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On Sunday, January 7, 2024, the Buffalo Bills (10-6) visit the Miami Dolphins (11-5) at Hard Rock Stadium and will look to continue a four-game winning streak.
Bills vs. Dolphins Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Bills as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Bills have -162 odds to pick up the win, while the Dolphins are listed at +136 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 48 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Bills vs. Dolphins Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, January 7, 2024
- Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
- TV Channel: NBC
- Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
- Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
Betting Preview
Bills
The Bills own the 10th-ranked defense this year (309.2 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better offensively, ranking fifth-best with 368.3 yards per game. The Bills have been thriving on both sides of the ball, ranking fifth-best in scoring offense (26.9 points per game) and fourth-best in scoring defense (18.6 points allowed per game).
From an offensive standpoint, the Bills rank 10th in the NFL with 238.1 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank seventh in passing yards allowed per contest (198.4). The Bills are totaling 130.3 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them seventh in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank 15th, giving up 110.8 rushing yards per contest.
The Bills rank 18th in third-down defense this season (38.5% third-down percentage allowed), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with a 49% third-down percentage. The Bills rank 10th in yards per play allowed this year (5.1), but they’ve been shining on offense, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 5.7 yards per play. The Bills have forced 28 total turnovers (second in NFL) this season and have turned it over 25 times (23rd in NFL) for a turnover margin of +3, 11th-ranked in the league.
Dolphins
The Dolphins’ offensive attack has been leading the way for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 409.2 total yards per game. In terms of defense, they are giving up 308.6 total yards per game, which ranks ninth. The Dolphins’ offensive attack has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 30.1 points per game. In terms of defense, they are ceding 23.1 points per game, which ranks 21st.
The Dolphins’ pass defense ranks 12th in the NFL with 213.4 passing yards allowed per contest, but they’ve been bolstered by their offense, which ranks best by putting up 271.7 passing yards per contest. The Dolphins’ run offense has been excelling, accumulating 137.5 rushing yards per contest (fifth-best) this season. Defensively, they rank sixth by giving up 95.2 rushing yards per game.
With a 42.2% third-down conversion percentage on offense, the Dolphins rank eighth in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 11th, giving up a 37.3% third-down rate. The Dolphins’ offense has been dominant in terms of yards per play, posting 6.5 (second-best) this season. On defense, they rank seventh by giving up 5 yards per play. The Dolphins have recorded 24 forced turnovers (12th in NFL) and committed 23 turnovers (19th in NFL) this season for a +1 turnover margin that ranks 15th in the NFL.
Bills vs. Dolphins Injury Report
Bills
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Latavius Murray | RB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Kingsley Jonathan | DE | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Linval Joseph | DT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Kaiir Elam | CB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Alec Anderson | OT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Justin Shorter | WR | Hamstring | Out |
Dolphins
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raheem Mostert | RB | Knee | Questionable |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | Ankle | Questionable |
| Skylar Thompson | QB | Undisclosed | Out |
| Bradley Chubb | LB | Knee | Out |
| Tyler Kroft | TE | Undisclosed | Out |
| Xavien Howard | CB | Foot | Out |
| Ethan Bonner | CB | Undisclosed | Out |
| Kion Smith | OT | Undisclosed | Out |
Bills vs. Dolphins Betting Analysis
Bills Betting Insights
The Bills have covered the spread in a game six times this season (6-10-0). The Bills have an ATS record of 5-8 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
This season, six Bills games have gone over the point total.
Dolphins Betting Insights
The Dolphins are 10-6-0 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 2.5-point underdogs or more, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 1-3.
This year, Dolphins games have hit the over nine times. The Dolphins have won one of the four games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
The Dolphins have played as an underdog of +136 or more once this season and lost that game.
Bills vs. Dolphins Against The Spread & Betting Records
Bills
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 45.9 | 45.7 | 46.2 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 26.6 | 27.2 | 25.7 |
| ATS Record | 6-10-0 | 4-5-0 | 2-5-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 6-10-0 | 3-6-0 | 3-4-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 9-4 | 7-2 | 2-2 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
Dolphins
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 47.1 | 45.4 | 48.8 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 27.1 | 27.5 | 26.6 |
| ATS Record | 10-6-0 | 6-2-0 | 4-4-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 9-7-0 | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 10-2 | 7-1 | 3-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 |
Players to Watch
Bills
- Josh Allen ranks eighth in the NFL with 3,947 passing yards through 16 games this year, averaging 246.7 per game with a 65.6% completion percentage and 27 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) against 16 interceptions.
- He has added 457 rushing yards (28.6 per game) and 15 touchdowns on the ground.
- James Cook has collected 1,086 rushing yards (third in the NFL) with two touchdowns (67.9 yards per game over 16 games). His 4.8 yards per attempt rank ninth in the league.
- Cook’s 50 targets through the air have turned into 41 catches (2.6 per game) for 429 yards (26.8 per game) and four touchdowns.
- Stefon Diggs has eight touchdown catches this season (eighth in the NFL), and has 100 receptions (10th in the NFL) for 1,096 yards on 152 targets, while averaging 6.3 catches and 68.5 yards per game.
- Gabriel Davis has put up 746 receiving yards and seven touchdowns with 45 catches on 79 targets. He’s averaging 2.8 receptions and 46.6 yards per game.
- On defense, Terrel Bernard has 6.5 sacks (third on the Bills) to go with 10 TFL, 134 tackles, and three interceptions in 2023.
- Ed Oliver has 50 tackles, 14 TFL, 9.5 sacks, and one interception this season.
- Rasul Douglas has put up 61 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and five interceptions this year.
- So far this season, Taron Johnson has 89 tackles, two TFL, and one sack. He’s third on the Bills in tackles.
Dolphins
- Through 16 games played this year, Tua Tagovailoa has racked up 4,451 passing yards (leading the league), while throwing 28 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) against 12 interceptions and completing 69.6% of his attempts.
- Tyreek Hill has 112 catches (second in the NFL) for 1,717 yards (first in the NFL) and 12 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL). He has been targeted 158 times and averages 7.5 receptions per game through 15 games played.
- Raheem Mostert is averaging 67.5 rushing yards per game this season (1,012 total yards to rank seventh in the NFL), while scoring 18 rushing touchdowns.
- Mostert has helped out in the passing attack, putting up 175 receiving yards (11.7 per game) on 25 catches (1.7 per game), while being targeted 32 times. He has three receiving touchdowns.
- Devon Achane puts up 74.4 rushing yards per game over 10 games (744 total yards), with seven rushing touchdowns.
- Achane has tacked on 26 catches (2.6 per game) for 192 yards (19.2 per game) and three receiving touchdowns. He has been on the receiving end of 36 targets.
- Zach Sieler’s 2023 output includes 56 tackles, 11 TFL, 9.5 sacks, and one interception through 16 games.
- Andrew Van Ginkel has one interception on top of 68 tackles, eight TFL, six sacks, and eight passes defended.
- Christian Wilkins has 60 tackles, 11 TFL, eight sacks, and two passes defended in the 2023 season.
- David Long has one sack as well as eight TFL and 100 tackles.
Bills vs. Dolphins Predictions and Pick
Our prediction to win this contest is the Dolphins, and we project that Dolphins will cover the spread (Bills -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 48 points.
How to Bet on Bills vs. Dolphins
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