Indiana vs. Milwaukee Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, April 26, 2024

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The Indiana Pacers will meet the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs.

The Pacers take the court as 6.5-point favorites against the Bucks. The game’s point total is set at 223.

Pacers vs. Bucks Odds

Point Spread for Pacers vs. Bucks

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Pacers as the favorite.

Indiana vs. Milwaukee Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Indiana has -245 odds to win the game, while Milwaukee is listed at +200 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 223 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Friday, April 26, 2024 at 5:30 PM ET
  • Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
  • TV: ESPN

Pacers vs. Bucks Betting Trends

The Pacers have covered the spread 44 times over 82 games with a set spread. Indiana has been the favorite in 44 games this season and won 27 (61.4%) of those contests. Pacers games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 42 times this season.

The Bucks have covered the spread in a matchup 35 times this year (35-46-1). Milwaukee has been an underdog in 15 games this season and has come away with the win four times (26.7%) in those contests. Bucks games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 41 times this season.

Pacers vs. Bucks Key Players to Watch

Pacers

Pascal Siakam puts up 21.7 points, 7.1 boards and 4.3 assists per game, making 53.6% of shots from the field and 34.6% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Tyrese Haliburton posts 20.1 points, 3.9 boards and 10.9 assists per contest, shooting 47.7% from the floor and 36.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 made 3-pointers per game. Myles Turner averages 17.1 points, 6.9 boards and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 52.4% from the field and 35.8% from downtown, with 1.5 made 3-pointers per game. T.J. McConnell’s numbers on the season are 10.2 points, 2.7 boards and 5.5 assists per game, shooting 55.6% from the field.

Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo gives the Bucks 30.4 points, 11.5 boards and 6.5 assists per game. He also averages 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocks. Damian Lillard averages 24.3 points, 4.4 boards and 7.0 assists, making 42.4% of his shots from the field and 35.4% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 treys per contest (ninth in NBA). The Bucks get 13.8 points, 7.4 boards and 1.3 assists per game from Bobby Portis. Brook Lopez’s averages for the season are 12.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists, making 48.5% of his shots from the field and 36.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 treys per game.

What you need to know about the Pacers

Although the Pacers are surrendering 120.2 points per game (fourth-worst in NBA) on defense, their offense has been excellent, as they rank best in the league by scoring 123.3 points per game. The Pacers are averaging only 41.5 rebounds per game (third-worst in NBA), and they are allowing 43.4 boards per contest (15th-ranked). With 30.8 assists per game, the Pacers rank best in the league in the category.

Indiana is putting up 125.5 points per game this season in home games, which is 4.5 more points than it is averaging away from home (121.0). Indiana is 10th in the NBA with 13.2 three-pointers per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks ninth with a 37.4% shooting percentage from downtown. Indiana is top-five this year in three-pointers allowed, currently best in the league with 10.7 treys allowed per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 16th with a 36.5% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Pacers are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 games. Seven of Indiana’s past 10 games have gone over the total. The Pacers’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, putting up 123.2 points a contest compared to the 123.3 they’ve averaged this year. Indiana has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 112.7 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 120.2 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2023-24 season.

What you need to know about the Bucks

In 2023-24, the Bucks are fourth-best in the NBA offensively (119.0 points scored per game) and ranked 21st defensively (116.4 points conceded). In 2023-24, Milwaukee is eighth in the NBA in rebounds (44.2 per game) and 18th in rebounds allowed (44.0). At 26.5 assists per game, the Bucks are 17th in the NBA.

The Bucks are putting up more points at home (121.2 per game) than away (116.7). The Bucks are the fifth-best squad in the NBA in 3-pointers made (14.2 per game) and 11th in 3-point percentage (37.3%). Giving up 12.6 3-pointers per game and conceding 35.6% from beyond the arc, Milwaukee is 12th and ninth in the league, respectively, in those categories.

The Bucks are 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Milwaukee has gone over the total five times. Milwaukee is putting up 106.7 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 12.3 fewer points than its average for the season (119.0). The Bucks have played better defensively in their past 10 games, ceding 111.4 points per contest, 5.0 fewer points than their season average of 116.4 allowed.

Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Pacers, and we predict that Bucks will cover the spread (Pacers -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 223 points.

How to bet Pacers vs. Bucks

You can bet on Indiana vs. Milwaukee at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Indiana vs. Milwaukee picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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