Colts vs. Raiders Prediction: Week 17 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – December 31, 2023

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The Las Vegas Raiders (7-8) visit Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, December 31, 2023 to challenge the Indianapolis Colts (8-7).

Colts vs. Raiders Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Colts as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Colts have -185 odds to pick up the win, while the Raiders are listed at +150 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 43 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Colts vs. Raiders Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium

Betting Preview

Colts

The Colts are totaling 334.4 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 15th in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank 22nd, giving up 351.4 yards per game. The Colts own the 10th-ranked scoring offense this season (23.6 points per game), and they’ve been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-worst with 24.8 points allowed per game.

The Colts are compiling 221.2 passing yards per game on offense (20th in the NFL), and they rank 14th on defense with 220.7 passing yards allowed per game. The Colts sport the 12th-ranked rushing offense this season (113.2 rushing yards per game), and they’ve been worse on defense, ranking fifth-worst with 130.7 rushing yards allowed per game.

The Colts are averaging a 36.1% third-down percentage on offense this year (24th in NFL), and they are giving up a 37.3% third-down percentage (ninth) on the defensive side of the ball. This season, the Colts are gaining 5.1 yards per play (16th in the league), while surrendering 5.2 per play on the defensive side of the ball (15th in the NFL). The Colts rank 11th in the NFL with a +3 turnover margin after forcing 24 turnovers (seventh in the NFL) while committing 21 (18th in the NFL).

Raiders

The Raiders rank fourth-worst in total yards per game (279.5), but they’ve been better on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 16th in the NFL with 332.7 total yards surrendered per contest. The Raiders are putting up 19.0 points per game on offense this season (25th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 19.6 points per game (eighth-ranked) on defense.

The Raiders are generating 190.9 passing yards per contest on offense this season (23rd-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 210.5 passing yards per game (11th-ranked) on defense. The Raiders’ rushing offense has been bottom-five this season, putting up 88.6 rushing yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On defense, they rank 22nd with 122.2 rushing yards surrendered per contest.

In terms of third-down efficiency, the Raiders rank 27th in the NFL (34.6% third-down conversion rate) and 25th on defense (41.6% third-down rate allowed). In terms of yards per play, the Raiders rank 27th in the NFL (4.8) and 11th on the other side of the ball (5.1 yards allowed per play). With 21 forced turnovers (18th in NFL) and 24 turnovers committed (24th in NFL) this season, the Raiders rank 21st in the NFL with a turnover margin of -3.

Colts vs. Raiders Injury Report

Colts

Player Pos. Injury Status
Zack Moss RB Forearm Out
Michael Pittman Jr. WR Concussion Probable
Kenny Moore II CB Back Out
Jack Anderson C Gameday inactive Out
Cameron McGrone LB Illness Out
Braden Smith OT Knee Probable
D.J. Montgomery WR Groin Probable
Andrew Ogletree TE Personal Out
Adetomiwa Adebawore DT Gameday inactive Out

Raiders

Player Pos. Injury Status
Joshua Jacobs RB Quad Out
Brian Hoyer QB Gameday inactive Out
Tyler Hall CB Gameday inactive Out
Andre James C Ankle Probable
Jermaine Eluemunor OG Knee Probable
Hroniss Grasu C Gameday inactive Out
Zach Gentry TE Gameday inactive Out
Jesper Horsted TE Hamstring Out
Byron Young DT Gameday inactive Out
Michael Mayer TE Toe Out

Colts vs. Raiders Betting Analysis

Colts Betting Insights

The Colts have gone 9-6-0 against the spread this season.

Colts games have gone over the total 10 times this season.

The Colts played as a moneyline favorite of -185 or shorter in only two games last season, and they lost both.

Raiders Betting Insights

The Raiders have registered an 8-5-2 record against the spread this year. The Raiders are 2-3-1 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.

This season, Raiders games have hit the over four times. The Raiders have entered the game as underdogs nine times this season and won three of those games.

The Raiders have a record of 1-5 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +150 on the moneyline.

Colts vs. Raiders Against The Spread & Betting Records

Colts

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.3 43.4 43.3
Implied Team Total AVG 22.9 22.9 23.0
ATS Record 9-6-0 4-3-0 5-3-0
Over/Under Record 10-5-0 6-1-0 4-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-0 2-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-7 1-4 2-3

Raiders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.1 40.4 44.0
Implied Team Total AVG 23.5 21.6 25.7
ATS Record 8-5-2 5-2-1 3-3-1
Over/Under Record 4-11-0 2-6-0 2-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 4-1 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-6 1-2 2-4

Players to Watch

Colts

  • Gardner Minshew has 2,940 passing yards, 14 touchdowns and nine interceptions this year. He has completed 62.5% of his attempts, averaging 210.0 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
  • He has also rushed for 88 yards (fifth on the Colts) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 6.3 rushing yards per game.
  • Michael Pittman Jr. has 99 receptions (sixth in the NFL) for 1,062 yards and four TDs. In 14 games, he is averaging 7.1 catches and 75.9 yards per game.
  • Jonathan Taylor’s output on the ground this season includes 457 yards and five TDs. He’s averaging 57.1 yards per game and 3.9 per attempt (28th in the NFL).
  • Taylor has been on the receiving end of 20 targets in the passing game and has 16 catches (2.0 per game) for 137 yards (17.1 per game) and one TD.
  • Josh Downs has put up 670 receiving yards and two touchdowns with 63 catches on 93 targets. He is averaging 4.2 receptions and 44.7 yards per game.
  • Over on the defensive side, Zaire Franklin has 162 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in 2023. His tackle total leads the Colts and the league.
  • Kenny Moore II has 91 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and three interceptions this season.
  • DeForest Buckner has recorded 70 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and 6.0 sacks this year.
  • This season, Samson Ebukam has 51 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 9.5 sacks.

Raiders

  • Joshua Jacobs has rushed for six touchdowns this year, and has accumulated 805 total rushing yards (61.9 per game and 3.5 per carry).
  • Jacobs has also been a part of the passing attack with 296 yards (22.8 per game) on 37 receptions (2.8 per game), while being targeted 54 times. He is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
  • Davante Adams has put together a 2023 campaign that includes 85 catches for 972 yards and five receiving touchdowns through 15 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 146 targets and is averaging 5.7 receptions per game.
  • This season, Jakobi Meyers has caught 62 passes for 690 receiving yards with seven touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 91 total times and is averaging 4.4 receptions per game in 14 games played.
  • In nine games, Aidan O’Connell has 1,675 passing yards, while throwing eight touchdowns against seven interceptions and completing 61.5% of his attempts.
  • He has added 7 rushing yards (ninth on the Raiders), with one touchdown on the ground (averaging 0.8 yards per game and 0.6 per carry).
  • In 2023, Maxx Crosby has recorded 82 tackles, 20.0 TFL, and 13.5 sacks through 15 games.
  • Robert Spillane has 130 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and three interceptions. He leads the Raiders in tackles.
  • Trevon Moehrig has 77 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and two interceptions in the 2023 campaign. He is fourth on the Raiders in tackles.
  • Nate Hobbs has totaled 1.0 sack as well as 6.0 TFL, 76 tackles, and one interception.

Colts vs. Raiders Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is the Colts, and we predict that Raiders will cover the spread (Colts -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 43 points.

How to Bet on Colts vs. Raiders

You can bet this Colts vs. Raiders pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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