Cowboys vs Packers Prediction: NFC Wild Card Picks, Live Odds & Start Time

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The Green Bay Packers (9-8) play the Dallas Cowboys (12-5) in the NFC Wild Card round of the playoffs at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, January 14, 2024.

Cowboys vs. Packers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with oddsmakers listing the Cowboys as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Cowboys have -340 odds to pick up the win, while the Packers are listed at +270 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 51.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Cowboys vs. Packers Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 14, 2024
  • Game Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Arlington, Texas
  • Stadium: AT&T Stadium

Betting Preview

Cowboys

The Cowboys have been finding success on both offense and defense, ranking fifth-best in total offense (371.6 yards per game) and fifth-best in total defense (299.7 yards allowed per game). The Cowboys have been firing on all cylinders this year, as they rank best in scoring offense (29.9 points per game) and fifth-best in scoring defense (18.5 points allowed per game).

The Cowboys have been a tough opponent for opposing teams in the passing game, as they rank top-five in both passing offense (third-best with 258.6 passing yards per game) and passing defense (fifth-best with 187.4 passing yards allowed per game) this year. The Cowboys are putting up 112.9 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 14th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 16th, surrendering 112.4 rushing yards per game.

The Cowboys have the 14th-ranked defense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (37.4% third-down percentage allowed), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best with a 48.3% third-down conversion rate. The Cowboys rank sixth in offensive yards per play (5.6) and seventh in yards per play allowed (5) this year. The Cowboys have forced 26 total turnovers (12th in NFL) this season and have turned it over 16 times (second in NFL) for a turnover margin of +10, the fifth-best in the league.

Packers

From an offensive standpoint, the Packers are posting 345.5 total yards per contest (11th-ranked). They rank 17th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (335.1 total yards surrendered per game). With 22.5 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Packers rank 12th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 10th, giving up 20.6 points per game.

The Packers are generating 233.4 passing yards per game on offense this season (12th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 206.8 passing yards per game (ninth-ranked) on defense. The Packers rank 15th in rushing yards per game (112.1), but they’ve been less productive on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with 128.3 rushing yards allowed per contest.

The Packers’ third-down offense has been excelling, producing a 47.1% third-down conversion rate (fifth-best) this season. Defensively, they rank 25th by allowing a 41.1% third-down rate. In terms of yards per play, the Packers rank sixth in the NFL (5.6) and 20th on the other side of the ball (5.4 yards allowed per play). The Packers have registered 18 forced turnovers (23rd in NFL) and committed 18 turnovers (sixth in NFL) this season for a 0 turnover margin that ranks 16th in the NFL.

Cowboys vs. Packers Injury Report

Cowboys

Player Pos. Injury Status
Trey Lance QB Gameday inactive Out
Cooper Rush QB Illness Probable
Matt Waletzko OT Gameday inactive Out
Eric Scott Jr. CB Gameday inactive Out
Jalen Brooks WR Gameday inactive Out
Viliami Fehoko DE Gameday inactive Out
Tyrus Wheat DE Gameday inactive Out

Packers

Player Pos. Injury Status
A.J. Dillon RB Thumb Out
Christian Watson WR Hamstring Probable
Luke Tenuta OT Ankle Out
Jaire Alexander CB Shoulder Probable
David Long Jr. CB Gameday inactive Out
Caleb Jones OT Gameday inactive Out
Malik Heath WR Gameday inactive Out
Brenton Cox Jr. LB Gameday inactive Out

Cowboys vs. Packers Betting Analysis

Cowboys Betting Insights

The Cowboys have put together a 10-7-0 record against the spread this season. The Cowboys have an ATS record of 5-2 when playing as at least 7-point favorites.

This season, nine Cowboys games have gone over the point total.

Packers Betting Insights

The Packers have covered the spread nine times this year (9-7-1). The Packers have a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.

This season, 10 Packers games have gone over the point total. The Packers have won five, or 45.5%, of the 11 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Packers have played as an underdog of +270 or more once this season and won that game.

Cowboys vs. Packers Against The Spread & Betting Records

Cowboys

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.1 45.8 46.4
Implied Team Total AVG 26.8 27.5 26.1
ATS Record 10-7-0 6-2-0 4-5-0
Over/Under Record 9-7-1 5-3-0 4-4-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 12-1 8-0 4-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-0 0-4

Packers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.1 42.6 41.6
Implied Team Total AVG 22.6 22.9 22.3
ATS Record 9-7-1 5-3-0 4-4-1
Over/Under Record 10-7-0 3-5-0 7-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-2 2-1 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-6 3-2 2-4

Players to Watch

Cowboys

  • Dak Prescott ranks third in the NFL with 4,516 passing yards through 17 games this year, averaging 265.6 per game with a 69.5% completion percentage and 36 touchdowns (first in the NFL) against nine interceptions.
  • He has also rushed for 242 yards (third on the Cowboys) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 14.2 rushing yards per game.
  • CeeDee Lamb has 135 catches (first in the NFL) for 1,749 yards (second in the NFL) and 12 TDs. Through 17 games, he is averaging 7.9 catches and 102.9 yards per game.
  • Tony Pollard has 1,005 rushing yards with six touchdowns (59.1 yards per game across 17 games).
  • Pollard also has 55 receptions, 311 yards and zero TDs through the air.
  • Brandin Cooks averages 3.4 receptions and 41.1 yards per game, and has 657 total receiving yards and 54 catches. He’s gotten 81 total targets, and has caught eight touchdown passes (eighth in the NFL).
  • On defense for the Cowboys, Micah Parsons has racked up 64 tackles, 18 TFL, and 14 sacks in 2023.
  • Daron Bland has 69 tackles, three TFL, and nine interceptions this season. He’s fifth on the Cowboys in tackles.
  • Damone Clark has totaled 107 tackles, four TFL, and three passes defended.
  • This season, Donovan Wilson has 88 tackles, two TFL, and two interceptions. He’s third on the Cowboys in tackles.

Packers

  • Jordan Love is averaging 7.2 passing yards per attempt (13th in the NFL) and 244.6 yards per game this year, completing 64.2% of his passes on the way to 4,159 total yards (seventh in the NFL), 32 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and 11 interceptions through 17 games.
  • He’s added 247 yards on the ground (third on the Packers), while scoring four rushing touchdowns. He’s averaging 14.5 yards per game and 4.9 per attempt.
  • Jayden Reed has 793 receiving yards and eight touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) on 64 receptions, while being targeted 94 times.
  • In 17 games played this season, Romeo Doubs has 59 catches (3.5 receptions per game on 5.6 targets per game) for 674 yards and eight receiving touchdowns (eighth in the NFL).
  • Aaron Jones puts up 59.6 rushing yards per game through 11 games (656 total yards), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Jones also has 233 receiving yards (21.2 per game) on 30 catches (2.7 per game). He has been targeted 43 times with one touchdown reception.
  • Quay Walker’s 2023 showing includes 118 tackles, seven TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception in 14 games. He leads the Packers in tackles.
  • Rashan Gary’s stat sheet includes 44 tackles, seven TFL, nine sacks, and one pass defended.
  • In the 2023 campaign, Preston Smith has 48 tackles, four TFL, and eight sacks in 17 games.
  • Kenny Clark has 44 tackles, nine TFL, 7.5 sacks, and three passes defended.

Cowboys vs. Packers Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Cowboys, and we project that Cowboys will cover the spread (Cowboys -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 51.5 points.

How to Bet on Cowboys vs. Packers

You can bet this Cowboys vs. Packers pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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