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An AFC West battle between the Las Vegas Raiders (7-9) and Denver Broncos (8-8) is on the calendar for Sunday, January 7, 2024 at Allegiant Stadium.
Raiders vs. Broncos Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing the Raiders as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Raiders have -162 odds to pick up the win, while the Broncos are listed at +136 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 37.5 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Raiders vs. Broncos Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, January 7, 2024
- Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Paradise, Nevada
- Stadium: Allegiant Stadium
Betting Preview
Raiders
While the Raiders rank 18th in total defense with 333.7 yards allowed per game, they’ve been slightly less successful on offense, ranking fourth-worst (285.2 yards per game). The Raiders are totaling 19.1 points per game offensively this year (25th in NFL), and they are allowing 19.8 points per game (eighth) on the defensive side of the ball.
The Raiders are putting up 196.9 passing yards per game on offense (23rd in the NFL), and they rank 10th on the other side of the ball with 210.8 passing yards allowed per game. The Raiders have been a bottom-five run offense this year, ranking third-worst with 88.3 rushing yards per contest. Defensively, they are ranked 22nd in the NFL (122.9 rushing yards allowed per game).
The Raiders are posting a 34.5% third-down conversion rate on offense, which ranks them 27th in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank 25th, giving up a 41.9% third-down conversion rate. The Raiders are putting up 4.8 yards per play on offense, which ranks them 26th in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank 13th, surrendering 5.2 yards per play. With 21 forced turnovers (19th in NFL) against 24 turnovers committed (21st in NFL), the Raiders (-3) own the 21st-ranked turnover margin in the league.
Broncos
The Broncos’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in total defense this season, surrendering 371.5 total yards per game, which ranks third-worst. Offensively, they rank 26th with 299.1 total yards per contest. The Broncos rank 17th in the NFL with 21.4 points per game on offense, and they rank 25th with 24.1 points given up per contest on the defensive side of the ball.
From an offensive standpoint, the Broncos are putting up 189 passing yards per contest (25th-ranked). They rank 23rd in the NFL on the other side of the ball (233.9 passing yards given up per game). The Broncos have been struggling against the run, ranking second-worst with 137.6 rushing yards allowed per game. They have been better on the other side of the ball, compiling 110.1 rushing yards per contest (17th-ranked).
The Broncos’ third-down defense has been leading the way for the team, as they rank second-best in the NFL with a 31.7% third-down conversion percentage allowed. In terms of offense, they are compiling a 37% third-down rate, which ranks 20th. The Broncos’ defense has been struggling in terms of yards surrendered per play, ranking third-worst at 5.8. They have been more effective on offense, posting 5 yards per play (22nd-ranked). The Broncos have accumulated 26 forced turnovers (eighth in NFL) and committed 21 turnovers (17th in NFL) this season for a +5 turnover margin that ranks 10th in the NFL.
Raiders vs. Broncos Injury Report
Raiders
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Jacobs | RB | Quad | Out |
| Brian Hoyer | QB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Tyler Hall | CB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Keelan Cole | WR | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Jakob Johnson | FB | Back | Probable |
| Thayer Munford | OT | Knee | Out |
| Brandon Facyson | CB | Illness | Probable |
| Byron Young | DT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Cole Fotheringham | TE | Hamstring | Out |
| Michael Mayer | TE | Toe | Out |
Broncos
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike McGlinchey | OT | Ribs | Out |
| Greg Dulcich | TE | Hamstring | Out |
| Michael Bandy | WR | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Chris Manhertz | TE | Illness | Out |
| Alex Forsyth | C | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Art Green | CB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Thomas Incoom | OLB | Gameday inactive | Out |
Raiders vs. Broncos Betting Analysis
Raiders Betting Insights
The Raiders have covered the spread in a matchup nine times this season (9-5-2). In games they have played as 3-point favorites or more, the Raiders have an ATS record of 2-1.
This season, Raiders games have hit the over four times.
Broncos Betting Insights
The Broncos have covered the spread in a game five times this year (5-9-2). In games they have played as 3-point underdogs or more, the Broncos have an ATS record of 3-4.
Games involving Broncos have hit the over seven times this season. The Broncos have entered the game as underdogs seven times this season and won three of those games.
The Broncos have entered six games this season as the underdog by +136 or more and are 2-4 in those contests.
Raiders vs. Broncos Against The Spread & Betting Records
Raiders
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 42.2 | 40.4 | 43.9 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 23.5 | 21.6 | 25.4 |
| ATS Record | 9-5-2 | 5-2-1 | 4-3-1 |
| Over/Under Record | 4-11-1 | 2-6-0 | 2-5-1 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 4-2 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-5 |
Broncos
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 44 | 41.3 | 47.4 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 24.4 | 22.6 | 26.7 |
| ATS Record | 5-9-2 | 3-5-1 | 2-4-1 |
| Over/Under Record | 7-9-0 | 4-5-0 | 3-4-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 5-4 | 4-4 | 1-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 3-4 | 1-0 | 2-4 |
Players to Watch
Raiders
- Davante Adams has grabbed 98 passes on 167 targets for 1,098 total yards and seven touchdowns. He is averaging 6.1 catches and 68.6 yards per game through 16 games played.
- Jakobi Meyers’ 746 receiving yards this season have come from 101 targets and 68 receptions. He’s averaging 49.7 receiving yards and 4.5 catches per game, with seven receiving touchdowns.
- Aidan O’Connell has 1,974 passing yards through 10 games this year, averaging 197.4 per game with a 61.9% completion percentage and 10 touchdowns against seven interceptions.
- He has tacked on 10 rushing yards (1 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
- Jimmy Garoppolo has 1,205 passing yards, seven touchdowns and nine interceptions this year. He has completed 65.5% of his passes, averaging 200.8 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
- On the defensive side, Maxx Crosby has 13.5 sacks (seventh in the NFL) to go with 21 TFL and 88 tackles in 2023.
- Robert Spillane has 136 tackles, seven TFL, 3.5 sacks, and three interceptions this season. He leads the Raiders in tackles.
- Nate Hobbs has put up 84 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and one interception this year.
- Trevon Moehrig has two interceptions while tacking on 81 tackles, one TFL, two sacks, and seven passes defended.
Broncos
- Russell Wilson is averaging 6.9 passing yards per attempt (19th in the NFL) and 204.7 yards per game this year, completing 66.4% of his passes on the way to 3,070 total yards, 26 touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) and eight interceptions through 15 games.
- Wilson has also rushed for three touchdowns and 341 yards (third on the Broncos).
- Courtland Sutton has 58 catches for 770 yards and 10 receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL). He has been targeted 86 times and averages 3.9 receptions per game through 15 games played.
- Javonte Williams is averaging 49.5 rushing yards per game this season (742 total yards), while scoring two rushing touchdowns.
- In addition to his rushing stats, Williams has grabbed 40 passes (on 49 targets) for 185 yards (sixth on the Broncos), with two receiving touchdowns. He averages 12.3 yards per game.
- Jaleel McLaughlin averages 25.3 rushing yards per game through 16 games (404 total yards), with one rushing touchdown.
- McLaughlin has also caught 31 passes for 160 yards (ninth on the Broncos), with two receiving touchdowns. He’s been targeted 36 times and averages 10 yards per game.
- Alex Singleton has two sacks to go with five TFL and 162 tackles over 16 games in 2023.
- Jonathon Cooper has 8.5 sacks (first on the Broncos) to go with eight TFL, 70 tackles, and one interception.
- Josey Jewell has recorded two sacks as well as two TFL and 99 tackles in the 2023 season.
- Justin Simmons has totaled one sack to go with two TFL, 67 tackles, and three interceptions over 14 games.
Raiders vs. Broncos Predictions and Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is the Raiders, and we expect that Raiders will cover the spread (Raiders -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 37.5 points.
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