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The Kansas City Chiefs (9-5) and the Las Vegas Raiders (6-8) — two AFC West combatants — meet on Monday, December 25, 2023 at Arrowhead Stadium.
Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 11 points, with oddsmakers listing the Chiefs as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Chiefs have -575 odds to pick up the win, while the Raiders are listed at +425 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 40.5 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Chiefs vs. Raiders Live?
- Game Day: Monday, December 25, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
Betting Preview
Chiefs
The Chiefs rank eighth in total offense this year (358.8 yards per game), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 293.2 yards allowed per game. The Chiefs own the 11th-ranked offense this year (22.8 points per game), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best with just 17.5 points allowed per game.
The Chiefs have been a handful for opposing teams in the passing game, as they rank top-five in both passing offense (fourth-best with 255.6 passing yards per game) and passing defense (fourth-best with 182.8 passing yards allowed per game) this year. The Chiefs rank 20th in run offense (103.1 rushing yards per game) and 15th in run defense (110.4 rushing yards allowed per game) this season.
The Chiefs rank eighth in third-down defense this year (36.7% third-down percentage allowed), but they’ve been thriving on offense, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with a 46.6% third-down conversion rate. The Chiefs are allowing 4.9 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (sixth in the NFL), while gaining 5.6 per play (sixth in the league) on offense this season. The Chiefs own the fourth-worst turnover margin in the league at -8, forcing 16 turnovers (24th in NFL) while turning it over 24 times (24th in NFL).
Raiders
The Raiders’ offense has been a bottom-five unit in total offense this season, registering 284.9 total yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL. On defense, they rank 16th with 334.4 total yards allowed per contest. With 18.9 points per game on offense, the Raiders rank 25th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 10th, giving up 20 points per contest.
The Raiders are putting up 201.1 passing yards per contest on offense this season (23rd-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 209.6 passing yards per game (11th-ranked) on defense. The Raiders’ running game has been sputtering, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 83.7 rushing yards per game. They have been better on the defensive side of the ball, giving up 124.9 rushing yards per contest (23rd-ranked).
From an offensive angle, the Raiders are posting a 35.2% third-down conversion percentage (27th-ranked). They rank 27th in the NFL defensively (42.5% third-down rate allowed). With 4.9 yards per play on offense, the Raiders rank 25th in the NFL. Defensively they rank 14th, giving up 5.2 yards per play. The Raiders have recorded 19 forced turnovers (20th in NFL) and committed 24 turnovers (24th in NFL) this season for a -5 turnover margin that ranks 22nd in the NFL.
Chiefs vs. Raiders Injury Report
Chiefs
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jerick McKinnon | RB | Groin | Out |
| Kadarius Toney | WR | Hip | Out |
| Mecole Hardman | WR | Thumb | Questionable |
| Skyy Moore | WR | Knee | Out |
| Malik Herring | DE | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Donovan Smith | OT | Neck | Out |
| Matt Dickerson | DT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Neil Farrell Jr. | DE | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Nic Jones | CB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| BJ Thompson | DE | Gameday inactive | Out |
Raiders
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Jacobs | RB | Quad | Out |
| D.J. Turner | WR | Shoulder | Probable |
| Brian Hoyer | QB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Kolton Miller | OT | Shoulder | Probable |
| Hroniss Grasu | C | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Jesper Horsted | TE | Hamstring | Out |
| Jack Jones | CB | Knee | Probable |
| Byron Young | DT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Brandon Parker | OT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Michael Mayer | TE | Toe | Out |
Chiefs vs. Raiders Betting Analysis
Chiefs Betting Insights
The Chiefs have covered the spread seven times over 14 games with a set spread. The Chiefs are a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 11-point favorites.
This season, Chiefs games have hit the over five times.
Raiders Betting Insights
The Raiders have covered the spread in a matchup seven times this year (7-5-2). In games they have played as 11-point underdogs or more, the Raiders have a perfect ATS record of 1-0.
This year, Raiders games have hit the over four times. This season, the Raiders have been the underdog eight times and won two of those games.
The Raiders have played as an underdog of +425 or more once this season and lost that game.
Chiefs vs. Raiders Against The Spread & Betting Records
Chiefs
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 47.1 | 49.1 | 45.1 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 26.7 | 27.3 | 26.1 |
| ATS Record | 7-6-1 | 4-3-0 | 3-3-1 |
| Over/Under Record | 5-8-1 | 1-5-1 | 4-3-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 8-5 | 3-3 | 5-2 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
Raiders
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 42.2 | 40.4 | 44.6 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 23.4 | 21.6 | 25.7 |
| ATS Record | 7-5-2 | 5-2-1 | 2-3-1 |
| Over/Under Record | 4-10-0 | 2-6-0 | 2-4-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 4-2 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 |
Players to Watch
Chiefs
- Patrick Mahomes II ranks seventh in the NFL with 3,703 passing yards in 14 games this year, averaging 264.5 per game with a 67.4% completion percentage and 25 touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) against 13 interceptions.
- He has also rushed for 334 yards (second on the Chiefs) without scoring a touchdown on the ground, while averaging 23.9 rushing yards per game.
- Isiah Pacheco averages 4.4 yards per carry (14th in the NFL) and 64.9 yards per game, and has 779 total rushing yards. He has recorded six rushing TDs this season.
- Pacheco’s 38 targets as part of the passing attack have resulted in 33 catches (2.8 per game) for 209 yards (17.4 per game) and one touchdown.
- Through 13 games played, Travis Kelce is averaging 71.1 yards and 6.5 receptions per game to total 924 receiving yards and 85 catches. He’s been targeted 110 times, and has five receiving touchdowns.
- Rashee Rice has 68 catches for 754 yards and seven touchdowns. He’s been targeted 84 times in the air attack, and averages 4.9 receptions and 53.9 yards in 14 games played.
- On defense for the Chiefs, Trent McDuffie has put up 69 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks in 2023.
- L’Jarius Sneed has 72 tackles, five TFL, and two interceptions this season. He’s third on the Chiefs in tackles.
- Drue Tranquill has recorded 74 tackles, seven TFL, and 4.5 sacks this year.
- Justin Reid has one sack to go with his three TFL, 81 tackles, and one interception on the year.
Raiders
- Joshua Jacobs averages 61.9 rushing yards per game this year (805 total yards), while scoring six rushing touchdowns.
- Jacobs has also been a piece of the receiving game with 296 yards (22.8 per game) on 37 receptions (2.8 per game), while being targeted 54 times. He is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
- Davante Adams has 968 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 84 receptions, while being targeted 140 times.
- Jakobi Meyers has totaled 648 receiving yards and seven touchdowns on 59 receptions, while being targeted 86 times on the season.
- Aidan O’Connell has 1,613 passing yards, eight touchdowns and seven interceptions. His completion percentage is 63.1% and he averages 201.6 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
- O’Connell also has one rushing touchdown and 11 rushing yards (ninth on the Raiders).
- Maxx Crosby has 80 tackles, 19 TFL, 13.5 sacks, and two passes defended in 2023.
- Robert Spillane has 3.5 sacks (third on the Raiders) to go with six TFL, 119 tackles, and three interceptions.
- In the 2023 campaign, Trevon Moehrig has 74 tackles, one TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions in 14 games.
- Divine Deablo’s season stats include 86 tackles, three TFL, and one sack in 12 games. He is second on the Raiders in tackles.
Chiefs vs. Raiders Predictions and Pick
Our prediction to win this game is the Chiefs, and we predict that Raiders will cover the spread (Chiefs -11). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 40.5 points.
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