Jaguars vs Buccaneers Prediction: Week 16 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – December 24, 2023

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As they attempt to extend a three-game winning streak, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7) host the Jacksonville Jaguars (8-6) at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, December 24, 2023.

Jaguars vs. Buccaneers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with bookmakers listing the Jaguars as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Jaguars have -125 odds to pick up the win, while the Buccaneers are listed at +105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 43 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Jaguars vs. Buccaneers Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 24, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Stadium: Raymond James Stadium

Betting Preview

Jaguars

Offensively, the Jaguars rank 12th in the NFL with 342 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 27th in total defense (360.1 yards allowed per contest). The Jaguars rank 10th in scoring offense (22.8 points per game) and 20th in scoring defense (22.4 points allowed per game) this season.

The Jaguars have the eighth-ranked passing offense this year (244 passing yards per game), and they’ve been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-worst with 256.6 passing yards allowed per game. The Jaguars are totaling 98 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 26th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 12th, surrendering 103.6 rushing yards per game.

The Jaguars are putting up a 36.5% third-down conversion rate on offense, which ranks them 22nd in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank sixth, surrendering a 35.8% third-down percentage. The Jaguars are putting up 5.2 yards per play on offense, which ranks them 15th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 25th, surrendering 5.6 yards per play. The Jaguars have forced 25 total turnovers (first in NFL) this season and have turned it over 24 times (24th in NFL) for a turnover margin of +1, 14th-ranked in the NFL.

Buccaneers

With 314.9 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Buccaneers rank 23rd in the NFL in 2023. Defensively, they rank 26th, surrendering 359.9 total yards per contest. From an offensive perspective, the Buccaneers are putting up 21.1 points per contest (20th-ranked). They rank 13th in the NFL defensively (20.7 points allowed per game).

The Buccaneers have been struggling against the pass, ranking second-worst with 263.9 passing yards given up per game. They have been more productive on offense, posting 224.3 passing yards per contest (19th-ranked). The Buccaneers’ running game has not been getting things done, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 90.6 rushing yards per game. They have been more productive defensively, giving up 96 rushing yards per contest (ninth-ranked).

From an offensive angle, the Buccaneers are putting up a 41.5% third-down conversion percentage (10th-ranked). They rank 26th in the NFL defensively (42.5% third-down rate allowed). The Buccaneers rank 17th in the NFL with 5.1 yards per play on offense, and they rank 25th with 5.6 yards given up per play on the defensive side of the ball. At +6, the Buccaneers own the sixth-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with 20 forced turnovers (15th in NFL) and 14 turnovers committed (fourth in NFL).

Jaguars vs. Buccaneers Injury Report

Jaguars

Player Pos. Injury Status
Trevor Lawrence QB Ankle Probable
Zay Jones WR Knee Out
Gregory Junior CB Gameday inactive Out
Chandler Brewer OT Gameday inactive Out
Tyson Campbell CB Hamstring Probable
Yasir Abdullah LB Gameday inactive Out
Brenton Strange TE Foot Probable

Buccaneers

Player Pos. Injury Status
John Wolford QB Gameday inactive Out
JJ Russell ILB Gameday inactive Out
Markees Watts OLB Gameday inactive Out
Rakim Jarrett WR Quad Questionable

Jaguars vs. Buccaneers Betting Analysis

Jaguars Betting Insights

The Jaguars have registered an 8-6-0 record against the spread this season. In games this season when favored by 2 points or more, the Jaguars are 5-2 against the spread.

Games involving the Jaguars have hit the over seven times this season.

Buccaneers Betting Insights

The Buccaneers have gone 9-5-0 against the spread this year. In games this year when an underdog by 2 points or more, the Buccaneers are 6-3 against the spread.

This year, Buccaneers games have hit the over six times. The Buccaneers have been underdogs in 10 games this season and won four (40%) of those contests.

The Buccaneers have a record of 3-6, a 33.3% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +105 or more by oddsmakers this season.

Jaguars vs. Buccaneers Against The Spread & Betting Records

Jaguars

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.6 43.5 43.7
Implied Team Total AVG 24.1 24.5 23.5
ATS Record 8-6-0 3-5-0 5-1-0
Over/Under Record 7-7-0 4-4-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-2 3-2 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-4 0-3 2-1

Buccaneers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 41.4 40.4 42.2
Implied Team Total AVG 23.2 22 24.1
ATS Record 9-5-0 2-4-0 7-1-0
Over/Under Record 6-8-0 2-4-0 4-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 3-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-6 0-2 4-4

Players to Watch

Jaguars

  • Trevor Lawrence has passed for 3,525 yards (10th in the NFL), 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions this year. He averages 251.8 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt, while completing 65.9% of his passes.
  • He has also rushed for 300 yards (second on the Jaguars) and added four touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 21.4 rushing yards per game.
  • Travis Etienne’s rushing statline this season includes 837 yards (10th in the NFL) and nine TDs. He’s averaging 59.8 yards per game and 3.7 per attempt (36th in the NFL).
  • He’s also caught 48 passes (on 62 targets) for 411 receiving yards with one touchdown. He’s averaging 29.4 receiving yards and 3.4 catches per game.
  • In the passing attack, Calvin Ridley, has totaled 781 receiving yards and five touchdowns after pulling down 60 balls on 109 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 55.8 yards and 4.3 receptions in 14 games.
  • Evan Engram has racked up 729 receiving yards and three touchdowns with 88 catches on 109 targets. He’s averaging 6.3 receptions and 52.1 yards per game.
  • On the defensive side for the Jaguars, Foyesade Oluokun has racked up 147 tackles, eight TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception in 2023.
  • Josh Allen has intercepted one pass and has added 55 tackles, 13 TFL, 13.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
  • This season, Devin Lloyd has recorded one TFL and 110 tackles.
  • So far this season, Rayshawn Jenkins has 82 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and two interceptions.

Buccaneers

  • Baker Mayfield has thrown for 3,315 yards this year, with 24 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and eight interceptions. He is completing 63.5% of his passes while averaging 236.8 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt.
  • Mayfield has also rushed for one touchdown and 152 yards (second on the Buccaneers).
  • Rachaad White has scored five rushing touchdowns, while totaling 834 rushing yards (3.8 per attempt and 59.6 per game).
  • White has also picked up 469 receiving yards (33.5 per game) on 50 catches (3.6 per game). He’s been targeted 55 times and has caught three touchdown passes.
  • Mike Evans has totaled 1,077 receiving yards (10th in the NFL) and 11 touchdowns (second in the NFL) on 66 receptions, while being targeted 115 times this season.
  • Chris Godwin has been targeted 108 times, resulting in 68 catches for 814 yards .
  • In 2023, Antoine Winfield Jr. has four sacks to go with four TFL, 107 tackles, and two interceptions through 14 games.
  • Lavonte David has 3.5 sacks to go with 16 TFL and 105 tackles.
  • Shaquil Barrett has 48 tackles, three TFL, 4.5 sacks, and one interception in the 2023 campaign.
  • Devin White’s season stats include 69 tackles, three TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 11 games. He is fourth on the Buccaneers in tackles.

Jaguars vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is the Buccaneers, and we project that Buccaneers will cover the spread (Jaguars -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 43 points.

How to Bet on Jaguars vs. Buccaneers

You can bet this Jaguars vs. Buccaneers pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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