Panthers vs Jaguars Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 17 – December 31, 2023

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When the Jacksonville Jaguars (8-7) host the Carolina Panthers (2-13) on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at TIAA Bank Field, they will be looking to rebound from their four-game losing streak.

Jaguars vs. Panthers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Jaguars as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Jaguars have -192 odds to pick up the win, while the Panthers are listed at +160 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 38 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Jaguars vs. Panthers Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Jacksonville, Florida
  • Stadium: TIAA Bank Field

Betting Preview

Jaguars

Offensively, the Jaguars rank 13th in the NFL with 339.5 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 25th in total defense (358.5 yards allowed per contest). Offensively, the Jaguars rank 13th in the NFL with 22.1 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 20th in points allowed (358.5 points allowed per contest).

With 257.1 passing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL, the Jaguars have been forced to rely on their eighth-ranked passing offense (245.6 passing yards per contest) to keep them competitive. From an offensive standpoint, the Jaguars rank 26th in the NFL with 93.9 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 11th in rushing yards allowed per contest (101.3).

The Jaguars are averaging a 36.4% third-down conversion rate offensively this year (23rd in NFL), and they are giving up a 37.4% third-down conversion rate (10th) on the defensive side of the ball. The Jaguars are accumulating 5.2 yards per play (15th in the league), while allowing 5.5 per play on the defensive side of the ball (24th in the NFL) this season. With 25 forced turnovers (third in NFL) against 28 turnovers committed (29th in NFL), the Jaguars’ -3 turnover margin ranks 21st in the league.

Panthers

On the offensive side of the ball, the Panthers are a bottom-five unit, posting only 279.1 total yards per game (third-worst). On the bright side, they are dominating on the defensive side of the ball, giving up 296.8 total yards per contest (fourth-best). The Panthers have lots of room to get better, as they rank fourth-worst in points per game (15.7) this season and third-worst in points allowed per game (25.4).

The Panthers rank second-worst in passing yards per game on offense (173.7), but at least they’ve been playing well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in passing yards surrendered per contest (175.9). The Panthers rank 19th in the NFL with 105.4 rushing yards per game on offense, and they rank 21st with 120.9 rushing yards allowed per game on defense.

The Panthers rank 20th in the NFL with a 36.6% third-down conversion rate on offense, and 12th with a 37.6% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball. The Panthers’ offense has not been getting things done in terms of yards per play, ranking worst in the NFL at 4.2. They have been more effective on defense, allowing 5.0 yards per play (eighth-ranked). The Panthers own a -6 turnover margin this season, which ranks 24th in the NFL.

Jaguars vs. Panthers Injury Report

Jaguars

Player Pos. Injury Status
Trevor Lawrence QB Right shoulder Out
Zay Jones WR Knee Out
Yasir Abdullah LB Gameday inactive Out
Christian Braswell CB Hamstring Out

Panthers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Frankie Luvu LB Quad Probable
Marquis Haynes OLB Back Probable
Amare Barno OLB Knee Out
Chris Wormley DE Gameday inactive Out
Ikem Ekwonu OT Foot Probable
Terrace Marshall Jr. WR Gameday inactive Out
Mike Strachan WR Gameday inactive Out
Troy Hill CB Concussion Out
C.J. Henderson CB Gameday inactive Out
Jaycee Horn CB Toe Probable
Ricky Lee OT Gameday inactive Out

Jaguars vs. Panthers Betting Analysis

Jaguars Betting Insights

The Jaguars are 8-7-0 against the spread this season. The Jaguars have an ATS record of 4-2 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.

Jaguars games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under seven times this season.

The Jaguars played as a moneyline favorite of -192 or shorter in only two games last season, and they split them 1-1.

Panthers Betting Insights

The Panthers have covered the spread in a matchup four times this year (4-9-2). The Panthers are only 2-8 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.

Panthers games have gone over the total five times this season. The Panthers have entered the game as underdogs 15 times this season and won twice.

The Panthers have not won as an underdog of +160 or more on the moneyline this season in seven such games.

Jaguars vs. Panthers Against The Spread & Betting Records

Jaguars

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.5 43.5 43.6
Implied Team Total AVG 24.0 24.5 23.4
ATS Record 8-7-0 3-5-0 5-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-8-0 4-4-0 3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-3 3-2 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-4 0-3 2-1

Panthers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 41.0 41.4 40.7
Implied Team Total AVG 23.3 22.9 23.6
ATS Record 4-9-2 3-3-1 1-6-1
Over/Under Record 5-9-1 1-5-1 4-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-13 2-5 0-8

Players to Watch

Jaguars

  • On the ground, Travis Etienne averages 3.6 yards per attempt (39th in the NFL) and 56.6 yards per game for 849 total rushing yards. He has recorded nine rushing touchdowns this season.
  • He’s also hauled in 51 passes (on 65 targets) for 430 receiving yards with one touchdown. He’s averaging 28.7 receving yards and 3.4 catches per game.
  • Calvin Ridley has 66 receptions for 871 yards and seven TDs. Through 15 games, he is averaging 4.4 catches and 58.1 yards per game.
  • In 15 games played, Evan Engram is averaging 54.9 yards and 6.5 receptions per game to total 824 receiving yards and 98 catches (seventh in the NFL). He’s been targeted 124 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
  • Zay Jones averages 3.5 receptions and 34.3 yards per game, and has 274 total receiving yards and 28 catches. He’s gotten 55 total targets, and has caught two touchdown passes.
  • Over on defense, Foyesade Oluokun has 159 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception in 2023. His tackle total leads the Jaguars and is second in the NFL.
  • Josh Allen has picked off one pass and has added 56 tackles, 13.0 TFL, 13.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
  • Devin Lloyd has recorded 115 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and seven passes defended.
  • So far this season, Rayshawn Jenkins has 89 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and two interceptions. He’s third on the Jaguars in tackles.

Panthers

  • Bryce Young has passed for 2,671 yards this year, with 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He is completing 59.7% of his passes while averaging 190.8 yards per game and 5.6 per attempt.
  • Young has also rushed for 227 yards (third on the Panthers).
  • Chuba Hubbard has scored five rushing touchdowns, while totaling 774 rushing yards (3.8 per attempt and 51.6 per game).
  • Hubbard has also picked up 198 receiving yards (13.2 per game) on 33 catches (2.2 per game). He’s been targeted 37 times and is still trying for his first receiving touchdown.
  • Adam Thielen has put up 964 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 95 receptions (10th in the NFL), while being targeted 128 times this season.
  • Darrell Demont Chark Jr. has 461 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 32 receptions after receiving 56 targets.
  • Frankie Luvu has amassed 6.0 sacks (first on the Panthers) to go with 10.0 TFL and 116 tackles through 15 games in 2023.
  • Derrick Brown’s stat sheet includes one interception as well as 89 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and four passes defended.
  • Brian Burns has 5.5 sacks (second on the Panthers) as well as 12.0 TFL and 40 tackles in the 2023 campaign.
  • Xavier Woods’ season stats include 54 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two interceptions in 12 games. He is fourth on the Panthers in tackles.

Jaguars vs. Panthers Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this game is the Jaguars, and we predict that Jaguars will cover the spread (Jaguars -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 38 points.

How to Bet on Jaguars vs. Panthers

You can bet this Jaguars vs. Panthers pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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