Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 4 – October 2022

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An NFC East clash between the Dallas Cowboys (2-1) and Washington Commanders (1-2) is on the calendar for Sunday, October 2, 2022 at AT&T Stadium.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing the Cowboys as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Cowboys have -165 odds to pick up the win, while the Commanders are listed at +140 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 41 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Cowboys vs. Commanders Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Arlington, Texas
  • Stadium: AT&T Stadium

Betting Preview

Cowboys

Offensively, the Cowboys rank 23rd in the NFL with 324.0 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank eighth in total defense (312.3 yards allowed per contest). While the Cowboys’ defense ranks eighth with 17.3 points allowed per game, they’ve been a little worse on offense, ranking third-worst (15.3 points per game). The Cowboys rank 24th in passing yards this year (206.0 per game), but they’ve been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 176.3 passing yards allowed per game. The Cowboys are putting up 118.0 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 11th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 23rd, giving up 136.0 rushing yards per contest. The Cowboys rank 27th in third-down efficiency (28.9%) on offense and 12th in third-down conversion rate allowed (33.3%) on defense this season. The Cowboys are averaging 5.3 yards per play on offense, which ranks them 18th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank seventh, giving up 4.8 yards per play. The Cowboys own the 13th-ranked turnover margin in the league at even, forcing two turnovers (28th in NFL) while turning it over two times (fifth in NFL).

Commanders

In terms of total offense, the Commanders rank 20th in the NFL (342.0 total yards per game) and 27th on the other side of the ball (402.7 total yards allowed per contest). The Commanders’ defense has been bottom-five in scoring defense this season, surrendering 27.3 points per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. On offense, they rank 12th with 21.0 points per contest. The Commanders’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in pass defense this season, allowing 274.0 passing yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank 10th with 255.3 passing yards per contest. With 86.7 rushing yards per game on offense, the Commanders rank 24th in the NFL. Defensively they rank 21st, giving up 128.7 rushing yards per contest. The Commanders’ defense has been keeping opposing offenses in check on third down, allowing a 30.0% third-down conversion rate (fifth-best). Offensively, they rank sixth in the NFL with a 47.6% third-down rate. The Commanders’ defense has been bottom-five this season in terms of yards per play, allowing 6.3, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. On offense, they rank 26th at 4.8 yards per play. The Commanders sport a bottom-five turnover margin this season, fourth-worst at -4.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Injury Report

Cowboys

Cowboys: TE Dalton Schultz: Questionable (Knee), OG Connor McGovern: Questionable (Ankle), FB Jayron Kearse: Questionable (Knee)

Commanders

Commanders: OG Wes Schweitzer: Out (Concussion), OT Charles Leno Jr.: Questionable (Shoulder)

Cowboys vs. Commanders Betting Analysis

Cowboys Betting Insights

The Cowboys are 2-1-0 against the spread this season. Games involving the Cowboys have hit the over once this season. The Cowboys won 10 of the 13 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (76.9%). The Cowboys had a 10-3 record last year (winning 76.9% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -165 or shorter.

Commanders Betting Insights

The Commanders have covered the spread one time over three games with a set spread. The Commanders are winless against the spread when they have played as 3-point underdogs or more (0-1). This year, Commanders games have hit the over twice. The Commanders lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Commanders have played as an underdog of +140 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Cowboys vs. Commanders Against The Spread & Betting Records

Cowboys

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.5 46.0 38.5
Implied Total AVG 23.0 25.5 18.0
ATS Record 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 1-1 1-0

Commanders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.2 45.3 48.0
Implied Total AVG 25.0 25.0 25.0
ATS Record 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-1 0-0

Players to Watch

Cowboys

  • Cooper Rush has 514 passing yards through three games this year, averaging 171.3 per game with a 62.7% completion percentage and two touchdowns against zero interceptions.
  • Tony Pollard averages 5.6 yards per carry (eighth in the NFL) and 52.0 yards per game, and has 156 total rushing yards. He has recorded one rushing TD this season.
  • Pollard has six receptions on 10 targets for 69 yards. He has yet to score a touchdown in the passing game.
  • Through three games played, Noah Brown is averaging 71.0 yards and 5.0 receptions per game to total 213 receiving yards and 15 catches. He’s been targeted 21 times, and has one receiving touchdown.
  • CeeDee Lamb has 17 catches for 191 yards and one touchdown. He’s been targeted 34 times in the air attack, and averages 5.7 receptions and 63.7 yards through three games played.
  • Over on the defensive side, Donovan Wilson has one interception (10th in the NFL) to go with 24 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and two passes defended in 2022.
  • Micah Parsons has 10 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 4.0 sacks this season.
  • Demarcus Lawrence has recorded 16 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 3.0 sacks this year.
  • Dorance Armstrong Jr. has seven tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 3.0 sacks.

Commanders

  • Carson Wentz has thrown for 861 yards this year (to rank seventh in the NFL), with seven touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and three interceptions. He is completing 63.1% of his attempts while averaging 287.0 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
  • On the ground, Wentz has added 57 rushing yards (second on the Commanders).
  • Curtis Samuel has put together a 2022 campaign that includes 22 catches (seventh in the NFL) for 181 yards and two receiving touchdowns through three games played. He has been on the receiving end of 30 targets and is averaging 7.3 receptions per game.
  • This season through three games, Antonio Gibson has racked up 124 rushing yards (leading the Commanders) and scored two rushing touchdowns. He averages 41.3 yards per game and 3.1 per carry (49th in the NFL).
  • Gibson has helped out in the passing attack, picking up 87 receiving yards (29.0 per game) on 10 catches (3.3 per game), while being targeted 13 times. He is seeking his first receiving touchdown.
  • Terry McLaurin has 235 receiving yards and one touchdown from 12 receptions after getting 21 targets.
  • Darrick Forrest’s 2022 output includes 18 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception in three games. He is second on the Commanders in tackles.
  • Jamin Davis has 13 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 3.0 sacks.
  • Da’Ron Payne has recorded 2.0 sacks (second on the Commanders) as well as 2.0 TFL and 10 tackles in the 2022 season.
  • Cole Holcomb has 24 tackles.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Commanders, and we project that Commanders will cover the spread (Cowboys -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 41 points.

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How to Bet on Cowboys vs. Commanders

You can bet on Cowboys vs. Commanders at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Cowboys vs. Commanders picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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