Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction: Week 18 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – January 6, 2024

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As they aim to prolong a six-game winning streak, the Baltimore Ravens (13-3) host the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) at M&T Bank Stadium on Saturday, January 6, 2024.

Steelers vs. Ravens Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing the Steelers as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Steelers have -155 odds to pick up the win, while the Ravens are listed at +130 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 33.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Steelers vs. Ravens Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 6, 2024
  • Game Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: M&T Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

Steelers

The Steelers are totaling 305.3 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 25th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 22nd, giving up 349.5 yards per game. The Steelers are totaling 17.9 points per game offensively this season (27th in NFL), and they are giving up 19.6 points per game (seventh) on the other side of the ball.

The Steelers are compiling 189.3 passing yards per game on offense (25th in the NFL), and they rank 22nd on the other side of the ball with 233.9 passing yards allowed per game. On offense, the Steelers rank 12th in the NFL with 115.9 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 18th in rushing yards allowed per contest (115.6).

The Steelers are averaging a 36.4% third-down percentage offensively this year (23rd in NFL), and they are surrendering a 39.5% third-down conversion rate (21st) on defense. The Steelers are accumulating 5.1 yards per play (18th in the league), while giving up 5.5 per play on the defensive side of the ball (25th in the NFL) this season. With 25 forced turnovers (10th in NFL) against 14 turnovers committed (first in NFL), the Steelers’ +11 turnover margin is the second-best in the NFL.

Ravens

Things have been going well for the Ravens on both sides of the ball, as they are averaging 379.5 total yards per game (fourth-best) and ceding just 302.1 total yards per game (fourth-best). The Ravens have dominated on both sides of the ball this season, ranking second-best in points per game (29.6) and best in points allowed per game (16.4).

In terms of passing, the Ravens rank 21st in the NFL (219.8 passing yards per game) and sixth defensively (195.6 passing yards allowed per contest). The Ravens’ run offense has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 159.7 rushing yards per game. In terms of defense, they are surrendering 106.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks 13th.

The Ravens are generating a 42.8% third-down conversion rate on offense this season (seventh-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing a 36.2% third-down rate (sixth-ranked) on defense. Things have been going well for the Ravens on both offense and defense, as they are putting up 6 yards per play (third-best) and surrendering only 4.6 yards per play (second-best). In terms of turnover margin, the Ravens are the best in the NFL this season. The team’s margin sits at +12, as they’ve forced 29 turnovers and committed 17.

Steelers vs. Ravens Injury Report

Steelers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Mitchell Trubisky QB Gameday inactive Out
Elandon Roberts LB Pectoral Probable
Trenton Thompson DB Neck Out
Blake Martinez LB Gameday inactive Out
DeMarvin Leal DE Gameday inactive Out
Darius Rush CB Gameday inactive Out
Dylan Cook OT Gameday inactive Out

Ravens

Player Pos. Injury Status
Lamar Jackson QB Rest Out
Daryl Worley DB Shoulder Out
Marlon Humphrey CB Calf Out
Arthur Maulet CB Hip Probable
Brandon Stephens DB Ankle Probable
Kevin Zeitler OG Knee Out
Tylan Wallace WR Knee Probable
Malik Harrison LB Groin Out
Ronald Darby CB Illness Probable
Zay Flowers WR Calf Out
Odell Beckham Jr. WR Rest Out

Steelers vs. Ravens Betting Analysis

Steelers Betting Insights

The Steelers are 9-7-0 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 3-point favorites or more, the Steelers have an ATS record of 2-3.

Steelers games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season.

Ravens Betting Insights

The Ravens have covered the spread 11 times in 16 games with a set spread. The Ravens are a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.

Games involving Ravens have hit the over eight times this year. The Ravens have won both games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Ravens are undefeated in two games this season when they’re the underdog by +130 or more on the moneyline.

Steelers vs. Ravens Against The Spread & Betting Records

Steelers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 39.1 38.4 40.1
Implied Team Total AVG 21.4 21.2 21.6
ATS Record 9-7-0 5-4-0 4-3-0
Over/Under Record 6-10-0 4-5-0 2-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-3 2-2 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 6-4 3-2 3-2

Ravens

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.8 43.6 43.9
Implied Team Total AVG 24.7 24.9 24.5
ATS Record 11-5-0 5-3-0 6-2-0
Over/Under Record 8-8-0 5-3-0 3-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 11-3 6-2 5-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-0 0-0 2-0

Players to Watch

Steelers

  • Najee Harris‘ rushing stat line this season includes 923 yards and seven TDs. He is averaging 57.7 yards per game and 4 per attempt (23rd in the NFL).
  • George Pickens has caught 63 passes on 106 targets for 1,140 total yards and five touchdowns. He is averaging 3.9 catches and 71.3 yards per game in 16 games.
  • Jaylen Warren’s output on the ground this season includes 751 yards and four TDs. He is averaging 46.9 yards per game and 5.4 per attempt (second in the NFL).
  • Warren has 56 catches on 69 targets for 353 yards, though he has yet to score a touchdown in the passing game.
  • Kenny Pickett has thrown for 2,070 yards, six touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He averages 172.5 yards per game and 6.4 per attempt, while completing 62%.
  • He has added 54 rushing yards (4.5 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
  • Over on defense, T.J. Watt has 60 tackles, 16 TFL, 17 sacks, and one interception in 2023.
  • Alex Highsmith has 54 tackles, eight TFL, seven sacks, and two interceptions this season.
  • This season, Elandon Roberts has recorded 2.5 sacks as well as 10 TFL and 99 tackles.
  • This season, Larry Ogunjobi has 42 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks.

Ravens

  • Gus Edwards has rushed for 13 touchdowns this year, and has put up 762 total rushing yards (47.6 per game and 4.1 per carry).
  • On top of his impact in the run game, Edwards has caught 12 passes (on 13 targets) for 180 yards (seventh on the Ravens). He’s averaging 11.3 yards per game.
  • Justice Hill has 387 rushing yards (fourth on the Ravens) and three rushing touchdowns, while averaging 25.8 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt.
  • Hill has added 25 receptions (1.7 per game) for 180 yards (12 per game) with one receiving touchdown. He’s been targeted 29 times in the passing attack.
  • Isaiah Likely has put up 380 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 28 receptions, while being targeted 38 times this season.
  • Nelson Agholor has 30 catches for 342 yards and four receiving touchdowns. He averages 1.9 yards per game through 16 games and has been targeted 40 times.
  • Roquan Smith has 1.5 sacks to go with five TFL, 158 tackles, and one interception over 16 games in 2023.
  • Patrick Queen has 3.5 sacks (fifth on the Ravens) to go with nine TFL, 125 tackles, and one interception.
  • Justin Madubuike has 13 sacks (first on the Ravens) in addition to his 12 TFL and 54 tackles.
  • Jadeveon Clowney’s season stats include 38 tackles, eight TFL, and 8.5 sacks through 16 games.

Steelers vs. Ravens Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is the Ravens, and we expect that Ravens will cover the spread (Steelers -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 33.5 points.

How to Bet on Steelers vs. Ravens

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You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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