Ravens vs. Dolphins Prediction: Week 17 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – December 31, 2023

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The streaking Baltimore Ravens (12-3) take a five-game winning streak into a home game against the Miami Dolphins (11-4) on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at M&T Bank Stadium.

Ravens vs. Dolphins Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Ravens as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Ravens have -175 odds to pick up the win, while the Dolphins are listed at +145 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 47 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Ravens vs. Dolphins Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: M&T Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

Ravens

The Ravens have been firing on all cylinders this year, as they rank fifth-best in total offense (372.1 yards per game) and fifth-best in total defense (297.3 yards allowed per game). The Ravens have been surging on both offense and defense, ranking fourth-best in scoring offense (27.8 points per game) and best in scoring defense (16.3 points allowed per game).

The Ravens are averaging 212.4 passing yards per game offensively this year (21st in NFL), and they are surrendering 193.9 passing yards per game (sixth) on the defensive side of the ball. Offensively, the Ravens have been a top-five unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking best in the NFL by putting up 159.7 per game. They rank 12th on defense (103.4 rushing yards allowed per game).

The Ravens rank 10th in third-down conversion rate this season (42.2%), but they’ve been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with a 35.9% third-down conversion rate allowed. The Ravens have been a tough matchup for opposing teams in terms of yards per play, as they rank top-five in both offensive yards per play (fourth-best with 5.8) and yards per play allowed on defense (best at 4.5) this year. The Ravens have the best turnover margin in the NFL at +10, forcing 26 turnovers (second in NFL) while turning it over 16 times (seventh in NFL).

Dolphins

The Dolphins have been productive on both sides of the ball this season, ranking best in total offense (411.5 total yards per game) and third-best in total defense (296.5 total yards allowed per game). The Dolphins’ defense ranks 13th in the NFL with 20.9 points allowed per contest, but they’ve been led by their offense, which ranks best by generating 30.9 points per game.

The Dolphins’ pass offense has been thriving, putting up 275.1 passing yards per contest (best) this season. On defense, they rank 10th by giving up 205.6 passing yards per game. In terms of rushing, the Dolphins have excelled on both sides of the ball this season, ranking fifth-best in rushing yards per game (136.4) and fifth-best in rushing yards surrendered per game (90.9).

With a 42.4% third-down conversion percentage on offense, the Dolphins rank ninth in the NFL. Defensively, they rank seventh, surrendering a 36.6% third-down rate. Things have been positive for the Dolphins on both offense and defense, as they are putting up 6.6 yards per play (second-best) and ceding only 4.8 yards per play (fourth-best). With 23 forced turnovers (12th in NFL) and 20 turnovers committed (17th in NFL) this season, the Dolphins rank 11th in the NFL with a turnover margin of +3.

Ravens vs. Dolphins Injury Report

Ravens

Player Pos. Injury Status
Josh Johnson QB Gameday inactive Out
Jalyn Armour-Davis CB Concussion Out
Brandon Stephens DB Ankle Out
Del’Shawn Phillips LB Shoulder Probable
Kevin Zeitler OG Knee Out
Damarion Williams CB Gameday inactive Out
Zay Flowers WR Calf Probable
Malik Cunningham QB Gameday inactive Out
Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu OT Gameday inactive Out
Malik Hamm OLB Ankle Out

Dolphins

Player Pos. Injury Status
Raheem Mostert RB Knee Out
Jaylen Waddle WR Ankle Out
Skylar Thompson QB Gameday inactive Out
Jalen Ramsey CB Knee Probable
Emmanuel Ogbah DE Gameday inactive Out
Lester Cotton Sr. OG Hip Probable
Tyler Kroft TE Gameday inactive Out
Xavien Howard CB Hip Probable

Ravens vs. Dolphins Betting Analysis

Ravens Betting Insights

The Ravens have registered a 10-5-0 record against the spread this season. In games this season when favored by 3.5 points or more, the Ravens have gone 5-5 against the spread.

Ravens games have gone over the total seven times this season.

Dolphins Betting Insights

The Dolphins have covered the spread 10 times over 15 games with a set spread.

This season, Dolphins games have hit the over eight times. The Dolphins have been underdogs in three games this season and won one (33.3%) of those contests.

The Dolphins have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +145 odds on them winning this game.

Ravens vs. Dolphins Against The Spread & Betting Records

Ravens

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.5 43.1 43.9
Implied Team Total AVG 24.7 24.9 24.5
ATS Record 10-5-0 4-3-0 6-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-8-0 4-3-0 3-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-3 5-2 5-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-0 0-0 2-0

Dolphins

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.1 45.4 49.1
Implied Team Total AVG 27.2 27.5 26.9
ATS Record 10-5-0 6-2-0 4-3-0
Over/Under Record 8-7-0 4-4-0 4-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-2 7-1 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-0 1-2

Players to Watch

Ravens

  • Lamar Jackson has 3,357 passing yards, 19 touchdowns and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 66.3% of his passes, averaging 223.8 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt.
  • To go along with his passing stats, Jackson has 786 rushing yards (first on the Ravens), with five rushing touchdowns.
  • Gus Edwards averages 4.0 yards per carry (21st in the NFL) and 46.3 yards per game, and has 694 total rushing yards. He has recorded 12 rushing TDs this season.
  • He has caught 12 passes (on 13 targets) for 180 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He’s averaging 12.0 receiving yards and 0.8 catches per game.
  • In the passing attack, Zay Flowers, has racked up 752 receiving yards and four touchdowns after hauling in 74 balls on 105 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 50.1 yards and 4.9 receptions through 15 games.
  • Odell Beckham Jr. has put up 532 receiving yards and three touchdowns with 34 catches on 63 targets. He is averaging 2.6 receptions and 40.9 yards per game.
  • On defense, Roquan Smith has 151 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in 2023. His tackle total leads the Ravens and is fourth in the NFL.
  • Patrick Queen has 3.5 sacks (fifth on the Ravens) to go with 8.0 TFL, 119 tackles, and one interception.
  • Kyle Hamilton has put up 81 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 3.0 sacks, and four interceptions this year. He’s third on the Ravens in tackles.
  • Justin Madubuike has 12.0 sacks (first on the Ravens) as well as 11.0 TFL and 49 tackles this year.

Dolphins

  • Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 4,214 yards this year (to rank third in the NFL), with 26 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and 10 interceptions. He is completing 70.5% of his passes while averaging 280.9 yards per game and 8.5 per attempt.
  • Raheem Mostert averages 67.5 rushing yards per game through 15 games (1,012 total yards to rank fourth in the NFL), while scoring 18 rushing touchdowns.
  • Mostert has added 25 receptions (1.7 per game) for 175 yards (11.7 per game) with three receiving touchdowns. He’s been targeted 32 times in the passing game.
  • In 14 games played this season, Tyreek Hill has 106 catches (7.6 receptions per game on 10.4 targets per game) for 1,641 yards (second in the NFL) and 12 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL).
  • Devon Achane averages 70.8 rushing yards per game through nine games (637 total yards), with seven rushing touchdowns.
  • Achane has also caught 22 passes for 162 yards (seventh on the Dolphins), with two receiving touchdowns. He’s been targeted 31 times and averages 18.0 yards per game.
  • Bradley Chubb has 11.0 sacks (first on the Dolphins) to go with 10.0 TFL and 68 tackles through 15 games in 2023.
  • Andrew Van Ginkel has registered 6.0 sacks in addition to his 8.0 TFL, 65 tackles, and one interception over 15 games.
  • Zach Sieler has 8.5 sacks (second on the Dolphins) in addition to his 10.0 TFL, 51 tackles, and one interception.
  • Christian Wilkins has totaled 8.0 sacks (third on the Dolphins) to go with 10.0 TFL and 57 tackles through 15 games.

Ravens vs. Dolphins Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Ravens, and we predict that Ravens will cover the spread (Ravens -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47 points.

How to Bet on Ravens vs. Dolphins

You can bet this Ravens vs. Dolphins pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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