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The Boston Celtics will take on the Miami Heat in Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs.
The Celtics hit the court as double-digit favorites against the Heat. The Celtics are favored by 10.5 points. The game’s over/under is set at 203.5.
Celtics vs. Heat Odds
Point Spread for Celtics vs. Heat
The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Celtics as the favorite.
Boston vs. Miami Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Boston has -520 odds to win the game, while Miami is listed at +390 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 203.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Monday, April 29, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
- Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
- TV: TNT
Celtics vs. Heat Betting Trends
The Celtics are 42-36-4 against the spread this season. Boston has been the favorite in 79 games this season and won 63 (79.7%) of those contests. Games involving the Celtics have hit the over 43 times this season.
The Heat are 40-39-3 against the spread this season. Miami has won in 11, or 31.4%, of the 35 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. This season, 35 of the Heat’s games have gone over the point total.
Celtics vs. Heat Key Players to Watch
Celtics
Jayson Tatum averages 26.9 points, 8.1 boards and 4.9 assists per game, making 47.1% of shots from the floor and 37.6% from beyond the arc with 3.1 made 3-pointers per contest (seventh in league). Jaylen Brown posts 23.0 points, 5.5 boards and 3.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.5 blocks. Derrick White’s numbers for the season are 15.2 points, 5.2 assists and 4.2 boards per game. Kristaps Porzingis averages 20.1 points, 7.2 boards and 2.0 assists per game, shooting 51.6% from the field and 37.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 made 3-pointers per game.
Heat
Bam Adebayo gives the Heat 19.3 points, 10.4 boards and 3.9 assists per contest. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocks. Jaime Jaquez Jr. contributes with 11.9 points per game, plus 3.8 boards and 2.6 assists. The Heat receive 12.9 points per game from Duncan Robinson, plus 2.6 boards and 2.8 assists. Tyler Herro averages 20.8 points, 5.3 boards and 4.5 assists, making 44.1% of his shots from the field and 39.6% from 3-point range, with 3.1 treys per game.
What you need to know about the Celtics
When it comes to points, the Celtics are dominating on both offense and defense, as they rank second-best in the league in points scored (120.6 per game) and fifth-best in points allowed (109.2 per contest). The Celtics are allowing 43.3 rebounds per game this year (14th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve thrived by grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game (second-best). The Celtics are putting up 26.9 dimes per game, which ranks them 14th in the NBA in 2023-24.
Boston is putting up 123.1 points per game in home games. When playing on the road, it is averaging 118.0 points per contest. Boston is dominating in terms of three-point shooting, as it ranks best in the league in three-pointers (16.5 per game) and second-best in shooting percentage from beyond the arc (38.8%). Boston is giving up 12.9 threes per game this year (14th-ranked in NBA), and it is allowing a 35.2% three-point percentage (fourth-best).
The Celtics have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 5-4-1 record against the spread during that span. Six of Boston’s last 10 contests have hit the over. The Celtics have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 114.2 points per game in their last 10 contests, 6.4 points fewer than the 120.6 they’ve scored this year. Boston’s defense has been tough as of late, as the team has given up 103.8 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 109.2 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
What you need to know about the Heat
The Heat are the fifth-worst team in the NBA in points scored (110.1 per game) but third-best in points allowed (108.4). Miami is 25th in the league in rebounds per game (42.3) and 11th in rebounds conceded (42.8). The Heat are 18th in the league in assists (25.8 per game) in 2023-24.
The Heat are scoring more points at home (112.1 per game) than away (108.1). The Heat make 12.5 3-pointers per game and shoot 37.0% from beyond the arc, ranking 18th and 12th, respectively, in the NBA. In 2023-24 Miami is 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (13.0 per game) and fifth-best in defensive 3-point percentage (35.3%).
The Heat have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in their past 10 contests. Miami has gone over the total in seven of its last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Miami is averaging 108.0 points per contest, 2.1 fewer points than its season average (110.1). Over their last 10 games, the Heat are ceding 107.7 points per game, 0.7 fewer points than their season average (108.4).
Celtics vs. Heat Prediction & Pick
Our prediction to win this contest is Celtics, and we expect that Heat will cover the spread (Celtics -10.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 203.5 points.
How to bet Celtics vs. Heat
You can bet on Boston vs. Miami at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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