Patriots vs. Jets Prediction: Week 8 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – October 2022

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The New York Jets (5-2) are putting their four-game winning streak on the line when they collide with the New England Patriots (3-4) at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, October 30, 2022.

Patriots vs. Jets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing the Patriots as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Patriots have -145 odds to pick up the win, while the Jets are listed at +125 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 40.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Patriots vs. Jets Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
  • Stadium: MetLife Stadium

Betting Preview

Patriots

Offensively, the Patriots rank 17th in the NFL with 341.1 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 15th in total defense (345.3 yards allowed per contest). The Patriots are totaling 22.1 points per game on offense, which ranks them 16th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 14th, giving up 20.9 points per contest.

The Patriots are totaling 218.6 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 21st in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 12th, allowing 208.6 passing yards per game. The Patriots are totaling 122.6 rushing yards per game on offense this season (12th in NFL), and they are surrendering 136.7 rushing yards per game (25th) on the other side of the ball.

The Patriots own the 12th-ranked third-down offense this season (41.8% third-down conversion rate), but they’ve been worse on defense, ranking fifth-worst with a 44.4% third-down percentage allowed. The Patriots are giving up 5.4 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (12th in the NFL), while gaining 5.8 per play (ninth in the league) on offense this season. The Patriots own the 21st-ranked turnover margin in the NFL at -2, forcing 13 turnovers (third in NFL) while turning it over 15 times (31st in NFL).

Jets

From an offensive perspective, the Jets are accumulating 330.9 total yards per game (22nd-ranked). They rank ninth in the NFL defensively (314.7 total yards allowed per game). The Jets rank 14th in the NFL with 22.7 points per contest on offense, and they rank 10th with 19.6 points ceded per contest on the defensive side of the ball.

In terms of passing, the Jets rank 23rd in the NFL (213.9 passing yards per game) and 13th on defense (209.4 passing yards allowed per contest). The Jets are generating 117.0 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (17th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 105.3 rushing yards per game (11th-ranked) on defense.

The Jets’ third-down offense has been a bottom-five unit this season, compiling a 32.7% third-down percentage, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 20th with a 41.5% third-down rate ceded. The Jets have been dominant on defense in terms of yards per play, allowing just 4.9 (fifth-best). Offensively, they rank 23rd in the NFL by posting 5.1 yards per play. The Jets own a +2 turnover margin this season, which ranks ninth in the NFL.

Patriots vs. Jets Injury Report

Patriots

Player Pos. Injury Status
David Andrews C Concussion Out
Nelson Agholor WR Hamstring Questionable
Adrian Phillips DB Shoulder Questionable
Jonathan Jones CB Ankle Questionable
Kyle Dugger DB Ankle Out
Anfernee Jennings LB Calf Questionable
Josh Uche LB Hamstring Questionable

Jets

Player Pos. Injury Status
Breece Hall RB Acl Out
Corey Davis WR Knee Out
Duane Brown OT Shoulder Questionable
Alijah Vera-Tucker OG Tricep Out
Jermaine Johnson DE Ankle Questionable

Patriots vs. Jets Betting Analysis

Patriots Betting Insights

The Patriots are 3-3-1 against the spread this season. The Patriots have not covered a spread when they are at least 3-point favorites (0-1-1).

Patriots games have gone over the total four times this season. The Patriots went 8-4 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 66.7% of those games).

In games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -145 or shorter, the Patriots went 7-3 (70%).

Jets Betting Insights

The Jets have covered the spread in a matchup five times this year (5-2-0). In games this season when an underdog by 3 points or more, the Jets have gone 4-2 against the spread.

This year, three Jets games have gone over the point total. This season, the Jets have won four out of the six games in which they’ve been the underdog.

The Jets are 4-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +125 or more on the moneyline.

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Patriots vs. Jets Against The Spread & Betting Records

Patriots

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.1 44.2 42.3
Implied Total AVG 24.0 24.3 23.8
ATS Record 3-3-1 1-2-0 2-1-1
Over/Under Record 4-3-0 2-1-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-1 1-2

Jets

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.4 45.2 40.3
Implied Total AVG 23.7 25.3 22.5
ATS Record 5-2-0 1-2-0 4-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-4-0 1-2-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 0-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-2 1-2 3-0

Players to Watch

Patriots

  • Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing stat line this season includes 487 yards (seventh in the NFL) and four TDs. He’s averaging 69.6 yards per game and 5.0 per attempt (20th in the NFL).
  • Stevenson has been targeted 29 times in the passing game and has 25 catches (3.6 per game) for 145 yards (20.7 per game) and zero TDs.
  • Jakobi Meyers’ 355 receiving yards this season have come from 33 targets and 26 receptions. He’s averaging 71.0 receiving yards and 5.2 catches per game, with two receiving touchdowns.
  • Through six games, Damien Harris has picked up 265 rushing yards, averaging 44.2 yards per game and scoring three touchdowns.
  • Bailey Zappe has 781 passing yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He has completed 70.7% of his passes, averaging 195.3 yards per game and 8.5 per attempt.
  • Over on the defensive side, Matthew Judon has 26 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 8.5 sacks in 2022.
  • Deatrich Wise has 27 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 5.0 sacks, and one pass defended.
  • Jack Jones has recorded two interceptions and added 18 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and four passes defended.
  • Devin McCourty has 37 tackles on the year.

Jets

  • So far this year in seven games, James Robinson has churned out 340 rushing yards (second on the Jets) and scored three rushing touchdowns. He averages 48.6 yards per game and 4.2 per attempt (37th in the NFL).
  • Robinson has also figured into the receiving game with 46 yards (6.6 per game) on nine receptions (1.3 per game), while being targeted 11 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
  • Michael Carter averages 32.6 rushing yards per game over seven games (228 total yards), while scoring two rushing touchdowns.
  • Carter also has 20 catches for 151 yards (sixth on the Jets). He has been targeted 24 times and averages 21.6 yards per game.
  • Corey Davis has registered 351 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 19 receptions, while being targeted 34 times on the season.
  • Through three games, Joe Flacco has 899 passing yards, with five touchdowns against three interceptions and completing 58.7% of his attempts.
  • So far in 2022, C.J. Mosley has recorded 70 tackles and 1.0 TFL over seven games.
  • Quinnen Williams’ stats include 26 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 5.0 sacks, and two passes defended.
  • Ahmad Gardner has intercepted one pass on top of 33 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 11 passes defended in the 2022 campaign.
  • D.J. Reed Jr. has intercepted one pass and also has 30 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five passes defended.

Patriots vs. Jets Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Jets, and we project that Jets will cover the spread (Patriots -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 40.5 points.

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How to Bet on Patriots vs. Jets

You can bet on Patriots vs. Jets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Patriots vs. Jets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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