Patriots vs Jets Prediction: Week 18 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – January 7, 2024

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The New England Patriots (4-12) host a fellow AFC East competitor on Sunday, January 7, 2024, when they match up against the New York Jets (6-10) at Gillette Stadium.

Patriots vs. Jets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Patriots as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Patriots have -142 odds to pick up the win, while the Jets are listed at +120 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 28.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Patriots vs. Jets Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 7, 2024
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Gillette Stadium

Betting Preview

Patriots

While the Patriots rank sixth in total defense with 304.6 yards allowed per game, they’ve been slightly less successful on offense, ranking fifth-worst (286.1 yards per game). The Patriots have been a bottom-five scoring offense this season, ranking worst with 14.6 points per game. Defensively, they are ranked 17th in the NFL (21.8 points allowed per game).

The Patriots rank 24th in pass offense (189.9 passing yards per game) and 14th in pass defense (217.1 passing yards allowed per game) this season. The Patriots own the 25th-ranked offense this year in terms of rushing yards (96.2 per game), and they’ve been more effective on defense, ranking second-best with just 87.4 rushing yards allowed per game.

While the Patriots’ third-down defense ranks 13th with a 37.4% third-down conversion rate allowed per game, they’ve been less successful on offense, ranking third-worst with a 31.7% third-down percentage. The Patriots are gaining 4.8 yards per play on offense (26th in the league), while sporting the third-best yards per play on defense in the NFL (4.7) this season. With 17 forced turnovers (24th in NFL) against 27 turnovers committed (26th in NFL), the Patriots’ -10 turnover margin is the fourth-worst in the NFL.

Jets

The Jets rank second-worst in total yards per game on offense (269.5), but at least they’ve been playing well on defense, ranking fifth-best in total yards surrendered per game (303.1). The Jets rank fourth-worst in points per game (15.7), but they’ve been more productive defensively, ranking 18th in the NFL with 22 points ceded per contest.

Offensively, the Jets are a bottom-five pass offense, accumulating only 178.1 passing yards per game (third-worst). Fortunately, they are dominating on the defensive side of the ball, allowing only 176.9 passing yards per contest (fourth-best). The Jets rank fifth-worst in rushing yards per game (91.4), but they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 25th in the NFL with 126.3 rushing yards conceded per contest.

The Jets rank worst in third-down conversion rate (26.4%), but they’ve been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 20th in the NFL with a 39% third-down rate allowed. Offensively, the Jets are bottom-five in terms of yards per play, generating only 4.4 (third-worst). On the bright side, they are thriving on the other side of the ball, surrendering just 4.7 yards per play (third-best). The Jets have a -7 turnover margin this season, which ranks 23rd in the NFL.

Patriots vs. Jets Injury Report

Patriots

Player Pos. Injury Status
JaMycal Hasty RB Gameday inactive Out
Mac Jones QB Gameday inactive Out
Tyquan Thornton WR Ankle Out
Jahlani Tavai LB Tooth Probable
Anfernee Jennings LB Knee Probable
Shaun Wade CB Hip Probable
DeVante Parker WR Ribs Probable
Hunter Henry TE Knee Out
Pharaoh Brown TE Ribs Probable
Myles Bryant DB Illness Probable
Jonathan Jones DB Knee Probable
Jabrill Peppers DB Hamstring Probable
Jalen Mills DB Ankle Probable
Matthew Slater WR Hamstring Probable
Tyrone Wheatley Jr. OT Knee Out
La’Michael Pettway TE Gameday inactive Out

Jets

Player Pos. Injury Status
Zach Wilson QB Concussion Out
Austin Seibert K Gameday inactive Out
Bryce Hall CB Gameday inactive Out
Jeremy Ruckert TE Concussion Out
Allen Lazard WR Gameday inactive Out
Marcelino McCrary-Ball LB Gameday inactive Out

Patriots vs. Jets Betting Analysis

Patriots Betting Insights

The Patriots have gone 5-10-1 against the spread this season. The Patriots have an ATS record of 1-3 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.

Games involving the Patriots have hit the over seven times this season.

Jets Betting Insights

The Jets have covered the spread five times in 16 games with a set spread. In games they were an underdog in by 2.5 points or more so far this season, the Jets have gone 5-7 against the spread.

This year, seven Jets games have gone over the point total. This season, the Jets have won four out of the 13 games, or 30.8%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

The Jets are 2-7 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +120 or more on the moneyline.

Patriots vs. Jets Against The Spread & Betting Records

Patriots

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 40.1 41.4 38.8
Implied Team Total AVG 22.7 22.6 22.8
ATS Record 5-10-1 1-6-1 4-4-0
Over/Under Record 7-9-0 3-5-0 4-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-3 0-2 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-9 1-5 2-4

Jets

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 38 38.7 37.2
Implied Team Total AVG 21.8 21.9 21.6
ATS Record 5-10-1 4-5-0 1-5-1
Over/Under Record 7-9-0 4-5-0 3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-9 3-5 1-4

Players to Watch

Patriots

  • Ezekiel Elliott’s rushing stat line this season includes 588 yards and three TDs. He’s averaging 36.8 yards per game and 3.4 per attempt (43rd in the NFL).
  • Elliott has 58 targets, 46 catches, 286 receiving yards and two TDs in the passing game.
  • Mac Jones has 2,120 passing yards, 10 touchdowns and 12 interceptions this year. He has completed 64.9% of his attempts, averaging 192.7 yards per game and 6.1 per attempt.
  • Bailey Zappe has 1,184 passing yards in nine games this year, averaging 131.6 per game with a 63.2% completion percentage and six touchdowns against seven interceptions.
  • He has tacked on 70 rushing yards (7.8 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
  • Demario Douglas averages 3.6 receptions and 42.2 yards per game, and has 548 total receiving yards and 47 catches. He’s gotten 73 total targets, but has yet to catch a touchdown pass.
  • On the defensive side for the Patriots, Kyle Dugger has racked up 101 tackles, six TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions in 2023.
  • Jahlani Tavai has 101 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and two interceptions this season.
  • Ja’Whaun Bentley has totaled 103 tackles, five TFL, and four sacks this year. His tackle total leads the Patriots.
  • Christian Barmore has 8.5 sacks (first on the Patriots) to go with his 11 TFL and 55 tackles this year.

Jets

  • Breece Hall has rushed for four touchdowns this year, and has 816 total rushing yards (51 per game and 4.4 per carry).
  • Hall has also been a part of the passing attack with 579 yards (36.2 per game) on 74 receptions (4.6 per game), while being targeted 93 times. He has four receiving touchdowns.
  • Garrett Wilson has put together a 2023 campaign that includes 93 catches for 1,008 yards and three receiving touchdowns through 16 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 163 targets and is averaging 5.8 receptions per game.
  • Tyler Conklin has recorded 605 receiving yards on 59 receptions, while being targeted 84 times this season.
  • Xavier Gipson has 20 catches for 225 yards without a receiving touchdown. He averages 1.3 yards per game in 16 games and has been targeted 33 times.
  • So far in 2023, Quincy Williams has amassed two sacks to go with 15 TFL, 131 tackles, and one interception through 16 games.
  • C.J. Mosley has one interception on top of 144 tackles, five TFL, 0.5 sacks, and seven passes defended.
  • Over the 2023 season, Jermaine Johnson has 53 tackles, 10 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and one interception through 16 games.
  • Jordan Whitehead’s stat sheet includes four interceptions (seventh in the NFL) as well as 97 tackles, three TFL, 0.5 sacks, and nine passes defended in 16 games

Patriots vs. Jets Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Patriots, and we predict that Patriots will cover the spread (Patriots -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 28.5 points.

How to Bet on Patriots vs. Jets

You can bet this Patriots vs. Jets pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

Tip: If you want to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Patriots vs. Jets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

What is a parlay? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to the best NFL betting sites.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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