Denver vs. Minnesota Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Monday, May 6, 2024

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The Denver Nuggets will play the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs.

The Nuggets are a 6.5-point favorite against the Timberwolves when the Nuggets and the Timberwolves meet. The game features a point total of 207.5.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds

Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorite.

Denver vs. Minnesota Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Denver has -265 odds to win the game, while Minnesota is listed at +215 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 207.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Monday, May 6, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: TNT

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Nuggets have registered a 38-42-2 record against the spread this season. Denver has entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 53, or 73.6%, of those games. Games involving the Nuggets have hit the over 35 times this season.

The Timberwolves have put together a record of 40-40-2 against the spread this season. Minnesota has been victorious in nine, or 45%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season. Timberwolves games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 41 times this year.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

Nuggets

Nikola Jokic’s numbers for the season are 26.4 points, 9.0 assists and 12.4 boards per game. Michael Porter Jr. averages 16.7 points, 7.0 boards and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.7 made 3-pointers per game. Jamal Murray averages 21.2 points, 4.1 boards and 6.5 assists per contest, shooting 48.1% from the field and 42.5% from beyond the arc (10th in league), with 2.5 made 3-pointers per game. Aaron Gordon’s numbers for the season are 13.9 points, 6.5 boards and 3.5 assists per game, shooting 55.6% from the floor.

Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards gets the Timberwolves 25.9 points, 5.4 boards and 5.1 assists per contest. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks. Rudy Gobert averages 14.0 points, 12.9 boards and 1.3 assists, making 66.1% of his shots from the floor (second in league). Karl-Anthony Towns averages 21.8 points, 8.3 boards and 3.0 assists, making 50.4% of his shots from the field and 41.6% from 3-point range, with 2.2 triples per contest. The Timberwolves receive 13.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.3 assists per game from Naz Reid.

What you need to know about the Nuggets

Offensively, the Nuggets are putting up 114.9 points per game (14th-ranked in league). They are ceding 109.6 points per contest on defense (sixth-ranked). With 44.4 rebounds per game, the Nuggets rank seventh in the NBA. They give up 42.3 rebounds per contest, which ranks seventh in the league. With 29.5 dimes per game, the Nuggets rank third-best in the league in the category.

Offensively Denver has performed better in home games this season, putting up 118.5 points per game, compared to 111.2 per game away from home. This year, Denver is making 11.7 treys per game (25th-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 37.4% (ninth-ranked) from three-point land. Denver is top-five this year in three-pointers allowed, currently second-best in the league with 11.2 threes ceded per game. Meanwhile, it ranks eighth with a 35.5% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Nuggets have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their past 10 games. Four of Denver’s past 10 contests have gone over the total. The Nuggets’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, putting up 111.5 points a contest compared to the 114.9 they’ve averaged this year. Denver’s defense has been tougher as of late, as the team has given up 107.2 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 109.6 points per game its opponents average on the season.

What you need to know about the Timberwolves

On offense, the Timberwolves are the 18th-ranked squad in the league (113.0 points per game). On defense, they are best (106.5 points allowed per game). On the glass, Minnesota is 15th in the league in rebounds (43.6 per game). It is fourth-best in rebounds allowed (41.4 per game). This season the Timberwolves are ranked 15th in the NBA in assists at 26.6 per game.

The Timberwolves are scoring fewer points at home (112.0 per game) than on the road (114.0). Beyond the arc, the Timberwolves are 15th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (12.6). They are third-best in 3-point percentage at 38.7%. In 2023-24 Minnesota is third-best in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (11.4 per game) and sixth in defensive 3-point percentage (35.4%).

The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall in their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Minnesota has gone over the total seven times. Minnesota has fared better offensively over its past 10 games, posting 115.8 points per contest, 2.8 more than its season average of 113.0. The Timberwolves are allowing 109.7 points per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 3.2 more points than they are allowing for the season (106.5).

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Nuggets, and we expect that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Nuggets -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 207.5 points.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

You can bet on Denver vs. Minnesota at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Denver vs. Minnesota picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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