Ravens vs Texans Prediction: AFC Divisional Picks, Live Odds & Start Time

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In the AFC Divisional round of the NFL Playoffs, the Houston Texans (10-7) and Baltimore Ravens (13-4) take the field on Saturday, January 20, 2024 at M&T Bank Stadium.

Ravens vs. Texans Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with oddsmakers listing the Ravens as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Ravens have -455 odds to pick up the win, while the Texans are listed at +350 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 44 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Ravens vs. Texans Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 20, 2024
  • Game Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: M&T Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

Ravens

The Ravens are totaling 370.4 yards per game offensively this season (sixth in NFL), and they are surrendering 301.4 yards per game (sixth) on the defensive side of the ball. The Ravens have been firing on all cylinders this season, as they rank fourth-best in scoring offense (28.4 points per game) and best in scoring defense (16.5 points allowed per game).

The Ravens are putting up 213.8 passing yards per game on offense this season (21st in NFL), and they are giving up 191.9 passing yards per game (sixth) on defense. The Ravens have the 14th-ranked defense this season in terms of rushing yards (109.4 rushing yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better offensively, ranking best with 156.5 rushing yards per game.

The Ravens are averaging a 42% third-down percentage on offense (eighth in the NFL), and they rank seventh on defense with a 36.4% third-down percentage allowed. The Ravens have been a tough opponent for opposing teams in terms of yards per play, as they rank top-five in both offensive yards per play (third-best with 5.9) and yards per play allowed on defense (best at 4.6) this season. The Ravens have forced 31 total turnovers (first in NFL) this season and have turned it over 19 times (12th in NFL) for a turnover margin of +12, the best in the league.

Texans

From an offensive angle, the Texans are generating 342.4 total yards per game (12th-ranked). They rank 14th in the NFL defensively (330.7 total yards surrendered per game). The Texans rank 13th in the NFL with 22.2 points per contest on offense, and they rank 11th with 20.8 points surrendered per game on defense.

The Texans are accumulating 245.5 passing yards per game on offense this season (seventh-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 234.1 passing yards per game (23rd-ranked) on defense. With 96.9 rushing yards per game on offense, the Texans rank 22nd in the NFL. On defense they rank sixth, surrendering 96.6 rushing yards per game.

The Texans rank 19th in the NFL with a 37.9% third-down conversion rate, but they’ve been led by their defense, which ranks fifth-best by allowing a 35.7% third-down rate. From an offensive angle, the Texans are putting up 5.4 yards per play (12th-ranked). They rank 12th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (5.2 yards given up per play). The Texans have thrived in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of +10 ranks fifth-best in the NFL, with 24 forced turnovers (16th in league) and 14 turnovers committed (first in league).

Ravens vs. Texans Injury Report

Ravens

Player Pos. Injury Status
Devin Duvernay WR Back Probable
Josh Johnson QB Gameday inactive Out
Marlon Humphrey CB Calf Out
Del’Shawn Phillips LB Shoulder Out
Sam Mustipher C Gameday inactive Out
Tylan Wallace WR Knee Out
Malik Cunningham QB Gameday inactive Out
Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu OT Gameday inactive Out

Texans

Player Pos. Injury Status
Jerry Hughes DE Ankle Out
Teair Tart DT Gameday inactive Out
Noah Brown WR Shoulder Out
Eric Saubert TE Gameday inactive Out
George Fant OT Illness Probable
Case Keenum QB Gameday inactive Out
Andrew Beck FB Back Probable
Nick Broeker OG Gameday inactive Out

Ravens vs. Texans Betting Analysis

Ravens Betting Insights

The Ravens have put together an 11-6-0 record against the spread this season.

Ravens games have gone over the total eight times this season.

Texans Betting Insights

Texans posted a 9-8-0 record against the spread in the regular season, and are 1-0-0 in the playoffs.

Out of the 17 Texans games during the regular season, six went over the total, and one of one in the playoffs.

The Texans have been underdogs of +350 or more once, including the regular season and playoffs, and they lost that game.

Ravens vs. Texans Against The Spread & Betting Records

Ravens

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.2 42.6 43.9
Implied Team Total AVG 24.4 24.2 24.5
ATS Record 11-6-0 5-4-0 6-2-0
Over/Under Record 8-9-0 5-4-0 3-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 11-3 6-2 5-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 0-1 2-0

Texans

Overall Home Away Playoffs
Point Total AVG 42.8 43.4 42.1 45
Implied Team Total AVG 23.4 23.2 23.5 24
ATS Record 9-8-0 4-5-0 5-3-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 6-11-0 3-6-0 3-5-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-3 4-1 1-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-4 2-2 3-2 1-0

Players to Watch

Ravens

  • Lamar Jackson has thrown for 3,678 yards, 24 touchdowns and seven interceptions this year. He averages 229.9 yards per game and 8 per attempt, while completing 67.2% of his attempts.
  • To go along with his passing stats, Jackson also has 821 rushing yards (first on the Ravens), with five rushing touchdowns.
  • Gus Edwards has collected 810 rushing yards with 13 touchdowns (47.6 yards per game over 17 games). His 4.1 yards per attempt rank 23rd in the NFL.
  • Edwards has 12 receptions on 13 targets for 180 yards. He has yet to score a receiving touchdown.
  • Through 16 games played, Zay Flowers is averaging 53.6 yards and 4.8 receptions per game to total 858 receiving yards and 77 catches. He’s been targeted 108 times, and has five receiving touchdowns.
  • Justice Hill has rushed for 387 yards, averaging 24.2 yards per game and scoring three touchdowns.
  • He’s added 28 catches (on 39 targets) for 206 receiving yards with one touchdown. He’s averaging 12.9 receiving yards and 1.8 receptions per game.
  • On defense for the Ravens, Roquan Smith has put up 158 tackles, five TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in 2023.
  • Patrick Queen has intercepted one pass and added 133 tackles, nine TFL, 3.5 sacks, and five passes defended.
  • Justin Madubuike has totaled 56 tackles, 12 TFL, and 13 sacks this year.
  • So far this season, Kyle Hamilton has 81 tackles, 10 TFL, three sacks, and four interceptions.

Texans

  • C.J. Stroud is averaging 8.2 passing yards per attempt (third in the NFL) and 273.9 yards per game this year, completing 63.9% of his passes on the way to 4,108 total yards (eighth in the NFL), 23 touchdowns and five interceptions through 15 games.
  • He’s added 167 yards on the ground (third on the Texans), while scoring three rushing touchdowns. He’s averaging 11.1 yards per game and 4.3 per attempt.
  • Nico Collins has 1,297 receiving yards (eighth in the NFL) and eight touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) on 80 receptions, while being targeted 109 times.
  • Devin Singletary is averaging 52.8 rushing yards per game this season (898 total yards), while scoring four rushing touchdowns.
  • Singletary has helped out in the passing attack, picking up 193 receiving yards (11.4 per game) on 30 catches (1.8 per game), while being targeted 38 times. He is looking for his first receiving touchdown.
  • Dalton Schultz has been targeted 88 times, resulting in 59 catches for 635 yards .
  • In 2023, Jonathan Greenard has amassed 12.5 sacks to go with 15 TFL and 52 tackles through 15 games. He ranks 10th in the NFL in sacks.
  • Blake Cashman has 104 tackles, nine TFL, two sacks, and one interception. He leads the Texans in tackles.
  • Christian Harris has two sacks as well as seven TFL and 100 tackles in the 2023 season.
  • Jalen Pitre has totaled six TFL and 84 tackles.

Ravens vs. Texans Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is the Ravens, and we predict that Ravens will cover the spread (Ravens -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 44 points.

How to Bet on Ravens vs. Texans

You can bet this Ravens vs. Texans pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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