Denver vs. Los Angeles Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, April 29, 2024

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The Denver Nuggets will meet the Los Angeles Lakers in a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs.

The Nuggets hit the court as 7-point favorites against the Lakers. The game features a point total of 217.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds

Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Lakers

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with oddsmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorite.

Denver vs. Los Angeles Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Denver has -290 odds to win the game, while Los Angeles is listed at +235 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 217 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Monday, April 29, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: TNT

Nuggets vs. Lakers Betting Trends

The Nuggets are 38-42-2 against the spread this season. Denver has been the favorite in 72 games this season and won 53 (73.6%) of those contests. Games involving the Nuggets have hit the over 35 times this season.

The Lakers have covered the spread in a matchup 38 times this season (38-44-0). Los Angeles has been chosen as underdogs in 35 games this year and has walked away with the win 15 times (42.9%) in those games. This season, Lakers games have hit the over 47 times.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Key Players to Watch

Nuggets

Nikola Jokic’s numbers on the season are 26.4 points, 9.0 assists and 12.4 boards per contest. Michael Porter Jr. averages 16.7 points, 7.0 boards and 1.5 assists per game, shooting 48.4% from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.7 made 3-pointers per contest. Jamal Murray’s numbers for the season are 21.2 points, 4.1 boards and 6.5 assists per contest, shooting 48.1% from the floor and 42.5% from downtown (10th in league), with 2.5 made 3-pointers per game. Aaron Gordon averages 13.9 points, 6.5 boards and 3.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocks.

Lakers

Anthony Davis’ averages for the season are 24.7 points, 12.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists, making 55.6% of his shots from the field. LeBron James contributes with 25.7 points per game, plus 7.3 boards and 8.3 assists. The Lakers get 18.0 points, 3.1 boards and 6.3 assists per game from D’Angelo Russell. Austin Reaves’ averages for the season are 15.9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 5.5 assists, making 48.6% of his shots from the floor and 36.7% from 3-point range, with 1.9 treys per game.

What you need to know about the Nuggets

The Nuggets are 14th in the NBA with 114.9 points per game this year. At the other end, they rank sixth with 109.6 points allowed per contest. This season, the Nuggets are averaging 44.4 boards per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) and allowing 42.3 rebounds per contest (seventh-ranked). The Nuggets have been one of the top teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are dishing out 29.5 per game (third-best in NBA).

Offensively Denver has fared better at home this year, putting up 118.5 points per game, compared to 111.2 per game on the road. So far this year, Denver is draining 11.7 threes per game (25th-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 37.4% (ninth-ranked) from three-point land. Denver ranks second-best in the NBA by allowing 11.2 three-pointers per game. In terms of three-point percentage allowed, it ranks eighth in the league at 35.5%.

The Nuggets have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Denver has hit the over five times. The Nuggets have been racking up 115.0 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 114.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 campaign. Denver has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 107.2 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 109.6 points per game its opponents average over the 2023-24 season.

What you need to know about the Lakers

At 118.0 points scored per game and 117.4 points conceded, the Lakers are sixth in the league offensively and 23rd defensively. In 2023-24, Los Angeles is 18th in the NBA in rebounds (43.1 per game) and 18th in rebounds conceded (44.0). This season the Lakers are fifth-best in the NBA in assists at 28.5 per game.

At home, the Lakers score 119.0 points per game. Away, they score 117.0. In 2023-24, the Lakers are 24th in the league in 3-point makes (11.8 per game) and eighth in 3-point percentage (37.7%). Los Angeles is the third-worst team in the league in 3-pointers allowed (14.3 per game) and 24th in 3-point percentage defensively (37.6%).

The Lakers have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in their past 10 games. Los Angeles has gone over the total in six of its past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Los Angeles is tallying 115.1 points per contest, compared to its season average of 118.0. The Lakers are ceding 114.1 points per game over their past 10 games, which is 3.3 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (117.4).

Nuggets vs. Lakers Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Nuggets, and we project that Nuggets will cover the spread (Nuggets -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 217 points.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Lakers

You can bet on Denver vs. Los Angeles at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Denver vs. Los Angeles picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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