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On Sunday, October 22, 2023, the Green Bay Packers (2-3) and the Denver Broncos (1-5) square off at Empower Field at Mile High.
Packers vs. Broncos Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with sportsbooks listing the Packers as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Packers have -120 odds to pick up the win, while the Broncos are listed at +100 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 44 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Packers vs. Broncos Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, October 22, 2023
- Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Stadium: Empower Field at Mile High
Betting Preview
Packers
While the Packers rank 17th in total defense with 337.8 yards allowed per game, they’ve been slightly worse on offense, ranking fifth-worst (281.6 yards per game). The Packers rank 13th in scoring offense (22.6 points per game) and 22nd in scoring defense (22.6 points allowed per game) this season.
The Packers are averaging 200 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 21st in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank ninth, surrendering 194.4 passing yards per game. The Packers own the 27th-ranked rushing offense this season (81.6 rushing yards per game), and they’ve been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-worst with 143.4 rushing yards allowed per game.
The Packers are posting a 40.9% third-down percentage on offense, which ranks them 12th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank seventh, allowing a 34.7% third-down conversion rate. The Packers are putting up 4.9 yards per play (21st in the league), while allowing 4.9 per play on the defensive side of the ball (ninth in the NFL) this season. The Packers rank 17th in the NFL with a -1 turnover margin after forcing 5 turnovers (22nd in the NFL) and committing six (seventh in the NFL).
Broncos
The Broncos rank 21st in total yards per game (306.3), but they’ve been less effective defensively, ranking worst in the NFL with 440.3 total yards allowed per contest. The Broncos have been struggling defensively, ranking worst with 33.3 points surrendered per game. They have been more productive on offense, generating 21.5 points per contest (17th-ranked).
The Broncos’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in pass defense this season, allowing 268 passing yards per game, which ranks third-worst in the NFL. On offense, they rank 20th with 200.3 passing yards per contest. The Broncos have been struggling against the run, ranking worst with 172.3 rushing yards allowed per game. They have been more effective on the other side of the ball, putting up 106 rushing yards per contest (19th-ranked).
From an offensive standpoint, the Broncos are generating a 39.4% third-down conversion rate (16th-ranked). They rank 16th in the NFL defensively (38.8% third-down rate allowed). The Broncos’ defense has been struggling in terms of yards given up per play, ranking worst at 6.7. They have been better on the other side of the ball, posting 5.5 yards per play (ninth-ranked). At -5, the Broncos own the 26th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with six forced turnovers (20th in NFL) and 11 turnovers committed (27th in NFL).
Packers vs. Broncos Injury Report
Packers
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | RB | Hamstring | Probable |
| Quay Walker | LB | Knee | Probable |
| Yosuah Nijman | OT | Knee | Probable |
| Elgton Jenkins | OG | Knee | Probable |
| De’Vondre Campbell | LB | Ankle | Out |
| Jaire Alexander | CB | Back | Out |
| Caleb Jones | OT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Malik Heath | WR | Gameday inactive | Out |
Broncos
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Dulcich | TE | Hamstring | Out |
| Alex Forsyth | C | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Riley Moss | CB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Keondre Coburn | DT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Thomas Incoom | OLB | Gameday inactive | Out |
Packers vs. Broncos Betting Analysis
Packers Betting Insights
The Packers have covered the spread three times over five games with a set spread.
This season, Packers games have hit the over three times.
Broncos Betting Insights
The Broncos are winless against the spread this season (0-5-1). The Broncos have not covered the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.
Games involving Broncos have hit the over four times this year. The Broncos have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
This season, the Broncos have been at least a +100 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.
Packers vs. Broncos Against The Spread & Betting Records
Packers
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 42.6 | 43.3 | 42.2 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 22 | 23 | 21.3 |
| ATS Record | 3-2-0 | 1-1-0 | 2-1-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 3-2-0 | 1-1-0 | 2-1-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
Broncos
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 44.3 | 41.3 | 47.3 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 24.7 | 22.3 | 27 |
| ATS Record | 0-5-1 | 0-3-0 | 0-2-1 |
| Over/Under Record | 4-2-0 | 2-1-0 | 2-1-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 1-3 | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
Players to Watch
Packers
- Jordan Love has 1,083 passing yards, eight touchdowns and six interceptions this year. He has completed 55.6% of his passes, averaging 216.6 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt.
- To go along with his passing statistics, Love has 109 rushing yards (second on the Packers), with two rushing touchdowns.
- Romeo Doubs‘ 228 receiving yards this season have come from 37 targets and 21 receptions. He’s averaging 45.6 receiving yards and 4.2 catches per game, with three receiving touchdowns (10th in the NFL).
- Jayden Reed has two touchdown catches this season, and has 13 receptions for 210 yards on 27 targets, while averaging 2.6 catches and 42 yards per game.
- A.J. Dillon has rushed for 194 yards, averaging 38.8 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
- On the defensive side, Quay Walker has 51 tackles, three TFL, and one interception in 2023. His tackle total leads the Packers.
- Rudy Ford has 35 tackles and two interceptions this season.
- Rasul Douglas has recorded 22 tackles, one TFL, and one interception this year.
- So far this season, Kenny Clark has 18 tackles, two TFL, and three sacks.
Broncos
- Russell Wilson is averaging 7.1 passing yards per attempt (12th in the NFL) and 217.5 yards per game this year, completing 65.9% of his passes on the way to 1,305 total yards, 12 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and four interceptions through six games.
- He’s added 150 yards on the ground (third on the Broncos), with zero rushing touchdowns. He’s averaging 25 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
- Courtland Sutton has put together a 2023 stat sheet that includes 25 catches for 275 yards and four receiving touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) in six games played. He has been on the receiving end of 37 targets and is averaging 4.2 receptions per game.
- So far this season through six games, Jaleel McLaughlin has racked up 190 rushing yards (leading the Broncos) and scored one rushing touchdown. He averages 31.7 yards per game and 6.6 per carry.
- In addition to his rushing stats, McLaughlin has grabbed nine passes (on 10 targets) for 58 yards (seventh on the Broncos), with two receiving touchdowns. He averages 9.7 yards per game.
- Marvin Mims has 10 catches for 246 yards and one receiving touchdown. He averages 1.7 yards per game in six games and has been targeted 12 times.
- So far in 2023, Jonathon Cooper has recorded four sacks to go with three TFL and 30 tackles through six games.
- Nik Bonitto has registered 5.5 sacks in addition to his nine TFL and 18 tackles through six games. He’s seventh in the NFL in sacks.
- Alex Singleton has 53 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended in the 2023 season.
- Zach Allen has 2.5 sacks (third on the Broncos) as well as five TFL and 27 tackles.
Packers vs. Broncos Predictions and Pick
Our prediction to win this matchup is the Packers, and we project that Packers will cover the spread (Packers -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 44 points.
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