Texans vs. Titans Prediction: Week 17 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – December 31, 2023

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On Sunday, December 31, 2023, the Tennessee Titans (5-10) hit the road for an AFC South matchup against the Houston Texans (8-7) at NRG Stadium.

Texans vs. Titans Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Texans as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Texans have -245 odds to pick up the win, while the Titans are listed at +200 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 44 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Texans vs. Titans Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: NRG Stadium

Betting Preview

Texans

The Texans are totaling 346.8 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 11th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 19th, giving up 338.3 yards per contest. The Texans are putting up 21.9 points per game on offense (15th in NFL), and they rank 17th on the other side of the ball with 22.1 points allowed per game.

The Texans are totaling 248.4 passing yards per game on offense (seventh in the NFL), and they rank 26th on the other side of the ball with 247.5 passing yards allowed per game. On the defensive side of the ball, the Texans have been a top-five unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking fifth-best by surrendering only 90.9 per game. They rank 23rd on offense (98.4 rushing yards per game).

The Texans rank 18th in third-down efficiency (38.5%) on offense and 19th in third-down percentage allowed (38.7%) on defense this season. The Texans are allowing 5.3 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (18th in the NFL), while accumulating 5.4 per play (11th in the league) on offense this season. With 22 forced turnovers (16th in NFL) against 14 turnovers committed (first in NFL), the Texans’ +8 turnover margin is the fourth-best in the league.

Titans

The Titans are generating 293.3 total yards per contest on offense this season (27th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 334.9 total yards per game (17th-ranked). The Titans rank 26th in the NFL with 18.3 points per contest on offense, and they rank 14th with 21.4 points given up per game on defense.

In terms of passing, the Titans rank 26th in the NFL (185.4 passing yards per game) and 18th defensively (225.7 passing yards allowed per contest). The Titans are posting 107.9 rushing yards per game on offense this season (17th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 109.2 rushing yards per game (14th-ranked) on defense.

The Titans’ offense has been sputtering on third down, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with a 33.9% third-down conversion rate. They have been better on defense, giving up a 37.9% third-down rate (13th-ranked). The Titans rank 25th in the NFL with 4.9 yards per play on offense, and they rank 15th with 5.2 yards ceded per play on the defensive side of the ball. The Titans have accumulated 12 forced turnovers (31st in NFL) and committed 18 turnovers (14th in NFL) this season for a -6 turnover margin that ranks 24th in the NFL.

Texans vs. Titans Injury Report

Texans

Player Pos. Injury Status
Maliek Collins DT Hip Out
Sheldon Rankins DT Ankle Probable
Jonathan Greenard DE Ankle Out
Steven Nelson CB Foot Probable
Josh Jones OT Gameday inactive Out
Case Keenum QB Gameday inactive Out
Andrew Beck FB Calf Out
Will Anderson Jr. DE Ankle Probable

Titans

Player Pos. Injury Status
Malik Willis QB Gameday inactive Out
Trevis Gipson OLB Gameday inactive Out
Calvin Throckmorton OG Gameday inactive Out
Kyle Philips WR Gameday inactive Out
Trevon Wesco TE Gameday inactive Out
Tre Avery CB Knee Out
Josh Whyle TE Knee Out

Texans vs. Titans Betting Analysis

Texans Betting Insights

The Texans have covered the spread seven times over 15 games with a set spread. The Texans have not covered the spread when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites (0-1).

This season, six Texans games have gone over the point total.

Titans Betting Insights

The Titans have compiled a 6-8-1 record against the spread this season. In games they have played as 5.5-point underdogs or more, the Titans have an ATS record of 1-2.

Titans games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season. This season, the Titans have been the underdog 12 times and won four, or 33.3%, of those games.

The Titans have a record of 1-2 when they’re set as an underdog of +200 or more by sportsbooks this season.

Texans vs. Titans Against The Spread & Betting Records

Texans

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.4 43.4 41.3
Implied Team Total AVG 23.1 23.0 23.3
ATS Record 7-8-0 3-5-0 4-3-0
Over/Under Record 6-9-0 3-5-0 3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-3 3-1 0-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-4 2-2 3-2

Titans

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 40.5 40.4 40.6
Implied Team Total AVG 22.3 21.9 22.7
ATS Record 6-8-1 4-3-1 2-5-0
Over/Under Record 5-10-0 3-5-0 2-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-1 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-8 3-3 1-5

Players to Watch

Texans

  • C.J. Stroud has thrown for 3,631 yards (10th in the NFL), 20 touchdowns and five interceptions this year. He is averaging 279.3 yards per game and 8.2 per attempt, while completing 62.4% of his passes.
  • He has also rushed for 143 yards (third on the Texans) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 11.0 rushing yards per game.
  • Nico Collins has 64 catches for 1,022 yards and seven TDs. In 13 games, he is averaging 4.9 catches and 78.6 yards per game.
  • Devin Singletary’s output on the ground this season includes 755 yards and three TDs. He is averaging 50.3 yards per game and 4.3 per attempt (15th in the NFL).
  • Singletary has 26 catches on 34 targets for 185 yards, but he has not scored a touchdown in the passing game.
  • Dalton Schultz has 52 receptions for 574 yards and five touchdowns. He’s been targeted 77 times in the passing game, and averages 4.0 receptions and 44.2 yards in 13 games played.
  • Over on the defensive side, Blake Cashman has 85 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and one interception in 2023. His tackle total leads the Texans.
  • Christian Harris has 83 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack this season.
  • Jalen Pitre has collected 70 tackles and 5.0 TFL this year. He’s third on the Texans in tackles.
  • Steven Nelson has four interceptions (fifth in the NFL) while adding 59 tackles and 11 passes defended.

Titans

  • Derrick Henry has rushed for 11 touchdowns this year, and has accumulated 972 total rushing yards (64.8 per game and 3.9 per attempt).
  • Henry’s offensive contributions include 28 receptions (1.9 per game) on 35 targets for 214 yards (14.3 per game), but he has not scored a touchdown in the passing game.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has 939 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 61 receptions, while being targeted 120 times.
  • Through eight games this season, Will Levis has amassed 1,792 passing yards, with eight touchdowns against four interceptions and completing 59.0% of his passes.
  • He’s added 57 yards on the ground (fourth on the Titans), with one rushing touchdown. He’s averaging 7.1 yards per game and 2.3 per attempt.
  • Tyjae Spears averages 28.5 rushing yards per game over 15 games (428 total yards), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Spears also has 315 receiving yards (21.0 per game) on 45 catches (3.0 per game). He has been targeted 61 times while he is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
  • Azeez Al-Shaair’s 2023 effort includes 145 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 2.0 sacks in 15 games. He leads the Titans and is sixth in the NFL in tackles.
  • Denico Autry has 48 tackles, 12.0 TFL, and 11.5 sacks.
  • Harold Landry has 9.5 sacks (second on the Titans) as well as 11.0 TFL and 64 tackles in the 2023 campaign.
  • Roger McCreary has 2.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL, 70 tackles, and one interception through 13 games.

Texans vs. Titans Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Texans, and we expect that Texans will cover the spread (Texans -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 44 points.

How to Bet on Texans vs. Titans

You can bet this Texans vs. Titans pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

Tip: If you want to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texans vs. Titans picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

What is a parlay? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to the best NFL betting sites.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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