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The Denver Nuggets will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs.
The Nuggets are a 4.5-point favorite against the Timberwolves when the Nuggets and the Timberwolves square off. The matchup’s over/under is set at 208.5.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds
Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorite.
Denver vs. Minnesota Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Denver has -185 odds to win the game, while Minnesota is listed at +154 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 208.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
- Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
- TV: TNT
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends
The Nuggets have gone 38-42-2 against the spread this season. Denver has been the favorite in 72 games this season and won 53 (73.6%) of those contests. Games involving the Nuggets have hit the over 35 times this season.
The Timberwolves are 40-40-2 against the spread this season. Minnesota has been chosen as underdogs in 20 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (45%) in those games. This year, 41 of the Timberwolves’ games have gone over the point total.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Nuggets
Nikola Jokic’s numbers on the season are 26.4 points, 9.0 assists and 12.4 boards per contest. Michael Porter Jr. averages 16.7 points, 7.0 boards and 1.5 assists per game, shooting 48.4% from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.7 made 3-pointers per contest. Jamal Murray is posting 21.2 points, 6.5 assists and 4.1 boards per game. Aaron Gordon is averaging 13.9 points, 3.5 assists and 6.5 boards per contest.
Timberwolves
Anthony Edwards provides the Timberwolves 25.9 points, 5.4 boards and 5.1 assists per game. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks. Rudy Gobert gets 14.0 points, 12.9 boards and 1.3 assists per game, plus 0.7 steals and 2.1 blocks (sixth in league). Karl-Anthony Towns averages 21.8 points, 8.3 boards and 3.0 assists, making 50.4% of his shots from the field and 41.6% from 3-point range, with 2.2 treys per contest. The Timberwolves get 13.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.3 assists per game from Naz Reid.
What you need to know about the Nuggets
The Nuggets rank 14th in the NBA with 114.9 points per game so far this year. At the other end of the court, they rank sixth with 109.6 points allowed per contest. The Nuggets are averaging 44.4 rebounds per game (seventh-ranked in league). They are ceding 42.3 rebounds per contest (seventh-ranked). The Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are averaging 29.5 per game (third-best in NBA).
Denver scores 118.5 points per game when playing at home, compared to 111.2 points per game away from home, a difference of 7.3 points per contest. So far this year, Denver is sinking 11.7 threes per game (25th-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 37.4% (ninth-ranked) from beyond the arc. Denver ranks second-best in the NBA by ceding 11.2 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage allowed, it ranks eighth in the league at 35.5%.
The Nuggets are 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 games. Five of Denver’s past 10 games have hit the over. The Nuggets have seen an uptick in scoring recently, racking up 115.8 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.9 points more than the 114.9 they’ve scored this year. Denver has been more stingy on defense lately, giving up 107.6 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 109.6 points per game its opponents average on the 2023-24 season.
What you need to know about the Timberwolves
The Timberwolves are 18th in the NBA in points scored (113.0 per game) and best in points conceded (106.5). In 2023-24, Minnesota is 15th in the NBA in rebounds (43.6 per game) and fourth-best in rebounds allowed (41.4). The Timberwolves are 15th in the league in assists (26.6 per game) in 2023-24.
At home, the Timberwolves average 112.0 points per game. Away, they score 114.0. The Timberwolves are 15th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (12.6 per game) and third-best in 3-point percentage (38.7%). Defensively, Minnesota is third-best in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed per game at 11.4. It is sixth in 3-point percentage conceded at 35.4%.
The Timberwolves have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Minnesota has hit the over seven times. In its past 10 games, Minnesota is averaging 113.9 points per game, 0.9 more than its season average (113.0). In their last 10 games, the Timberwolves are surrendering 109.5 points per game, 3.0 more points than their season average (106.5).
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this game is Nuggets, and we predict that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Nuggets -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 208.5 points.
How to bet Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
You can bet on Denver vs. Minnesota at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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