Browns vs Texans Prediction: AFC Wild Card Picks, Live Odds & Start Time

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The Houston Texans (10-7) square off with the Cleveland Browns (11-6) in the AFC Wild Card round of the playoffs at NRG Stadium on Saturday, January 13, 2024.

Browns vs. Texans Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with oddsmakers listing the Browns as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Browns have -148 odds to pick up the win, while the Texans are listed at +124 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 45 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Browns vs. Texans Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 13, 2024
  • Game Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBC
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: NRG Stadium

Betting Preview

Browns

The Browns own the 16th-ranked offense this year (335.9 yards per game), and they’ve been even better on the other side of the ball, ranking best with only 270.2 yards allowed per game. The Browns are averaging 23.3 points per game offensively this year (10th in NFL), and they are giving up 21.3 points per game (13th) on defense.

The Browns rank 19th in passing yards this year (217.2 per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 164.7 passing yards allowed per game. The Browns rank 12th in run offense (118.6 rushing yards per game) and 11th in run defense (105.5 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.

The Browns have struggled on third down, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL (31.6%) this season. However, they rank best on the defensive side of the ball, allowing a 29.1% third-down conversion rate. The Browns own the best defense this season in terms of yards per play (4.6 yards per play allowed), but they rank fifth-worst on offense (4.8 yards per play). The Browns own the 25th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL at -9, forcing 28 turnovers (fifth in NFL) while turning it over 37 times (32nd in NFL).

Texans

With 342.4 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Texans rank 12th in the NFL in 2023. On defense, they rank 14th, surrendering 330.7 total yards per game. In terms of points scored the Texans rank 13th in the NFL (22.2 points per game), and they are 11th defensively (20.8 points allowed per game).

With 245.5 passing yards per game on offense, the Texans rank seventh in the NFL. On defense, they rank 23rd, surrendering 234.1 passing yards per contest. With 96.9 rushing yards per game on offense, the Texans rank 22nd in the NFL. On defense they rank sixth, allowing 96.6 rushing yards per contest.

The Texans’ third-down defense has been leading the way for the team, as they rank fifth-best in the NFL with a 35.7% third-down conversion rate allowed. In terms of offense, they are posting a 37.9% third-down rate, which ranks 19th. From an offensive standpoint, the Texans are posting 5.4 yards per play (12th-ranked). They rank 12th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (5.2 yards surrendered per play). The Texans have fared really well in terms of turnovers, as their turnover margin of +10 ranks fifth-best in the NFL, with 24 forced turnovers (16th in league) and 14 turnovers committed (first in league).

Browns vs. Texans Injury Report

Browns

Player Pos. Injury Status
Pierre Strong Jr. RB Back Out
Jeff Driskel QB Gameday inactive Out
Dustin Hopkins K Left hamstring Out
Denzel Ward CB Knee Probable
Mike Ford CB Calf Probable
Mike Woods WR NIR Out
Kahlef Hailassie CB Gameday inactive Out
Cedric Tillman WR Head Out
Luke Wypler C Gameday inactive Out
Isaiah McGuire DE Gameday inactive Out

Texans

Player Pos. Injury Status
Jerry Hughes DE Ankle Out
Maliek Collins DT Hip Probable
Sheldon Rankins DT Shoulder Probable
Teair Tart DT Gameday inactive Out
Jonathan Greenard DE Ankle Probable
Noah Brown WR Back Probable
Robert Woods WR Hip Probable
Eric Saubert TE Gameday inactive Out
Case Keenum QB Gameday inactive Out
Andrew Beck FB Calf Probable
Nick Broeker OG Gameday inactive Out
Will Anderson Jr. DE Ankle Probable

Browns vs. Texans Betting Analysis

Browns Betting Insights

The Browns have covered the spread in a game 10 times this season (10-6-1). The Browns have an ATS record of 7-2 when playing as at least 2-point favorites.

This season, 10 Browns games have gone over the point total.

Texans Betting Insights

The Texans have covered the spread nine times in 17 games with a set spread. The Texans are 6-2 ATS when playing as at least 2-point underdogs.

Texans games have gone over the total six times this season. This season, the Texans have won five out of the nine games in which they’ve been the underdog.

This season, the Texans have won four of their six games when they’re the underdog by at least +124 on the moneyline.

Browns vs. Texans Against The Spread & Betting Records

Browns

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 38.5 38.1 39
Implied Team Total AVG 21.6 21.4 21.8
ATS Record 10-6-1 8-1-0 2-5-1
Over/Under Record 10-6-1 2-6-1 8-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-1 6-0 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-5 2-1 1-4

Texans

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.8 43.4 42.1
Implied Team Total AVG 23.4 23.2 23.5
ATS Record 9-8-0 4-5-0 5-3-0
Over/Under Record 6-11-0 3-6-0 3-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-3 4-1 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-4 2-2 3-2

Players to Watch

Browns

  • On the ground, Jerome Ford averages 4 yards per attempt (27th in the NFL) and 47.8 yards per game for 813 total rushing yards. He has recorded four rushing touchdowns this season.
  • Ford has 63 targets, 44 receptions, 319 receiving yards and five TDs through the air.
  • Amari Cooper has 72 catches for 1,250 yards (10th in the NFL) and five TDs. In 15 games, he is averaging 4.8 catches and 83.3 yards per game.
  • David Njoku has six touchdown catches this season, and has 81 receptions for 882 yards on 123 targets, while averaging 5.1 catches and 55.1 yards per game.
  • Kareem Hunt has rushed for 411 yards with nine touchdowns (27.4 yards per game in 15 games).
  • Over on the defensive side, Myles Garrett has 42 tackles, 17 TFL, and 14 sacks in 2023.
  • Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah has 98 tackles, 20 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and two interceptions this season. His tackle total leads the Browns.
  • Martin Emerson has put up 59 tackles, one TFL, and four interceptions this year.
  • So far this season, Greg Newsome II has 49 tackles, four TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two interceptions.

Texans

  • C.J. Stroud has thrown for 4,108 yards this year (to rank eighth in the NFL), with 23 touchdowns and five interceptions. He is completing 63.9% of his passes while averaging 273.9 yards per game and 8.2 per attempt.
  • Stroud has also rushed for three touchdowns and 167 yards (third on the Texans).
  • Nico Collins has put together a 2023 stat sheet that includes 80 catches for 1,297 yards (eighth in the NFL) and eight receiving touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) in 15 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 109 targets and is averaging 5.3 receptions per game.
  • Devin Singletary is averaging 52.8 rushing yards per game this season (898 total yards), while scoring four rushing touchdowns.
  • In addition to his rushing stats, Singletary has pulled down 30 passes (on 38 targets) for 193 yards (seventh on the Texans). He averages 11.4 yards per game.
  • Dalton Schultz has 59 catches for 635 yards and five receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.9 yards per game through 15 games and has been targeted 88 times.
  • Jonathan Greenard’s 2023 output includes 52 tackles, 15 TFL, and 12.5 sacks through 15 games.
  • Blake Cashman has one interception on top of 104 tackles, nine TFL, two sacks, and five passes defended.
  • Christian Harris has two sacks in addition to his seven TFL and 100 tackles.
  • Jalen Pitre’s stats include 84 tackles, six TFL, and five passes defended in 15 games

Browns vs. Texans Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is the Browns, and we expect that Browns will cover the spread (Browns -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 45 points.

How to Bet on Browns vs. Texans

You can bet this Browns vs. Texans pick at every legal online sportsbook

You can check our live NFL lines for the latest NFL odds, including money lines, spreads, and over/under totals.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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