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Sunday, September 17, 2023 will see the Denver Broncos (0-1) play the Washington Commanders (1-0) at Empower Field at Mile High.
Broncos vs. Commanders Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with sportsbooks listing the Broncos as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Broncos have -198 odds to pick up the win, while the Commanders are listed at +164 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 38.5 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Broncos vs. Commanders Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, September 17, 2023
- Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Stadium: Empower Field at Mile High
Betting Preview
Broncos
The average points scored by the Broncos last season, 16.9, was 3.3 fewer than the 20.2 the Commanders gave up per game. The Broncos were 6-6 overall and 8-4 against the spread when they scored over 20.2 points last season.
The Broncos had a 20.5-yard advantage in yards gained versus yards allowed last season compared to the Commanders (325.1 to 304.6). The Broncos averaged 5.1 yards per play, while the Commanders gave up 5.2 per play.
When the Broncos offense put together a game with more than the Commanders’ average yardage allowed (304.6) last season, they were 8-16 overall and 8-16 against the spread.
Commanders
The Commanders’ average points scored last season (18.9) and the Broncos’ average points conceded (21.1) were within 2.2 points. When they went over what the Broncos gave up last year (21.1 points per game), the Commanders were 10-2 overall and 10-2 against the spread. The Commanders’ offense gained 330.3 yards per game last year, within 10.3 yards of the 320 the Broncos’ defense conceded. The Commanders picked up 4.9 yards per play and the Broncos gave up 5.
The Commanders’ record last season when they accumulated more than the Broncos’ season average in total yards conceded (320): 10-8-2 overall, 10-10 ATS.
Broncos vs. Commanders Injury Report
Broncos
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Clark | OLB | Hip | Out |
| Greg Dulcich | TE | Hamstring | Out |
| Alex Forsyth | C | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Riley Moss | CB | Gameday inactive | Out |
Commanders
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Scott | OT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Chris Paul | OG | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Curtis Hodges | TE | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Jartavius Martin | DB | Concussion | Out |
| KJ Henry | DE | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Kaden Smith | TE | Undisclosed | Out |
Broncos vs. Commanders Betting Analysis
Broncos Betting Insights
Against the spread, the Broncos were 7-10-0 last season. The Broncos didn’t have a win ATS (0-3) as a 4-point favorite or more last season.
Out of 17 Broncos games last year, six hit the over.
Commanders Betting Insights
The Commanders had nine wins in 17 games against the spread last year. The Commanders had two wins ATS (2-2) as a 4-point underdog or greater last season.
Last season, Washington won four out of the eight games in which it was the underdog. Washington entered four games last season as the underdog by +164 or more and were 2-2 in those contests. There were five Commanders games (out of 17) that went over the total last season.
Last season, the Commanders were the underdog eight times and won four of those games. Last season, the Commanders won two of their four games when they were the underdog by at least +164 on the moneyline.
Broncos vs. Commanders Against The Spread & Betting Records
Broncos
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 41.4 | 41.3 | 41.6 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 23.1 | 23.3 | 23 |
| ATS Record | 7-10-0 | 3-5-0 | 4-5-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 6-11-0 | 3-5-0 | 3-6-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 4-5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-5 |
Commanders
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 41.8 | 42.4 | 41.1 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 22.9 | 23.1 | 22.6 |
| ATS Record | 9-8-0 | 5-4-0 | 4-4-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 5-11-1 | 2-7-0 | 3-4-1 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 4-3-1 | 2-2 | 2-1-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
Players to Watch
Broncos
- Russell Wilson threw for 3,524 yards last year, with 16 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He completed 60.5% of his passes while averaging 234.9 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
- On the ground, Wilson added three rushing touchdowns and 277 rushing yards.
- Jerry Jeudy had 67 catches for 972 yards and six receiving touchdowns. He was targeted 100 times and averaged 4.5 receptions per game over 15 games played.
- Last year over 16 games with the Bengals, Samaje Perine racked up 394 rushing yards and scored two rushing touchdowns. He averaged 24.6 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt.
- In addition to his rushing stats, Perine hauled in 38 passes (on 51 targets) for 287 yards with four receiving touchdowns. He averaged 17.9 yards per game.
- Courtland Sutton had 64 catches for 829 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averaged 4.3 yards per game over 15 games and was targeted 109 times.
- In 2022, Josey Jewell had 2.5 sacks to go with seven TFL, 128 tackles, and two interceptions over 13 games.
- Alex Singleton had 152 tackles and six TFL.
- Justin Simmons had 69 tackles, two TFL, and six interceptions in the 2022 campaign.
- Zach Allen’s stats for the Cardinals included 47 tackles, nine TFL, 5.5 sacks, and eight passes defended in 13 games
Commanders
- In 16 games last year for the Browns, Jacoby Brissett passed for 2,608 yards (163 yards per game) while posting 12 touchdowns, six interceptions and a 64% completion percentage.
- Brissett also provided value with his legs, running for 243 yards (5 YPC) and two touchdowns.
- On 120 targets, Terry McLaurin had 77 catches (4.5 per game) for 1,191 yards and five TDs in 17 games.
- Antonio Gibson scampered for 546 rushing yards (36.4 yards per game) and three touchdowns while averaging 3.7 yards per carry.
- As a receiver, Gibson reeled in 46 balls on 58 targets for 353 yards and two touchdowns.
- Curtis Samuel received 92 targets last season and turned them into 64 catches (3.8 per game) for 656 yards and four TDs.
- Cody Barton helped lead the Seahawks’ defense last season with 133 tackles, four TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions in 17 games.
- Da’Ron Payne accumulated 11.5 sacks to go along with 18 TFL and 64 tackles in 17 games.
- Jonathan Allen registered one interception to go along with 64 tackles, 16 TFL, 7.5 sacks, and three passes defended in 16 games.
- With three sacks to go along with nine TFL and 104 tackles, Jamin Davis made a big difference on D.
Broncos vs. Commanders Predictions and Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is the Commanders, and we expect that Commanders will cover the spread (Broncos -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 38.5 points.
How to Bet on Broncos vs. Commanders
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