Bengals vs Chiefs Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 17 – December 31, 2023

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On Sunday, December 31, 2023, the Cincinnati Bengals (8-7) hit the road to battle the Kansas City Chiefs (9-6) at Arrowhead Stadium.

Chiefs vs. Bengals Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with sportsbooks listing the Chiefs as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Chiefs have -325 odds to pick up the win, while the Bengals are listed at +260 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 45.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Chiefs vs. Bengals Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium

Betting Preview

Chiefs

Defensively, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best by giving up only 287.3 yards per game. They rank ninth on offense (355.4 yards per game). The Chiefs own the 11th-ranked offense this season (22.2 points per game), and they’ve been better defensively, ranking second-best with just 17.7 points allowed per game.

The Chiefs have the sixth-ranked offense this season in terms of passing yards (253.5 passing yards per game), and they’ve been more effective defensively, ranking second-best with just 173.8 passing yards allowed per game. The Chiefs are putting up 101.9 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 20th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 18th, allowing 113.5 rushing yards per contest.

The Chiefs own the sixth-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (36% third-down conversion rate allowed), and they’ve been more effective on offense, ranking fifth-best with a 45.3% third-down percentage. This season, the Chiefs are gaining 5.5 yards per play on offense (eighth in the league), while featuring the fourth-best yards per play on defense in the NFL (4.8). The Chiefs own the second-worst turnover margin in the NFL at -10, forcing 16 turnovers (24th in NFL) while turning it over 26 times (27th in NFL).

Bengals

The Bengals rank 21st in total yards per game (322.1), but they’ve been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 383.4 total yards surrendered per contest. The Bengals rank 20th in the NFL with 21.2 points per game on offense, and they rank 21st with 23 points ceded per contest on the defensive side of the ball.

The Bengals’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in pass defense this season, allowing 256.1 passing yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank 11th with 239.4 passing yards per contest. The Bengals’ running game has been struggling, ranking worst in the NFL with 82.7 rushing yards per game. They have been better defensively, surrendering 127.3 rushing yards per contest (26th-ranked).

The Bengals’ defense has been bottom-five on third down this season, allowing a 43.2% third-down conversion rate, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank 19th with a 43.2% third-down rate. The Bengals rank 14th in yards per play (5.3), but they’ve been less productive on the defensive side of the ball, worst in the NFL with 6.1 yards allowed per play. The Bengals have a top-five turnover margin this season, ranking fourth-best at +8.

Chiefs vs. Bengals Injury Report

Chiefs

Player Pos. Injury Status
Isiah Pacheco RB Concussion Probable
Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB Illness Out
Kadarius Toney WR Hip Out
Malik Herring DE Gameday inactive Out
L’Jarius Sneed CB Calf Probable
Donovan Smith OT Neck Out
Neil Farrell Jr. DE Gameday inactive Out
Nic Jones CB Gameday inactive Out
BJ Thompson DE Gameday inactive Out

Bengals

Player Pos. Injury Status
Ja’Marr Chase WR Shoulder Probable
Jalen Davis CB Groin Out
Trey Hill C Gameday inactive Out
D’Ante Smith OT Gameday inactive Out
Chris Evans RB Gameday inactive Out
Travis Bell DT Gameday inactive Out

Chiefs vs. Bengals Betting Analysis

Chiefs Betting Insights

The Chiefs have gone 7-7-1 against the spread this season. The Chiefs have an ATS record of 3-3-1 when playing as at least 7-point favorites.

This season, Chiefs games have hit the over five times.

Bengals Betting Insights

The Bengals are 6-7-2 against the spread this season. The Bengals have a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.

Games involving Bengals have hit the over nine times this season. This season, the Bengals have been the underdog four times and won two of those games.

The Bengals have played as an underdog of +260 or more once this season and won that game.

Chiefs vs. Bengals Against The Spread & Betting Records

Chiefs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.7 48.1 45.1
Implied Team Total AVG 26.7 27.1 26.1
ATS Record 7-7-1 4-4-0 3-3-1
Over/Under Record 5-9-1 1-6-1 4-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-6 3-4 5-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 1-0 0-0

Bengals

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44 44.4 43.5
Implied Team Total AVG 23.8 23.8 23.9
ATS Record 6-7-2 3-3-2 3-4-0
Over/Under Record 9-6-0 4-4-0 5-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-5 5-2 1-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 0-1 2-1

Players to Watch

Chiefs

  • Patrick Mahomes II ranks fifth in the NFL with 3,938 passing yards through 15 games this year, averaging 262.5 per game with a 66.9% completion percentage and 26 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) against 14 interceptions.
  • He has added 387 rushing yards (25.8 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
  • Isiah Pacheco’s rushing output this season includes 805 yards and seven TDs. He’s averaging 61.9 yards per game and 4.3 per attempt (15th in the NFL).
  • Pacheco has 37 catches on 42 targets for 209 yards. He has one receiving TD.
  • Travis Kelce has five touchdown catches this season, and has 90 receptions for 968 yards on 117 targets, while averaging 6.4 catches and 69.1 yards per game.
  • Rashee Rice has 74 receptions for 811 yards and seven touchdowns. He’s been targeted 96 times in the air attack, and averages 4.9 receptions and 54.1 yards through 15 games played.
  • On the defensive side, Trent McDuffie has 74 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks in 2023.
  • Justin Reid has picked off one pass and has added 87 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended.
  • L’Jarius Sneed has put up 75 tackles, five TFL, and two interceptions this year.
  • This season, Drue Tranquill has 77 tackles, seven TFL, and 4.5 sacks.

Bengals

  • Joe Mixon has rushed for eight touchdowns this year, and has 858 total rushing yards (57.2 per game and 3.9 per carry).
  • On top of his rushing statistics, Mixon has caught 47 passes (on 58 targets) for 348 yards (fourth on the Bengals), with one receiving touchdown. He’s averaging 23.2 yards per game.
  • Ja’Marr Chase has 1,156 receiving yards (10th in the NFL) and seven touchdowns on 93 receptions, while being targeted 132 times.
  • Jake Browning has passed for 1,583 yards this year, eight touchdowns and six interceptions. He is completing 72% of his attempts while averaging 226.1 yards per game and 8.5 per attempt.
  • He’s added 77 yards on the ground (fourth on the Bengals), with two rushing touchdowns. He’s averaging 11 yards per game and 4.3 per attempt.
  • Tee Higgins has 637 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 41 receptions after receiving 74 targets.
  • In 2023, Logan Wilson has put up one sack to go with five TFL, 125 tackles, and three interceptions through 15 games.
  • Trey Hendrickson has 16 sacks (first on the Bengals and second in the NFL) to go with 16 TFL and 40 tackles.
  • Germaine Pratt has 116 tackles, seven TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions in the 2023 campaign. He is second on the Bengals in tackles.
  • Daxton Hill’s season stats include 99 tackles, five TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions through 15 games. He is third on the Bengals in tackles.

Chiefs vs. Bengals Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is the Chiefs, and we project that Bengals will cover the spread (Chiefs -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 45.5 points.

How to Bet on Chiefs vs. Bengals

You can bet this Chiefs vs. Bengals pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

Tip: If you want to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Chiefs vs. Bengals picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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