Dallas vs. Boston Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, June 12, 2024

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The Dallas Mavericks will play the Boston Celtics in Game 3 of the NBA Finals.

The Mavericks head into their game as a 3-point favorite against the Celtics. The game’s over/under is set at 213.5.

Mavericks vs. Celtics Odds

Point Spread for Mavericks vs. Celtics

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing the Mavericks as the favorite.

Dallas vs. Boston Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Dallas has -148 odds to win the game, while Boston is listed at +124 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 213.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Wednesday, June 12, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: ABC

Mavericks vs. Celtics Betting Trends

The Mavericks are 48-34-0 against the spread this season. This season, Dallas has been favored 49 times and won 37, or 75.5%, of those games. Games involving the Mavericks have hit the over 36 times this season.

The Celtics are 42-36-4 against the spread this season. Boston has been chosen as underdogs in three games this year and has walked away with the win one time (33.3%) in those games. This year, Celtics games have hit the over 43 times.

Mavericks vs. Celtics Key Players to Watch

Mavericks

Luka Doncic’s numbers for the season are 33.9 points, 9.8 assists and 9.2 boards per game. Kyrie Irving averages 25.6 points, 5.0 boards and 5.2 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks. Daniel Gafford averages 11.0 points, 7.6 boards and 1.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 2.1 blocks (sixth in league). P.J. Washington is putting up 12.9 points, 1.9 assists and 5.6 boards per game.

Celtics

Jayson Tatum’s averages for the season are 26.9 points, 8.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists, making 47.1% of his shots from the floor and 37.6% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 triples per contest (seventh in NBA). Jaylen Brown chips in with 23.0 points per game, plus 5.5 boards and 3.6 assists. Derrick White averages 15.2 points, 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists, making 46.1% of his shots from the field and 39.6% from 3-point range, with 2.7 treys per game. Kristaps Porzingis’ averages for the season are 20.1 points, 7.2 rebounds and 2.0 assists, making 51.6% of his shots from the field and 37.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 treys per contest.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

On offense, the Mavericks are putting up 117.9 points per game (seventh-ranked in league). They are ceding 115.6 points per contest at the other end (20th-ranked). With 42.9 boards per game, the Mavericks rank 21st in the NBA. They cede 45.1 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league. The Mavericks are delivering 25.7 dimes per game, which ranks them 19th in the NBA in 2023-24.

Dallas averages 118.7 points per game in home games, compared to 117.0 points per game on the road, a difference of 1.7 points per contest. Dallas ranks third-best in the NBA by draining 14.6 threes per game. In terms of three-point percentage, it ranks 13th in the league at 36.9%. With 13.1 treys conceded per game, Dallas ranks 18th in the NBA. It is ceding a 36.8% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 18th in the league.

The Mavericks are 5-4-1 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests. Dallas has hit the over in five of its past 10 contests. In their last 10 games, the Mavericks have been putting up 106.1 points per contest, an average that’s significantly lower than the 117.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. The past 10 games have seen Dallas give up 10.8 fewer points per game (104.8) than its season-long average (115.6).

What you need to know about the Celtics

Offensively, the Celtics are the second-best squad in the league (120.6 points per game). On defense, they are fifth-best (109.2 points conceded per game). In 2023-24, Boston is second-best in the league in rebounds (46.3 per game) and 14th in rebounds conceded (43.3). This season the Celtics are ranked 14th in the league in assists at 26.9 per game.

In 2023-24 the Celtics are scoring 5.1 more points per game at home (123.1) than away (118.0). The Celtics are the best squad in the NBA in 3-pointers made (16.5 per game) and second-best in 3-point percentage (38.8%). Boston is 14th in the league in 3-pointers allowed (12.9 per game) and fourth-best in 3-point percentage defensively (35.2%).

The Celtics are 3-6-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Boston has gone over the total five times. While Boston is averaging 120.6 points per game in 2023-24, it has fallen short of that in its previous 10 games, producing 111.2 points per contest. While the Celtics are allowing 109.2 points per game in 2023-24, they have bettered that mark over their previous 10 games, allowing 104.9 points per contest.

Mavericks vs. Celtics Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Celtics, and we predict that Celtics will cover the spread (Mavericks -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 213.5 points.

How to bet Mavericks vs. Celtics

You can bet on Dallas vs. Boston at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Dallas vs. Boston picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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