ball. The Packers’ defense has been bottom-five in run defense this season, ceding 128.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank 15th with 112.1 rushing yards per contest.
The Packers’ third-down defense ranks 25th in the NFL with a 41.1% third-down conversion percentage allowed, but they’ve been lifted up by their offense, which ranks fifth-best by posting a 47.1% third-down rate. From an offensive angle, the Packers are generating 5.6 yards per play (sixth-ranked). They rank 20th in the NFL defensively (5.4 yards allowed per play). After forcing 18 turnovers (23rd in NFL) and turning the ball over 18 times (sixth in NFL) this season, the Packers have the 16th-ranked turnover margin of 0.
49ers vs. Packers Injury Report
49ers
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Gray | WR | Shoulder | Out |
| Dre Greenlaw | LB | Achilles | Probable |
| Samuel Womack | CB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| T.Y. McGill | DT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Brandon Allen | QB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Jalen Graham | LB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Ronnie Bell | WR | Gameday inactive | Out |
Packers
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Dillon | RB | Thumb | Out |
| Kingsley Enagbare | LB | Knee | Out |
| Jaire Alexander | CB | Ankle | Probable |
| Isaiah McDuffie | LB | Neck | Probable |
| Caleb Jones | OT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Daniel Whelan | P | Illness | Probable |
| Malik Heath | WR | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Brenton Cox Jr. | LB | Gameday inactive | Out |
49ers vs. Packers Betting Analysis
49ers Betting Insights
The 49ers have covered the spread nine times over 17 games with a set spread. The 49ers are 4-2 ATS when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites.
49ers games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under nine times this season.
The 49ers played as a moneyline favorite of -470 or shorter in just two games last season, and they won both.
Packers Betting Insights
Packers posted a 9-7-1 record against the spread in the regular season, and are 1-0-0 in the playoffs.
Out of the 17 Packers games during the regular season, 10 hit the over, and one of one in the playoffs.
The Packers have not been bigger underdogs, including the regular season and postseason, than their +360 moneyline odds in this game.
49ers vs. Packers Against The Spread & Betting Records
49ers
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 44 | 43.9 | 44.1 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 26.2 | 26.8 | 25.8 |
| ATS Record | 9-8-0 | 3-5-0 | 6-3-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 9-7-1 | 5-3-0 | 4-4-1 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 12-5 | 5-3 | 7-2 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Packers
| Overall | Home | Away | Playoffs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 42.1 | 42.6 | 41.6 | 52 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 22.6 | 22.9 | 22.3 | 30 |
| ATS Record | 9-7-1 | 5-3-0 | 4-4-1 | 1-0-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 10-7-0 | 3-5-0 | 7-2-0 | 1-0-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 3-2 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 5-6 | 3-2 | 2-4 | 1-0 |
Players to Watch
49ers
- Christian McCaffrey has totaled 1,459 rushing yards (first in the NFL) with 14 touchdowns (91.2 yards per game across 16 games). His 5.4 yards per attempt rank second in the league.
- McCaffrey has been targeted 83 times in the receiving game and has 67 catches (4.2 per game) for 564 yards (35.3 per game) and seven TDs.
- Brock Purdy has passed for 4,280 yards (fifth in the NFL), 31 touchdowns (third in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He averages 267.5 yards per game and 9.6 per attempt, while completing 69.4%.
- He has added 144 rushing yards (9 per game) and two touchdowns on the ground.
- In 15 games played, Deebo Samuel is averaging 59.5 yards and four receptions per game to total 892 receiving yards and 60 catches. He’s been targeted 89 times, and has seven receiving touchdowns.
- Brandon Aiyuk averages 4.7 receptions and 83.9 yards per game, and has 1,342 total receiving yards (seventh in the NFL) and 75 catches. He’s gotten 105 total targets, and has caught seven touchdown passes.
- Over on defense, Fred Warner has 133 tackles, six TFL, three sacks, and four interceptions in 2023. His tackle total leads the 49ers.
- Nick Bosa has 53 tackles, 16 TFL, 10 sacks, and four passes defended.
- Dre Greenlaw has collected 120 tackles, five TFL, and 1.5 sacks this year. He’s second on the 49ers in tackles.
- This season, Charvarius Ward has 72 tackles, two TFL, and five interceptions. He’s fourth on the 49ers in tackles.
Packers
- Jordan Love has passed for 4,159 yards this year (to rank seventh in the NFL), with 32 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and 11 interceptions. He is completing 64.2% of his attempts while averaging 244.6 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
- He’s added 247 yards on the ground (third on the Packers), while scoring four rushing touchdowns. He’s averaging 14.5 yards per game and 4.9 per attempt.
- Jayden Reed has put together a 2023 stat sheet that includes 64 catches for 793 yards and eight receiving touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) over 16 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 94 targets and is averaging four receptions per game.
- Romeo Doubs has totaled 674 receiving yards and eight touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) on 59 receptions, while being targeted 96 times this season.
- Aaron Jones has 656 rushing yards (leading the Packers) and two rushing touchdowns, while averaging 59.6 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt (11th in the NFL).
- Jones has also caught 30 passes for 233 yards (seventh on the Packers), with one receiving touchdown. He’s been targeted 43 times and averages 21.2 yards per game.
- So far in 2023, Quay Walker has put up 2.5 sacks to go with seven TFL, 118 tackles, and one interception over 14 games.
- Rashan Gary’s stat sheet includes 44 tackles, seven TFL, nine sacks, and one pass defended.
- Preston Smith has 48 tackles, four TFL, eight sacks, and four passes defended in the 2023 campaign.
- Kenny Clark has totaled 7.5 sacks (third on the Packers) as well as nine TFL and 44 tackles.
49ers vs. Packers Predictions and Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is the 49ers, and we project that 49ers will cover the spread (49ers -10.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 50.5 points.
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