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The Cleveland Browns (11-5) are putting their four-game winning streak on the line when they play the Cincinnati Bengals (8-8) at Paul Brown Stadium on Sunday, January 7, 2024.
Bengals vs. Browns Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with oddsmakers listing the Bengals as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Bengals have -355 odds to pick up the win, while the Browns are listed at +280 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 37 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Bengals vs. Browns Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, January 7, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
- Stadium: Paul Brown Stadium
Betting Preview
Bengals
With 382.8 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks second-worst in the NFL, the Bengals have had to lean on their 22nd-ranked offense (318.4 yards per contest) to keep them in games. The Bengals are putting up 20.9 points per game on offense, which ranks them 20th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 21st, surrendering 23.1 points per contest.
With 255.2 passing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL, the Bengals have been forced to rely on their 11th-ranked passing offense (234.4 passing yards per contest) to keep them in games. While the Bengals’ run defense ranks 27th with 127.6 rushing yards allowed per game, they’ve been worse on offense, ranking worst (84.0 rushing yards per game).
The Bengals are putting up a 38.3% third-down percentage on offense this season (18th in NFL), and they are surrendering a 42.1% third-down conversion rate (26th) on the defensive side of the ball. In addition to 6.1 yards per play allowed on defense, which ranks worst in the NFL, the Bengals have put up the 14th-ranked yards-per-play average on offense (5.2). The Bengals have the fifth-best turnover margin in the NFL at +9, forcing 24 turnovers (12th in NFL) while turning it over 15 times (second in NFL).
Browns
The Browns have been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering just 266.6 total yards per game (best). Offensively, they rank 11th by posting 341.6 total yards per game. In terms of points scored the Browns rank eighth in the NFL (23.9 points per game), and they are 11th defensively (20.7 points allowed per game).
The Browns rank 19th in the NFL with 222.1 passing yards per contest, but they’ve been led by their defense, which ranks best by surrendering just 165.9 passing yards per game. The Browns are compiling 119.6 rushing yards per game on offense this season (12th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 100.6 rushing yards per contest (10th-ranked) on defense.
On offense, the Browns are bottom-five on third down, posting a 32.2% third-down conversion percentage (fourth-worst). On the bright side, they are thriving on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering a 29.4% third-down rate (best). The Browns rank 26th in the NFL with 4.8 yards per play, but they’ve been carried by their defense, which ranks best by surrendering only 4.5 yards per play. The Browns have recorded 27 forced turnovers (third in NFL) and committed 35 turnovers (32nd in NFL) this season for a -8 turnover margin that ranks 27th in the NFL.
Bengals vs. Browns Injury Report
Bengals
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Davis | CB | Groin | Probable |
| D’Ante Smith | OT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Trey Hill | C | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Tee Higgins | WR | Hamstring | Out |
| Irvin Smith Jr. | TE | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Chris Evans | RB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Chidobe Awuzie | CB | Shoulder | Out |
| Travis Bell | DT | Gameday inactive | Out |
Browns
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Moore | WR | Head | Probable |
| Marquise Goodwin | WR | Knee | Out |
| Mike Ford | CB | Calf | Out |
| Myles Garrett | DE | Shoulder | Out |
| Greg Newsome II | CB | Knee | Out |
| Corey Bojorquez | P | Left quad | Probable |
| Dustin Hopkins | K | Left hamstring | Out |
| Amari Cooper | WR | Heel | Out |
| Anthony Walker | LB | Knee | Out |
| Jordan Kunaszyk | LB | Calf | Probable |
Bengals vs. Browns Betting Analysis
Bengals Betting Insights
The Bengals have covered the spread in a matchup six times this season (6-8-2).
This season, Bengals games have hit the over nine times.
The Bengals played as a moneyline favorite of -355 or shorter in just two games last season, and they won both.
Browns Betting Insights
The Browns are 10-5-1 against the spread this year. The Browns have a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.
Browns games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under nine times this year. This season, the Browns have won three out of the seven games in which they’ve been the underdog.
The Browns have played as an underdog of +280 or more once this season and won that game.
Bengals vs. Browns Against The Spread & Betting Records
Bengals
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 44.1 | 44.4 | 43.8 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 23.9 | 23.8 | 24.1 |
| ATS Record | 6-8-2 | 3-3-2 | 3-5-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 9-7-0 | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 6-5 | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 |
Browns
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 38.6 | 38.1 | 39.3 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 21.6 | 21.4 | 21.7 |
| ATS Record | 10-5-1 | 8-1-0 | 2-4-1 |
| Over/Under Record | 9-6-1 | 2-6-1 | 7-0-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 8-1 | 6-0 | 2-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 3-4 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
Players to Watch
Bengals
- Joe Mixon’s rushing stat line this season includes 923 yards and eight TDs. He is averaging 57.7 yards per game and 3.8 per attempt (34th in the NFL).
- He’s hauled in 51 passes (on 62 targets) for 370 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He’s averaging 23.1 receving yards and 3.2 catches per game.
- Ja’Marr Chase’s 1,197 receiving yards this season have come from 139 targets and 96 receptions. He’s averaging 79.8 receiving yards and 6.4 catches per game, with seven receiving touchdowns.
- Jake Browning has 1,780 passing yards, nine touchdowns and six interceptions this year. He has completed 69.9% of his attempts, averaging 222.5 yards per game and 8.1 per attempt.
- He has also rushed for 109 yards (third on the Bengals) and added three touchdowns on the ground, averaging 13.6 yards per game.
- Tee Higgins has 42 catches for 656 yards and five touchdowns. He’s been targeted 76 times in the passing game, and averages 3.5 receptions and 54.7 yards through 12 games played.
- On defense, Logan Wilson has 130 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and three interceptions in 2023.
- Trey Hendrickson has 41 tackles, 16.0 TFL, 17.0 sacks, and three passes defended.
- Germaine Pratt has totaled 117 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and two interceptions this year.
- Daxton Hill has two interceptions while adding 105 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and 11 passes defended.
Browns
- This year in 16 games, Jerome Ford has churned out 807 rushing yards (leading the Browns) and scored four rushing touchdowns. He averages 50.4 yards per game and 4.0 per attempt (25th in the NFL).
- Ford’s contributions include 42 receptions (2.6 per game) on 60 targets for 293 yards (18.3 per game) and five receiving touchdowns.
- David Njoku has put together a 2023 stat sheet that includes 81 catches for 882 yards and six receiving touchdowns in 16 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 123 targets and is averaging 5.1 receptions per game.
- Kareem Hunt has rushed for nine touchdowns this year, and has totaled 411 rushing yards (29.4 per game and 3.0 per attempt).
- Joe Flacco has 1,616 passing yards, 13 touchdowns and eight interceptions. His completion percentage is 60.3% and he averages 323.2 yards per game and 7.9 per attempt.
- In 2023, Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah has put up 3.5 sacks to go with 20.0 TFL, 98 tackles, and two interceptions through 16 games.
- Martin Emerson has 1.0 TFL, 59 tackles, and four interceptions.
- Za’Darius Smith has 5.5 sacks (second on the Browns) as well as 8.0 TFL and 27 tackles in the 2023 campaign.
- Sione Takitaki’s season stats include 63 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and one interception in 15 games. He is third on the Browns in tackles.
Bengals vs. Browns Predictions and Pick
Our prediction to win this game is the Browns, and we project that Browns will cover the spread (Bengals -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 37 points.
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