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On Sunday, December 31, 2023, the New Orleans Saints (7-8) visit a red-hot Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7) team at Raymond James Stadium. The Buccaneers are looking to keep on rolling after winning four games in a row.
Buccaneers vs. Saints Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing the Buccaneers as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Buccaneers have -148 odds to pick up the win, while the Saints are listed at +124 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 42.5 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Buccaneers vs. Saints Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Tampa, Florida
- Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
Betting Preview
Buccaneers
The Buccaneers are compiling 316.3 yards per game on offense (23rd in NFL), and they rank 24th defensively with 356.2 yards allowed per game. The Buccaneers are putting up 21.7 points per game on offense (17th in NFL), and they rank 11th on defense with 20.1 points allowed per game.
Despite having a bottom-five pass defense that ranks worst in the NFL (264.1 passing yards allowed per game), the Buccaneers have played better on the other side of the ball, ranking 17th in the NFL by averaging 227.0 passing yards per game. While the Buccaneers’ run defense ranks seventh with 92.1 rushing yards allowed per game, they’ve been less successful on offense, ranking third-worst (89.3 rushing yards per game).
The Buccaneers are putting up a 42.5% third-down conversion rate on offense (eighth in the NFL), and they rank 26th on defense with a 42.1% third-down conversion rate allowed. The Buccaneers are averaging 5.1 yards per play on offense, which ranks them 16th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 26th, surrendering 5.6 yards per play. The Buccaneers have forced 24 total turnovers (seventh in NFL) this season and have turned it over 14 times (first in NFL) for a turnover margin of +10, the best in the league.
Saints
The Saints rank 14th with 334.8 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 14th with 321.6 total yards given up per contest on defense. The Saints rank 13th in the NFL with 22.1 points per game on offense, and they rank ninth with 19.8 points given up per contest on defense.
From an offensive standpoint, the Saints are generating 236.1 passing yards per contest (12th-ranked). They rank seventh in the NFL on the other side of the ball (194.7 passing yards allowed per game). The Saints are generating 98.7 rushing yards per game on offense this season (21st-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 126.9 rushing yards per game (25th-ranked) on defense.
The Saints rank 16th in the NFL with a 38.6% third-down conversion percentage, but they’ve been lifted up by their defense, which ranks fourth-best by surrendering a 34.8% third-down rate. The Saints rank 16th in the NFL with 5.1 yards per play on offense, and they rank 11th with 5.1 yards surrendered per play on the defensive side of the ball. The Saints own a +4 turnover margin this season, which ranks ninth in the NFL.
Buccaneers vs. Saints Injury Report
Buccaneers
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Wolford | QB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Shaquil Barrett | OLB | Groin | Out |
| JJ Russell | ILB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Ko Kieft | TE | Shoulder | Out |
| Carlton Davis | CB | Concussion | Out |
Saints
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | RB | Illness | Probable |
| Ryan Ramczyk | OT | Knee | Out |
| Monty Rice | LB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Cameron Dantzler | CB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Lonnie Johnson Jr. | CB | Knee | Out |
| Kendre Miller | RB | Ankle | Out |
| Isaiah Foskey | DE | Quad | Out |
| Lou Hedley | P | Illness | Probable |
| Jake Haener | QB | Gameday inactive | Out |
Buccaneers vs. Saints Betting Analysis
Buccaneers Betting Insights
The Buccaneers have compiled a 10-5-0 record against the spread this season. The Buccaneers are winless against the spread when they are 3-point favorites or more (0-2).
Buccaneers games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season.
Saints Betting Insights
The Saints have covered the spread four times this season (4-10-1). The Saints have yet to cover the spread when playing as at least 3-point underdogs (0-2).
Games involving Saints have hit the over five times this year. The Saints have entered the game as underdogs three times this season and won once.
The Saints have not won as an underdog of +124 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
Buccaneers vs. Saints Against The Spread & Betting Records
Buccaneers
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 41.5 | 40.8 | 42.2 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 23.2 | 22.1 | 24.1 |
| ATS Record | 10-5-0 | 3-4-0 | 7-1-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 6-9-0 | 2-5-0 | 4-4-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 5-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 |
Saints
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 41.8 | 41.8 | 41.8 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 22.9 | 23.6 | 22.3 |
| ATS Record | 4-10-1 | 2-5-0 | 2-5-1 |
| Over/Under Record | 5-10-0 | 2-5-0 | 3-5-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 6-6 | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
Players to Watch
Buccaneers
- Baker Mayfield has 3,598 passing yards, 26 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and eight interceptions this year. He has completed 64.3% of his passes, averaging 239.9 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
- In addition to his passing statistics, Mayfield also has 157 rushing yards (second on the Buccaneers), with one rushing touchdown.
- Mike Evans has 73 receptions for 1,163 yards (ninth in the NFL) and 13 TDs. Through 15 games, he is averaging 4.9 catches and 77.5 yards per game.
- In 15 games, Rachaad White has amassed 873 yards on the ground, averaging 58.2 yards per game and scoring six touchdowns.
- White has totaled 56 catches on 62 targets for 507 yards, with three receiving TDs.
- Chris Godwin has 74 receptions for 892 yards and one touchdown. He’s been targeted 119 times in the passing game, and averages 4.9 receptions and 59.5 yards through 15 games played.
- On the defensive side, Antoine Winfield Jr. has three interceptions to go with 110 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 5.0 sacks, and 12 passes defended in 2023.
- Lavonte David has 113 tackles, 17.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks this season. He leads the Buccaneers in tackles.
- Devin White has put up 73 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and two interceptions this year.
- This season, Yaya Diaby has 31 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks.
Saints
- Derek Carr is averaging 7.0 passing yards per attempt (16th in the NFL) and 227.8 yards per game this year, completing 67.4% of his passes on the way to 3,417 total yards, 19 touchdowns and eight interceptions through 15 games.
- Alvin Kamara averages 54.1 rushing yards per game through 12 games (649 total yards), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
- Kamara has also collected 462 receiving yards (38.5 per game) on 73 catches (6.1 per game). He’s been targeted 85 times and has caught one touchdown pass.
- Chris Olave has put up 1,041 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 81 receptions, while being targeted 129 times on the season.
- Rashid Shaheed has 640 receiving yards and four touchdowns from 41 receptions after getting 68 targets.
- Demario Davis has 107 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and four passes defended in 2023.
- Carl Granderson’s stats include 74 tackles, 13.0 TFL, 8.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
- Paulson Adebo has 65 tackles and four interceptions.
- Alontae Taylor has totaled 1.0 sack as well as 6.0 TFL and 71 tackles.
Buccaneers vs. Saints Predictions and Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is the Buccaneers, and we expect that Buccaneers will cover the spread (Buccaneers -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 42.5 points.
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