Phoenix vs. Minnesota Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, April 26, 2024

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The Phoenix Suns and Minnesota Timberwolves are meeting in the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, with Game 3 next to come.

The Suns hit the court as 5-point favorites against the Timberwolves. The game features a point total of 208.

Suns vs. Timberwolves Odds

Point Spread for Suns vs. Timberwolves

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Suns as the favorite.

Phoenix vs. Minnesota Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Phoenix has -198 odds to win the game, while Minnesota is listed at +164 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 208 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Friday, April 26, 2024 at 10:30 PM ET
  • Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona
  • TV: ESPN

Suns vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Suns have covered the spread 35 times this season (35-45-2). Phoenix has been the favorite in 60 games this season and won 39 (65%) of those contests. This season, 36 of the Suns’ games have gone over the point total.

The Timberwolves have registered a 40-40-2 record against the spread this year. Minnesota has been chosen as underdogs in 20 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (45%) in those games. This season, 41 of the Timberwolves’ games have gone over the point total.

Suns vs. Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

Suns

Kevin Durant is posting 27.1 points, 5.0 assists and 6.6 boards per contest. Devin Booker is averaging 27.1 points, 6.9 assists and 4.5 boards per game. Jusuf Nurkic puts up 10.9 points, 11.0 boards and 4.0 assists per contest, shooting 51.0% from the field. Grayson Allen’s numbers for the season are 13.5 points, 3.9 boards and 3.0 assists per game, shooting 49.9% from the floor and 46.1% from downtown (first in league), with 2.7 made 3-pointers per game.

Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards averages 25.9 points, 5.4 boards and 5.1 assists, making 46.1% of his shots from the floor and 35.7% from 3-point range, with 2.4 triples per contest. Rudy Gobert’s averages on the season are 14.0 points, 12.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, making 66.1% of his shots from the field (second in league). The Timberwolves get 21.8 points, 8.3 boards and 3.0 assists per game from Karl-Anthony Towns. Naz Reid provides the Timberwolves 13.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.3 assists per contest, plus 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocks.

What you need to know about the Suns

The Suns are 10th in the NBA with 116.2 points per game this season. At the other end of the court, they rank 13th with 113.2 points allowed per game. With 41.3 rebounds allowed per game, the Suns rank third-best in the league. They rank 10th in the league by averaging 44.1 rebounds per contest. So far this season, the Suns rank 12th in the league in assists, averaging 27.0 per game.

Offensively, Phoenix scores 115.8 points per game in home games, compared to 116.7 points per game away from home. Phoenix is making 12.4 treys per game this year (20th-ranked in NBA), and it has a 38.2% three-point percentage (fifth-best). Phoenix is 18th in the NBA with 13.1 three-pointers allowed per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 15th with a 36.4% shooting percentage allowed from three-point land.

The Suns have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in their last 10 contests. Phoenix has hit the over in four of its past 10 games. The Suns have been scoring 108.5 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s significantly lower than the 116.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 campaign. Phoenix has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 106.3 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 113.2 it has conceded per game this year.

What you need to know about the Timberwolves

Offensively, the Timberwolves are the 18th-ranked team in the league (113.0 points per game). On defense, they are best (106.5 points allowed per game). On the glass, Minnesota is 15th in the NBA in rebounds (43.6 per game). It is fourth-best in rebounds conceded (41.4 per game). At 26.6 assists per game, the Timberwolves are 15th in the NBA.

At home, the Timberwolves average 112.0 points per game. Away, they score 114.0. The Timberwolves are 15th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (12.6 per game) and third-best in 3-point percentage (38.7%). Defensively, Minnesota is third-best in the league in 3-pointers conceded per game at 11.4. It is sixth in 3-point percentage allowed at 35.4%.

The Timberwolves are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 games. Seven of Minnesota’s last 10 outings have hit the over. Over its previous 10 games, Minnesota is averaging 113.7 points per contest, 0.7 more than its season average (113.0). The Timberwolves are allowing 106.1 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.4 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (106.5).

Suns vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Timberwolves, and we project that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Suns -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 208 points.

How to bet Suns vs. Timberwolves

You can bet on Phoenix vs. Minnesota at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Phoenix vs. Minnesota picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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