Texans vs Colts Prediction: Week 18 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – January 6, 2024

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The Houston Texans (9-7) visit a fellow AFC South foe on Saturday, January 6, 2024, when they go head to head with the Indianapolis Colts (9-7) at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Texans vs. Colts Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with oddsmakers listing the Texans as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Texans have -125 odds to pick up the win, while the Colts are listed at +105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 47.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Texans vs. Colts Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 6, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium

Betting Preview

Texans

Offensively, the Texans rank 10th in the NFL with 344.6 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 14th in total defense (328.9 yards allowed per contest). The Texans rank 14th in scoring offense (22.1 points per game) and 13th in scoring defense (20.9 points allowed per game) this year.

The Texans are averaging 245.4 passing yards per game offensively this year (seventh in NFL), and they are giving up 240.4 passing yards per game (25th) on the other side of the ball. The Texans rank 22nd in rushing yards this year (99.2 rushing yards per game), but they’ve been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 88.5 rushing yards allowed per game.

The Texans are putting up a 37.9% third-down conversion rate on offense, which ranks them 19th in the NFL. On defense, they rank eighth, allowing a 37% third-down conversion rate. The Texans rank 13th in offensive yards per play (5.4) and 13th in yards per play allowed (5.2) this year. The Texans have forced 23 total turnovers (16th in NFL) this season and have turned it over 14 times (first in NFL) for a turnover margin of +9, the fourth-best in the NFL.

Colts

With 335.3 total yards per game on offense, the Colts rank 15th in the NFL in 2023. On defense, they rank 24th, allowing 352.6 total yards per game. In terms of points scored the Colts rank 10th in the NFL (23.6 points per game), and they are 27th defensively (24.5 points allowed per game).

In terms of passing, the Colts rank 20th in the NFL (220.8 passing yards per game) and 17th on defense (224.8 passing yards allowed per contest). The Colts are generating 114.5 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (13th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 127.8 rushing yards per game (27th-ranked) on defense.

From an offensive perspective, the Colts are generating a 36.7% third-down conversion rate (22nd-ranked). They rank eighth in the NFL on defense (37% third-down rate allowed). With 5.2 yards per play on offense, the Colts rank 14th in the NFL. Defensively they rank 13th, surrendering 5.2 yards per play. With 24 forced turnovers (12th in NFL) and 21 turnovers committed (17th in NFL) this season, the Colts rank 11th in the NFL with a turnover margin of +3.

Texans vs. Colts Injury Report

Texans

Player Pos. Injury Status
Kris Boyd CB Gameday inactive Out
Maliek Collins DT Hip Probable
Sheldon Rankins DT Ankle Probable
Jonathan Greenard DE Ankle Out
Laremy Tunsil OT Groin Probable
Noah Brown WR Back Out
Robert Woods WR Hip Out
Case Keenum QB Gameday inactive Out
Andrew Beck FB Calf Probable
Nick Broeker OG Gameday inactive Out
Will Anderson Jr. DE Ankle Probable

Colts

Player Pos. Injury Status
Zack Moss RB Forearm Probable
Trey Sermon RB Gameday inactive Out
Kenny Moore II CB Back Probable
Chris Lammons CB Ankle Out
Quenton Nelson OG Ankle Probable
Ryan Kelly C Ankle Probable
Jack Anderson C Gameday inactive Out
Braden Smith OT Knee Probable
Adetomiwa Adebawore DT Gameday inactive Out

Texans vs. Colts Betting Analysis

Texans Betting Insights

The Texans have registered an 8-8-0 record against the spread this season. In games they have played as 1-point favorites or more, the Texans have an ATS record of 2-5.

Texans games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season.

Colts Betting Insights

The Colts have registered a 9-7-0 record against the spread this season. In games they were an underdog in by 1 point or more so far this year, the Colts have gone 4-6 against the spread.

Games involving Colts have hit the over 10 times this year. The Colts have been underdogs in 10 games this season and won three (30%) of those contests.

The Colts have entered eight games this season as the underdog by +105 or more and are 2-6 in those contests.

Texans vs. Colts Against The Spread & Betting Records

Texans

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.5 43.4 41.3
Implied Team Total AVG 23.3 23.2 23.3
ATS Record 8-8-0 4-5-0 4-3-0
Over/Under Record 6-10-0 3-6-0 3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-3 4-1 0-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-4 2-2 3-2

Colts

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.3 43.3 43.3
Implied Team Total AVG 22.9 22.9 23
ATS Record 9-7-0 4-4-0 5-3-0
Over/Under Record 10-5-1 6-1-1 4-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-0 3-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-7 1-4 2-3

Players to Watch

Texans

  • C.J. Stroud ranks ninth in the NFL with 3,844 passing yards in 14 games this year, averaging 274.6 per game with a 63.2% completion percentage and 21 touchdowns against five interceptions.
  • In addition to his passing statistics, Stroud also has 147 rushing yards (third on the Texans), with three rushing touchdowns.
  • Nico Collins‘ 1,102 receiving yards this season have come from 100 targets and 71 receptions. He’s averaging 78.7 receiving yards and 5.1 catches per game, with seven receiving touchdowns.
  • Devin Singletary’s output on the ground this season includes 835 yards and three TDs. He’s averaging 52.2 yards per game and 4.3 per attempt (17th in the NFL).
  • Singletary also has 29 catches, 191 yards and zero TDs through the air.
  • Dalton Schultz has put up 593 receiving yards and five touchdowns with 54 catches on 81 targets. He is averaging 3.9 receptions and 42.4 yards per game.
  • On defense, Blake Cashman has 91 tackles, nine TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 2023.
  • Christian Harris has 88 tackles, six TFL, and one sack this season. He’s second on the Texans in tackles.
  • Will Anderson Jr. has put up 44 tackles, 10 TFL, seven sacks, and one pass defended.
  • This season, Jalen Pitre has 77 tackles and five TFL. He’s third on the Texans in tackles.

Colts

  • Gardner Minshew is averaging 6.8 passing yards per attempt (21st in the NFL) and 210.9 yards per game this year, completing 62.7% of his passes on the way to 3,164 total yards, 15 touchdowns and nine interceptions through 15 games.
  • Minshew has also rushed for three touchdowns and 91 yards (fifth on the Colts).
  • Zack Moss has scored five rushing touchdowns, while totaling 764 rushing yards (4.3 per carry and 58.8 per game).
  • Moss has also picked up 192 receiving yards (14.8 per game) on 27 catches (2.1 per game). He’s been targeted 37 times and has caught two touchdown passes.
  • Through 15 games played this season, Michael Pittman Jr. has 104 catches (6.9 receptions per game on 10 targets per game) for 1,108 yards and four receiving touchdowns.
  • Jonathan Taylor puts up 61.4 rushing yards per game through nine games (553 total yards), with six rushing touchdowns.
  • Taylor has also caught 17 passes for 145 yards (eighth on the Colts), with one receiving touchdown. He’s been targeted 21 times and averages 16.1 yards per game.
  • Zaire Franklin has 172 tackles, three TFL, 1.5 sacks, and six passes defended in 2023.
  • DeForest Buckner has 74 tackles, 10 TFL, seven sacks, and seven passes defended.
  • Kenny Moore II has recorded 1.5 sacks as well as eight TFL, 91 tackles, and three interceptions in the 2023 season.
  • Samson Ebukam has 54 tackles, 10 TFL, 9.5 sacks, and one pass defended.

Texans vs. Colts Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Colts, and we expect that Colts will cover the spread (Texans -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 47.5 points.

How to Bet on Texans vs. Colts

You can bet this Texans vs. Colts pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

Tip: If you want to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texans vs. Colts picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

What is a parlay? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to the best NFL betting sites.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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