Eagles vs Buccaneers Prediction: NFC Wild Card Picks, Live Odds & Start Time

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) have playoff home-field advantage against the Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) in the NFC Wild Card round on Monday, January 15, 2024 at Raymond James Stadium.

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Eagles as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Eagles have -162 odds to pick up the win, while the Buccaneers are listed at +136 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 43 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Eagles vs. Buccaneers Live?

  • Game Day: Monday, January 15, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Stadium: Raymond James Stadium

Betting Preview

Eagles

From an offensive standpoint, the Eagles rank eighth in the NFL with 354.4 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 26th in total defense (356.1 yards allowed per contest). With 25.2 points allowed per game on defense, which ranks third-worst in the NFL, the Eagles have had to lean on their seventh-ranked offense (25.5 points per contest) to keep them competitive.

The Eagles have the 16th-ranked passing offense this season (225.5 passing yards per game), and they’ve been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking second-worst with 252.7 passing yards allowed per game. Offensively, the Eagles rank eighth in the NFL with 128.8 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 10th in rushing yards allowed per contest (103.4).

While the Eagles rank second-worst in the NFL in third-down efficiency on defense with a 46.4% third-down percentage allowed, it’s been a different situation on offense, as they rank third-best in the NFL (48% third-down conversion rate). The Eagles rank 12th in offensive yards per play (5.4) and 24th in yards per play allowed (5.5) this season. With 18 forced turnovers (23rd in NFL) against 28 turnovers committed (23rd in NFL), the Eagles (-10) own the 27th-ranked turnover margin in the league.

Buccaneers

The Buccaneers are putting up 313 total yards per contest on offense this season (23rd-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 344.2 total yards per game (23rd-ranked). From an offensive angle, the Buccaneers are putting up 20.5 points per game (20th-ranked). They rank sixth in the NFL on defense (19.1 points allowed per game).

The Buccaneers’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in pass defense this season, ceding 248.9 passing yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank 17th with 224.2 passing yards per contest. While the Buccaneers’ run offense has had trouble moving the chains, ranking worst with 88.8 rushing yards per game, their defense ranks fifth-best with only 95.3 rushing yards conceded per contest.

With a 41.5% third-down conversion percentage on offense, the Buccaneers rank 10th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 23rd, allowing a 40.9% third-down rate. The Buccaneers rank 19th in the NFL with 5.1 yards per play on offense, and they rank 20th with 5.4 yards surrendered per play on the defensive side of the ball. The Buccaneers have a +8 turnover margin this season, which ranks ninth in the NFL.

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Injury Report

Eagles

Player Pos. Injury Status
Rashaad Penny RB Gameday inactive Out
A.J. Brown WR Knee Out
Moro Ojomo DT Gameday inactive Out
Tanner McKee QB Gameday inactive Out

Buccaneers

Player Pos. Injury Status
John Wolford QB Gameday inactive Out
K.J. Britt LB Calf Probable
JJ Russell ILB Gameday inactive Out
Patrick Laird RB Gameday inactive Out
Markees Watts OLB Gameday inactive Out
Rakim Jarrett WR Gameday inactive Out
Jose Ramirez OLB Gameday inactive Out
Josh Hayes DB Knee Probable

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Betting Analysis

Eagles Betting Insights

The Eagles are 7-8-2 against the spread this season. The Eagles are 6-6-2 ATS when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.

Eagles games have gone over the total nine times this season.

Buccaneers Betting Insights

The Buccaneers have covered the spread in a game 11 times this year (11-6-0). In games they were an underdog in by 2.5 points or more so far this year, the Buccaneers went 7-3 against the spread.

This season, six Buccaneers games have gone over the point total. This season, the Buccaneers have won five out of the 11 games, or 45.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

The Buccaneers are 3-3 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +136 or more on the moneyline.

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Against The Spread & Betting Records

Eagles

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.3 46.9 45.8
Implied Team Total AVG 26.1 27 25.2
ATS Record 7-8-2 3-4-1 4-4-1
Over/Under Record 9-8-0 7-1-0 2-7-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-4 6-1 4-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-1 1-1

Buccaneers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 41.3 41 41.6
Implied Team Total AVG 23.1 22.3 23.8
ATS Record 11-6-0 3-5-0 8-1-0
Over/Under Record 6-11-0 2-6-0 4-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 3-2 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-6 1-2 4-4

Players to Watch

Eagles

  • Jalen Hurts has 3,858 passing yards in 17 games this year, averaging 226.9 per game with a 65.4% completion percentage and 23 touchdowns against 15 interceptions.
  • In addition to his passing statistics, Hurts has 605 rushing yards (second on the Eagles), with 15 rushing touchdowns.
  • D’Andre Swift averages 4.6 yards per carry (11th in the NFL) and 65.6 yards per game, and has 1,049 total rushing yards (fifth in the NFL). He has recorded five rushing TDs this season.
  • He’s also hauled in 39 passes (on 49 targets) for 214 receiving yards with one touchdown. He’s averaging 13.4 receiving yards and 2.4 catches per game.
  • In the passing game, DeVonta Smith, has racked up 1,066 receiving yards and seven touchdowns after pulling down 81 balls on 112 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 66.6 yards and 5.1 receptions over 16 games.
  • Dallas Goedert has racked up 592 receiving yards and three touchdowns with 59 catches on 83 targets. He’s averaging 4.2 receptions and 42.3 yards per game.
  • Over on the defensive side, Reed Blankenship has 108 tackles, two TFL, and three interceptions in 2023.
  • Nicholas Morrow has 93 tackles, 12 TFL, and three sacks this season.
  • This season, Kevin Byard has put up 123 tackles and one interception.
  • Haason Reddick has 37 tackles, 13 TFL, 11 sacks, and one pass defended.

Buccaneers

  • Baker Mayfield has thrown for 4,044 yards this year (to rank ninth in the NFL), with 28 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and 10 interceptions. He is completing 64.3% of his passes while averaging 237.9 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt.
  • He’s added 163 yards on the ground (third on the Buccaneers), with one rushing touchdown. He’s averaging 9.6 yards per game and 2.6 per attempt.
  • Rachaad White averages 58.2 rushing yards per game through 17 games (990 total yards), while scoring six rushing touchdowns.
  • White also has 64 catches for 549 yards (third on the Buccaneers), with three receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 70 times and averages 32.3 yards per game.
  • This season, Mike Evans has caught 79 passes for 1,255 receiving yards (ninth in the NFL) with 13 touchdowns through the air (first in the NFL). He has been targeted 135 total times and is averaging 4.6 receptions per game in 17 games played.
  • Chris Godwin has 1,024 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 83 receptions after receiving 131 targets.
  • In 2023, Antoine Winfield Jr. has put up 122 tackles, six TFL, six sacks, and three interceptions through 17 games.
  • Lavonte David has 4.5 sacks (fifth on the Buccaneers) to go with 17 TFL and 133 tackles.
  • In the 2023 season, Devin White has 83 tackles, five TFL, 2.5 sacks, and two interceptions in 14 games.
  • Shaquil Barrett has put up 4.5 sacks (fifth on the Buccaneers) to go with three TFL, 52 tackles, and one interception over 16 games.

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Buccaneers, and we predict that Buccaneers will cover the spread (Eagles -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 43 points.

How to Bet on Eagles vs. Buccaneers

You can bet this Eagles vs. Buccaneers pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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