Lions vs Rams Prediction: NFC Wild Card Picks, Live Odds & Start Time

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The Los Angeles Rams (10-7) play the Detroit Lions (12-5) in the NFC Wild Card round of the playoffs at Ford Field on Sunday, January 14, 2024.

Lions vs. Rams Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing the Lions as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Lions have -162 odds to pick up the win, while the Rams are listed at +136 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 52.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Lions vs. Rams Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 14, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBC
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Stadium: Ford Field

Betting Preview

Lions

On the offensive side of the ball, the Lions have been a top-five unit, ranking third-best in the NFL by compiling 394.8 yards per game. They rank 19th on defense (336.1 yards allowed per game). On the offensive side of the ball, the Lions have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by putting up 27.1 points per game. They rank 23rd on defense (23.2 points allowed per game).

The Lions sport the 27th-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (247.4 allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective offensively, ranking second-best with 258.9 passing yards per game. The Lions have been a tough matchup for opposing teams in the running game, as they rank top-five in both rushing offense (fifth-best with 135.9 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (second-best with 88.8 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.

The Lions are putting up a 41.5% third-down conversion rate on offense (10th in the NFL), and they rank 10th on defense with a 37.1% third-down conversion rate allowed. On the offensive side of the ball, the Lions have been a top-five unit in terms of yards per play, ranking third-best in the NFL by totaling 5.9 yards per play. They rank 24th on defense (5.5 yards per play allowed). The Lions have the 16th-ranked turnover margin in the league at even, forcing 23 turnovers (18th in NFL) while turning it over 23 times (19th in NFL).

Rams

In terms of total offense, the Rams rank seventh in the NFL (359.3 total yards per game) and 20th defensively (337.9 total yards allowed per game). The Rams rank eighth in the NFL with 23.8 points per game on offense, and they rank 19th with 22.2 points ceded per game on defense.

With 239 passing yards per game on offense, the Rams rank 10th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 20th, giving up 231.1 passing yards per contest. In terms of rushing, the Rams rank 11th in the NFL on offense (120.3 rushing yards per game) and 12th on the other side of the ball (106.8 rushing yards allowed per game).

With a 42% third-down conversion rate on offense, the Rams rank eighth in the NFL. On defense, they rank 18th, surrendering a 38.6% third-down rate. With 5.6 yards per play on offense, the Rams rank sixth in the NFL. On defense they rank 17th, giving up 5.3 yards per play. The Rams have compiled 15 forced turnovers (30th in NFL) and committed 18 turnovers (sixth in NFL) this season for a -3 turnover margin that ranks 21st in the NFL.

Lions vs. Rams Injury Report

Lions

Player Pos. Injury Status
Kalif Raymond WR Knee Out
Julian Okwara LB Gameday inactive Out
Jerry Jacobs CB Thigh Out
James Mitchell TE Hand Out
Hendon Hooker QB Gameday inactive Out
Sam LaPorta TE Knee Probable
Steven Gilmore CB Gameday inactive Out

Rams

Player Pos. Injury Status
Troy Reeder ILB Knee Out
Tyler Johnson WR Gameday inactive Out
Tyler Higbee TE Shoulder Probable
Jordan Fuller DB Ankle Out
Bobby Brown III NT Illness Probable
Ochaun Mathis OLB Gameday inactive Out
Zach Evans RB Gameday inactive Out

Lions vs. Rams Betting Analysis

Lions Betting Insights

The Lions have covered the spread 12 times over 17 games with a set spread. In games they were favored in by 3 points or more so far this season, the Lions have gone 7-4 against the spread.

This season, Lions games have hit the over 11 times.

The Lions played as a moneyline favorite of -162 or shorter in just two games last season, and they split them 1-1.

Rams Betting Insights

The Rams are 10-6-1 against the spread this season. In games they were an underdog in by 3 points or more so far this year, the Rams went 4-3-1 against the spread.

Games involving Rams have hit the over nine times this year. This season, the Rams have won two out of the eight games in which they’ve been the underdog.

The Rams have entered seven games this season as the underdog by +136 or more and are 2-5 in those contests.

Lions vs. Rams Against The Spread & Betting Records

Lions

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.2 46.9 47.4
Implied Team Total AVG 25.9 26.6 25.3
ATS Record 12-5-0 5-3-0 7-2-0
Over/Under Record 11-6-0 6-2-0 5-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 11-3 6-2 5-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-0 1-2

Rams

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.3 45.8 43
Implied Team Total AVG 24.7 25.5 24
ATS Record 10-6-1 5-3-0 5-3-1
Over/Under Record 9-8-0 3-5-0 6-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-1 5-1 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-6 0-2 2-4

Players to Watch

Lions

  • Jared Goff has passed for 4,575 yards (second in the NFL), 30 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and 12 interceptions this year. He averages 269.1 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt, while completing 67.3% of his attempts.
  • He has also rushed for 21 yards (seventh on the Lions) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 1.2 rushing yards per game.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 1,515 receiving yards this season (third in the NFL) have come from 164 targets and 119 receptions (second in the NFL). He’s averaging 94.7 receiving yards and 7.4 catches per game, with 10 receiving touchdowns (fourth in the NFL).
  • David Montgomery has 1,015 rushing yards (ninth in the NFL) with 13 touchdowns (72.5 yards per game through 14 games).
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has run for 945 yards, averaging 63 yards per game and scoring 10 touchdowns.
  • Gibbs’ 71 receiving targets have resulted in 52 receptions (3.5 per game) for 316 yards (21.1 per game) and one TD.
  • Over on defense, Aidan Hutchinson has one interception to go with 51 tackles, 14 TFL, 11.5 sacks, and seven passes defended in 2023.
  • Alex Anzalone has 129 tackles, seven TFL, and three sacks this season.
  • Brian Branch has totaled three interceptions and also has 74 tackles, seven TFL, one sack, and 13 passes defended.
  • Kerby Joseph has one TFL, 80 tackles, and four interceptions on the season.

Rams

  • Matthew Stafford has thrown for 3,965 yards this year, with 24 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He is completing 62.6% of his attempts while averaging 264.3 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt.
  • Kyren Williams averages 95.3 rushing yards per game through 12 games (1,144 total yards to rank third in the NFL), while scoring 12 rushing touchdowns.
  • Williams has added 32 receptions (2.7 per game) for 206 yards (17.2 per game) with three receiving touchdowns. He’s been targeted 48 times in the passing attack.
  • Puka Nacua has put up 1,486 receiving yards (fourth in the NFL) and six touchdowns on 105 receptions (ninth in the NFL), while being targeted 160 times on the season.
  • Cooper Kupp has 59 catches for 737 yards and five receiving touchdowns. He averages 4.9 yards per game through 12 games and has been targeted 95 times.
  • So far in 2023, Ernest Jones has put up 4.5 sacks to go with 14 TFL and 145 tackles over 15 games.
  • Byron Young has 61 tackles, eight TFL, and eight sacks.
  • Jordan Fuller has recorded one TFL, 93 tackles, and three interceptions in the 2023 season.
  • Aaron Donald’s stats include 53 tackles, 16 TFL, eight sacks, and three passes defended in 16 games

Lions vs. Rams Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Lions, and we expect that Rams will cover the spread (Lions -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 52.5 points.

How to Bet on Lions vs. Rams

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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