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In Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Boston Celtics will take on the Miami Heat.
The Celtics take the court as 10-point favorites against the Heat. The point total for the game is set at 204.5.
Celtics vs. Heat Odds
Point Spread for Celtics vs. Heat
The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with sportsbooks listing the Celtics as the favorite.
Boston vs. Miami Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Boston has -470 odds to win the game, while Miami is listed at +360 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 204.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET
- Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
- TV: TNT
Celtics vs. Heat Betting Trends
The Celtics have covered the spread 42 times over 82 games with a set spread. This season, Boston has been favored 79 times and won 63, or 79.7%, of those games. Games involving the Celtics have hit the over 43 times this season.
The Heat have covered the spread 40 times in 82 games with a set spread. Miami has come away with 11 wins in the 35 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season. Heat games have gone over the total 35 times this season.
Celtics vs. Heat Key Players to Watch
Celtics
Jayson Tatum’s numbers for the season are 26.9 points, 4.9 assists and 8.1 boards per contest. Jaylen Brown’s numbers on the season are 23.0 points, 5.5 boards and 3.6 assists per contest, shooting 49.9% from the floor and 35.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Derrick White puts up 15.2 points, 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per game, shooting 46.1% from the floor and 39.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.7 made 3-pointers per game. Kristaps Porzingis is posting 20.1 points, 2.0 assists and 7.2 boards per contest.
Heat
Bam Adebayo’s averages for the season are 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists, making 52.1% of his shots from the floor. Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 11.9 points, 3.8 boards and 2.6 assists, making 48.9% of his shots from the field. Duncan Robinson averages 12.9 points, 2.6 boards and 2.8 assists, making 45.0% of his shots from the field and 39.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 treys per game. Tyler Herro gets the Heat 20.8 points, 5.3 boards and 4.5 assists per contest, plus 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocks.
What you need to know about the Celtics
Things are clicking for the Celtics, who are scoring 120.6 points per game (second-best in NBA) and giving up 109.2 points per contest (fifth-best). The Celtics are top-five this season in rebounding, ranking second-best in the league with 46.3 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, they rank 14th with 43.3 rebounds allowed per contest. So far this year, the Celtics rank 14th in the league in assists, dishing out 26.9 per game.
Boston is averaging 123.1 points per game when playing at home. In away games, it is averaging 118.0 points per contest. In terms of three-point shooting, it’s been a dominant stretch for Boston, who is making 16.5 three-pointers per game (best in NBA) and shooting 38.8% from three-point land (second-best). With a 35.2% three-point percentage allowed this season, Boston is fourth-best in the NBA. It ranks 14th in the league by giving up 12.9 three-pointers per contest.
The Celtics have a 4-5-1 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Boston has gone over the total seven times. The Celtics have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 115.6 points per game in their last 10 contests, 5.0 points fewer than the 120.6 they’ve scored this year. The past 10 games have seen Boston concede 3.4 fewer points per game (105.8) than its season-long average (109.2).
What you need to know about the Heat
The Heat are the fifth-worst squad in the NBA in points scored (110.1 per game) but third-best in points allowed (108.4). Miami is 25th in the NBA in rebounds per game (42.3) and 11th in rebounds allowed (42.8). This season the Heat are ranked 18th in the league in assists at 25.8 per game.
In 2023-24 the Heat are scoring 4.0 more points per game at home (112.1) than away (108.1). In 2023-24, the Heat are 18th in the league in 3-point makes (12.5 per game) and 12th in 3-point percentage (37.0%). Miami is 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers conceded (13.0 per game) and fifth-best in 3-point percentage defensively (35.3%).
The Heat are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests. Eight of Miami’s last 10 games have gone over the total. Miami has played better offensively over its last 10 games, tallying 110.5 points per contest, 0.4 more than its season average of 110.1. The Heat are giving up 107.2 points per game over their past 10 games, which is 1.2 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (108.4).
Celtics vs. Heat Prediction & Pick
Our prediction to win this contest is Celtics, and we project that Heat will cover the spread (Celtics -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 204.5 points.
How to bet Celtics vs. Heat
You can bet on Boston vs. Miami at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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