Giants vs Commanders Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 15 – December 18, 2022

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The Washington Commanders (7-5-1) host a fellow NFC East competitor on Sunday, December 18, 2022, when they match up against the New York Giants (7-5-1) at FedExField.

Commanders vs. Giants Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Commanders as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Commanders have -215 odds to pick up the win, while the Giants are listed at +185 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 40.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Commanders vs. Giants Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBC
  • Location: Landover, Maryland
  • Stadium: FedExField

Betting Preview

Commanders

Defensively, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by surrendering only 310.5 yards per game. They rank 21st on offense (331.5 yards per game). The Commanders rank 25th in scoring offense (19.5 points per game) and 10th in scoring defense (19.7 points allowed per game) this season.

The Commanders rank 23rd in pass offense (207.1 passing yards per game) and eighth in pass defense (200.1 passing yards allowed per game) this year. The Commanders are compiling 124.5 rushing yards per game on offense (14th in the NFL), and they rank ninth on defense with 110.5 rushing yards allowed per game.

The Commanders own the 26th-ranked offense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (35.6% percentage), and they’ve been more effective defensively, ranking third-best with a 33.1% third-down percentage allowed. The Commanders are surrendering 5.3 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (11th in the NFL), while accumulating 4.9 per play (27th in the league) on offense this season. The Commanders rank 15th in the NFL with an even turnover margin after forcing 15 turnovers (15th in the NFL) while committing 15 (11th in the NFL).

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Giants

In terms of total yards, the Giants rank 23rd in the NFL (328.1 total yards per game) and 26th on defense (365.8 total yards allowed per contest). The Giants are accumulating 20.5 points per game on offense this season (20th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 23.1 points per game (20th-ranked) on defense.

The Giants’ passing game has been struggling, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with 180.5 passing yards per game. They have been better defensively, surrendering 216.1 passing yards per contest (17th-ranked). The Giants’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in run defense this season, allowing 149.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank sixth with 147.6 rushing yards per contest.

With a 38.2% third-down conversion rate on offense, the Giants rank 20th in the NFL. On defense, they rank seventh, giving up a 36.5% third-down rate. From an offensive standpoint, the Giants are putting up 5.1 yards per play (23rd-ranked). They rank 26th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (5.8 yards allowed per play). The Giants have produced 15 forced turnovers (15th in NFL) and committed 13 turnovers (second in NFL) this season for a +2 turnover margin that ranks 10th in the NFL.

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Commanders vs. Giants Injury Report

Commanders

Player Pos. Injury Status
Brian Robinson Jr. RB Quad Questionable
Antonio Gibson RB Foot Questionable
James Smith-Williams DE Concussion Questionable
Jamin Davis LB Thumb Probable
Samuel Cosmi OT Ankle Probable
Cam Sims WR Back Questionable
Andrew Norwell OG Shoulder Questionable
Trai Turner OG Knee Questionable

Giants

Player Pos. Injury Status
Richie James Jr. WR Concussion Questionable
Daniel Bellinger TE Ribs Questionable
Shane Lemieux OG Toe Questionable
Nick McCloud CB Illness Questionable
Jihad Ward OLB Concussion Questionable
Micah McFadden ILB Neck Probable
Elerson G. Smith OLB Achilles Questionable

Commanders vs. Giants Betting Analysis

Commanders Betting Insights

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The Commanders have put together a record of 8-5-0 against the spread this season.

Games involving the Commanders have hit the over four times this season. The Commanders won three of the four games they were favored on the moneyline last season (75%).

The Commanders played as a moneyline favorite of -215 or shorter in just one game last season, which they won.

Giants Betting Insights

The Giants are 9-4-0 against the spread this season. In games this year when an underdog by 4.5 points or more, the Giants have gone 4-1 against the spread.

Giants games have gone over the total five times this season. The Giants have been underdogs in nine games this season and won five (55.6%) of those contests.

This season, the Giants have won three of their five games when they’re the underdog by at least +185 on the moneyline.

Commanders vs. Giants Against The Spread & Betting Records

Commanders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.4 43.2 41.7
Implied Total AVG 23 23.3 22.7
ATS Record 8-5-0 4-2-0 4-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-8-1 2-4-0 2-4-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1-1 2-0 2-1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-3 1-2 2-1

Giants

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.8 42.1 44
Implied Total AVG 23.7 22.8 25.2
ATS Record 9-4-0 5-3-0 4-1-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-1 3-4-1 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-2 2-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-3-1 2-1-1 3-2

Players to Watch

Commanders

  • Terry McLaurin has brought down 62 passes on 98 targets for 945 total yards (ninth in the NFL) and three touchdowns. He is averaging 4.8 catches and 72.7 yards per game in 13 games played.
  • Carson Wentz has 1,489 passing yards, 10 touchdowns and six interceptions this year. He has completed 62.1% of his passes, averaging 248.2 yards per game and 6.4 per attempt.
  • He has tacked on 79 rushing yards (13.2 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
  • Through 13 games played, Curtis Samuel is averaging 42.8 yards and 4.2 receptions per game on the way to 556 receiving yards and 54 catches. He’s been targeted 79 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
  • Taylor Heinicke has 1,444 passing yards, nine touchdowns and five interceptions this year. He has completed 61.8% of his attempts, averaging 206.3 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
  • In addition to his passing stats, Heinicke also has 67 yards rushing (seventh on the Commanders), with one rushing touchdown.
  • On the defensive side for the Commanders, Jonathan Allen has racked up 51 tackles, 13 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and one interception in 2022.
  • Da’Ron Payne has 8.5 sacks (first on the Commanders) to go with 14 TFL and 51 tackles.
  • Jamin Davis has put up 77 tackles, seven TFL, and three sacks so far this year.
  • So far this season, Darrick Forrest has 62 tackles, one TFL, and three interceptions.

Giants

  • Through 13 games played this year, Daniel Jones has totaled 2,534 passing yards, while throwing 12 touchdowns against four interceptions and completing 66% of his attempts.
  • Jones has also rushed for five touchdowns and 548 yards (second on the Giants).
  • Saquon Barkley averages 83.3 rushing yards per game through 13 games (1,083 total yards to rank fourth in the NFL), while scoring eight rushing touchdowns.
  • Barkley has also collected 261 receiving yards (20.1 per game) on 42 catches (3.2 per game). He’s been targeted 54 times and is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
  • This season, Darius Slayton has caught 35 passes for 608 receiving yards with two touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 55 total times and is averaging 2.9 receptions per game through 12 games played.
  • Isaiah Hodgins has 224 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 21 receptions after receiving 27 targets.
  • Julian Love has one sack to go with six TFL, 97 tackles, and two interceptions through 13 games in 2022.
  • Dexter Lawrence has six sacks (first on the Giants) to go with five TFL and 55 tackles.
  • Jaylon Smith has 62 tackles and two TFL during the 2022 campaign.
  • Fabian Moreau’s stats include 46 tackles and eight passes defended in 11 games

Commanders vs. Giants Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Commanders, and we predict that Commanders will cover the spread (Commanders -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 40.5 points.

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How to Bet on Commanders vs. Giants

You can bet on Commanders vs. Giants at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Commanders vs. Giants picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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