Bears vs Texans Prediction: Week 3 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 2022

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Soldier Field is where the Houston Texans (0-1-1) will do battle with the Chicago Bears (1-1) on Sunday, September 25, 2022.

Bears vs. Texans Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing the Bears as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Bears have -150 odds to pick up the win, while the Texans are listed at +130 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 39 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Bears vs. Texans Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Soldier Field

Betting Preview

Bears

The Bears rank worst in total offense (216.0 yards per game), but they’ve been slightly better on defense, ranking 22nd with 372.5 yards allowed per game. The Bears rank 26th in scoring offense (14.5 points per game) and 12th in scoring defense (18.5 points allowed per game) this year. The Bears rank worst in passing offense (76.5 passing yards per game), but they’ve been a little better on defense, ranking seventh with 183.0 passing yards allowed per game. With 189.5 rushing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks worst in the NFL, the Bears have had to lean on their eighth-ranked running game (139.5 rushing yards per contest) to keep them in games. The Bears are averaging a 28.6% third-down conversion rate on offense this year (27th in NFL), and they are giving up a 50.0% third-down conversion rate (27th) on the other side of the ball. The Bears have been a bottom-five offense in terms of yards per play this season, ranking fourth-worst with 4.5 yards per play. On defense, they rank 16th in the NFL (5.6 yards per play allowed). The Bears have forced three total turnovers (10th in NFL) this season and have turned it over two times (10th in NFL) for a turnover margin of +1, 11th-ranked in the league.

Texans

The Texans have lots of room to get better, as they rank third-worst in total yards per game (266.5) and second-worst in total yards allowed per game (433.5). In terms of points scored the Texans rank 26th in the NFL (14.5 points per game), and they are ninth on defense (18.0 points allowed per contest). The Texans are putting up 188.0 passing yards per game on offense this season (24th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 270.5 passing yards per contest (27th-ranked) on defense. The Texans rank 27th in rushing yards per game (78.5), but they’ve been worse defensively, ranking third-worst in the NFL with 163.0 rushing yards surrendered per contest. The Texans rank third-worst in third-down conversion percentage (25.0%), but they’ve been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking eighth in the NFL with a 33.3% third-down rate allowed. The Texans’ offense has been bottom-five in yards per play this season, putting up 4.2, which ranks worst in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 16th, allowing 5.6 yards per play. At +2, the Texans have the seventh-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with three forced turnovers (10th in NFL) and one turnover committed (first in NFL).

Bears vs. Texans Injury Report

Bears

Bears: DB Jaylon Johnson: Questionable (Quad), DB Dane Cruikshank: Out (Hamstring), WR Velus Jones Jr.: Doubtful (Hamstring), TE Ryan Griffin: Out (Achilles), LB Matthew Adams: Out (Hamstring), FB Doug Kramer: Out (Foot), LB Roquan Smith: Questionable (Hip)

Texans

Texans: FB Austin Deculus: Out (Knee), TE Pharaoh Brown: Questionable (Shoulder), DB Isaac Yiadom: Out (Thigh), TE Brevin Jordan: Out (Ankle), FB Kurt Hinish: Questionable (Foot), FB Maliek Collins: Questionable (Knee), ILB Kevin Pierre-Louis: Out (Groin), FB Justin Britt: Out (Personal)

Bears vs. Texans Betting Analysis

Bears Betting Insights

The Bears have covered the spread one time over two games with a set spread. Bears games have yet to go over the total once this season. The Bears won all four of the games they were the moneyline favorite last season. The Bears played as a moneyline favorite of -150 or shorter in just two games last season, and they won both.

Texans Betting Insights

The Texans are 2-0-0 against the spread this year. The Texans are a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 3-point underdogs. Texans games have yet to go over the total once this season. The Texans have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. This season, the Texans have been at least a +130 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.

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Bears vs. Texans Against The Spread & Betting Records

Bears

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 40.3 38.5 42.0
Implied Total AVG 24.0 22.0 26.0
ATS Record 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 0-2-0 0-1-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-0 0-1

Texans

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.8 46.0 45.5
Implied Total AVG 27.5 27.0 28.0
ATS Record 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 0-2-0 0-1-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1-1 0-0-1 0-1

Players to Watch

Bears

  • Justin Fields has 191 passing yards in two games this year, averaging 95.5 per game with a 53.6% completion percentage and two touchdowns against two interceptions.
  • He has also rushed for 48 yards (third on the Bears) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 24.0 rushing yards per game.
  • David Montgomery has recorded 148 rushing yards (10th in the NFL) without a rushing TD (74.0 yards per game through two games). His 4.6 yards per attempt rank 24th in the NFL.
  • He’s caught five passes (on six targets) for 38 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He’s averaging 19.0 receiving yards and 2.5 catches per game.
  • Khalil Herbert’s output on the ground this season includes 83 yards and one TD. He’s averaging 41.5 yards per game and 6.4 per attempt (fifth in the NFL).
  • Equanimeous St. Brown averages 1.5 receptions and 28.5 yards per game, and has 57 total receiving yards and three catches. He’s gotten seven total targets, and has caught one touchdown pass.
  • Over on the defensive side, Roquan Smith has 20 tackles and 0.5 sacks in 2022. His tackle total leads the Bears and is ninth in the NFL.
  • Trevis Gipson has seven tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 2.0 sacks this season.
  • Eddie Jackson has recorded 12 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception so far this year.
  • Nicholas Morrow has 16 tackles and 1.0 TFL.

Texans

  • Davis Mills is averaging 5.6 passing yards per attempt (32nd in the NFL) and 208.5 yards per game this year, completing 56.0% of his passes on the way to 417 total yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions through two games.
  • O.J. Howard has 45 receiving yards and two touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) on three receptions, while being targeted three times.
  • Brandin Cooks has put up 136 receiving yards on 11 receptions, while being targeted 22 times this season.
  • Dameon Pierce averages 51.0 rushing yards per game over two games (102 total yards), but has not yet scored a rushing touchdown.
  • Jonathan Owens has amassed 25 tackles over two games in 2022.
  • Kamu Grugier-Hill has 23 tackles.
  • In the 2022 campaign, Christian Kirksey has 14 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and one interception through two games.
  • Derek Stingley Jr. has put up 15 tackles over two games.

Bears vs. Texans Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Bears, and we predict that Bears will cover the spread (Bears -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 39 points.

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How to Bet on Bears vs. Texans

You can bet on Bears vs. Texans at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Bears vs. Texans picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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