Dallas vs. Boston Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, June 14, 2024

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The Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics are battling in the NBA Finals, with a decisive Game 4 coming up.

The Mavericks are just a 1-point favorite when they and the Celtics square off in a game expected to be a close one. The matchup features a point total of 211.

Mavericks vs. Celtics Odds

Point Spread for Mavericks vs. Celtics

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with sportsbooks listing the Mavericks as the favorite.

Dallas vs. Boston Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Dallas has -110 odds to win the game, while Boston is listed at -110 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 211 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Friday, June 14, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: ABC

Mavericks vs. Celtics Betting Trends

The Mavericks are 48-34-0 against the spread this season. Dallas has been the favorite in 49 games this season and won 37 (75.5%) of those contests. This season, 36 of the Mavericks’ games have gone over the point total.

The Celtics have covered the spread 42 times over 82 games with a set spread. Boston has come away with one win in the three contests it has been listed as the underdog this season. This year, Celtics games have hit the over 43 times.

Mavericks vs. Celtics Key Players to Watch

Mavericks

Luka Doncic is posting 33.9 points, 9.8 assists and 9.2 boards per game. Kyrie Irving posts 25.6 points, 5.0 boards and 5.2 assists per contest, shooting 49.7% from the field and 41.1% from downtown, with 3.0 made 3-pointers per game (ninth in league). Daniel Gafford’s numbers on the season are 11.0 points, 7.6 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 72.5% from the floor (first in league). P.J. Washington posts 12.9 points, 5.6 boards and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 43.6% from the floor and 32.0% from downtown, with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest.

Celtics

Jayson Tatum’s averages for the season are 26.9 points, 8.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists, making 47.1% of his shots from the floor and 37.6% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 triples per game (seventh in NBA). Jaylen Brown contributes with 23.0 points per game, plus 5.5 boards and 3.6 assists. The Celtics get 15.2 points per game from Derrick White, plus 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists. The Celtics receive 20.1 points per game from Kristaps Porzingis, plus 7.2 boards and 2.0 assists.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

On offense, the Mavericks are posting 117.9 points per game (seventh-ranked in league). They are ceding 115.6 points per contest at the other end (20th-ranked). The Mavericks are averaging 42.9 rebounds per game (21st-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 45.1 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked). The Mavericks rank 19th in the NBA with 25.7 dimes per contest.

Dallas is scoring 118.7 points per game this season at home, which is 1.7 more points than it is averaging on the road (117.0). Dallas is top-five this season in three-point shooting, ranking third-best in the league with 14.6 threes per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 13th with a 36.9% shooting percentage from downtown. With 13.1 three-pointers conceded per game, Dallas ranks 18th in the NBA. It is allowing a 36.8% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 18th in the league.

The Mavericks are 5-4-1 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Dallas has hit the over five times. On offense, the Mavericks have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 106.4 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 117.9 they’ve put up over the course of this season. Dallas has been tougher on defense lately, giving up 105.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 115.6 points per game its opponents average over the 2023-24 season.

What you need to know about the Celtics

The Celtics are the second-best team in the NBA in points scored (120.6 per game) and fifth-best in points allowed (109.2). In 2023-24, Boston is second-best in the NBA in rebounds (46.3 per game) and 14th in rebounds allowed (43.3). At 26.9 assists per game, the Celtics are 14th in the NBA.

At home, the Celtics score 123.1 points per game. On the road, they average 118.0. Beyond the arc, the Celtics are best in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game at 16.5. And they are second-best in 3-point percentage at 38.8%. Boston is 14th in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (12.9 per game) and fourth-best in 3-point percentage defensively (35.2%).

The Celtics are 4-5-1 against the spread and 10-0 overall in their last 10 contests. Five of Boston’s last 10 outings have hit the over. Boston is putting up 112.4 points per contest in its last 10 games, which is 8.2 fewer points than its average for the season (120.6). The Celtics are ceding 103.0 points per game over their last 10 games, which is 6.2 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (109.2).

Mavericks vs. Celtics Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Celtics, and we predict that Celtics will cover the spread (Mavericks -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 211 points.

How to bet Mavericks vs. Celtics

You can bet on Dallas vs. Boston at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Dallas vs. Boston picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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