Bears vs Packers Prediction: Week 1 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 10, 2023

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A pair of NFC North foes battle on Sunday, September 10, 2023 at Soldier Field when the Chicago Bears (0-0) and the Green Bay Packers (0-0) go toe to toe.

Bears vs. Packers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with sportsbooks listing the Bears as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Bears have -118 odds to pick up the win, while the Packers are listed at -102 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 41 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Bears vs. Packers Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Soldier Field

Betting Preview

Bears

The Packers allowed 21.8 points per game last season, about the same amount as the 19.2 the Bears scored. The Bears were 4-10 overall and 6-8 against the spread when they scored more than 21.8 points last season.

The Packers’ defense surrendered 336.5 yards per game last season, 28.6 more than the 307.9 the Bears’ offense averaged. The Bears gained 5.3 yards per play and the Packers allowed 5.8.

In contests where the Bears offense accumulated more than the Packers’ average yard allowance last year (336.5), they were 4-10 against the spread and 4-10 overall.

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Packers

The Packers’ average points scored last season, 21.8, was 5.4 fewer than the 27.2 the Bears gave up. In games when the Packers scored more than 27.2 points last season, they were 6-2 overall and 6-2 against the spread. The Packers’ offense gained 38 fewer yards per game than the Bears’ defense conceded last year (337.9 to 375.9). The Packers earned 5.5 yards per play, while the Bears gave up 6.1.

In contests when the Packers offense accumulated more than the Bears’ average yard allowance last season (375.9), the team was 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Bears vs. Packers Injury Report

Bears

Player Pos. Injury Status
Robert Tonyan TE Back Questionable

Packers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Christian Watson WR Hamstring Out
Romeo Doubs WR Hamstring Questionable
Luke Tenuta OT Ankle Out

Bears vs. Packers Betting Analysis

Bears Betting Insights

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The Bears were 5-12-0 against the spread last year. The Bears were winless ATS (0-2) when playing as at least 1-point favorites last season.

The Bears had 10 of its 17 games hit the over last season.

Packers Betting Insights

Packers posted a 8-9-0 record against the spread last year. The Packers had an ATS record of 4-2 as underdogs of 1 point or greater last season.

Green Bay won three of the six games it played as underdogs last season. Green Bay had a record of 3-3 when it was set as an underdog of -102 or more by oddsmakers last season. The Packers had eight of their 17 games go over the point total last season.

The Packers won three of the six games they played as underdogs last season. The Packers entered six games last season as the underdog by -102 or more and were 3-3 in those contests.

Bears vs. Packers Against The Spread & Betting Records

Bears

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.1 43.1 43.1
Implied Team Total AVG 24.4 24 24.8
ATS Record 5-12-0 3-6-0 2-6-0
Over/Under Record 10-7-0 5-4-0 5-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-13 1-6 1-7

Packers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.6 43.3 45.9
Implied Team Total AVG 25.1 25 25.3
ATS Record 8-9-0 4-5-0 4-4-0
Over/Under Record 8-9-0 5-4-0 3-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-6 4-4 1-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-3 1-0 2-3

Players to Watch

Bears

  • Justin Fields averaged 7.1 passing yards per attempt (15th in the NFL) and 149.5 yards per game last year, completing 60.4% of his passes on the way to 2,242 total yards, 17 touchdowns and 11 interceptions in 15 games.
  • He added 1,143 yards on the ground (seventh in the NFL), while scoring eight rushing touchdowns. He averaged 76.2 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt.
  • D.J. Moore had 63 catches for 888 yards and seven receiving touchdowns. He was targeted 118 times and averaged 3.7 receptions per game over 17 games played for the Panthers.
  • Last year over 17 games with the Panthers, D’Onta Foreman churned out 914 rushing yards and scored five rushing touchdowns. He averaged 53.8 yards per game and 4.5 per carry (22nd in the NFL).
  • Khalil Herbert averaged 56.2 rushing yards per game over 13 games (731 total yards), with four rushing touchdowns.
  • Herbert also tacked on nine catches (0.7 per game) for 57 yards (4.4 per game) and one receiving touchdown. He was on the receiving end of 12 targets.
  • T.J. Edwards had 159 tackles, 10 TFL, two sacks, and seven passes defended for the Eagles in 2022.
  • Jaquan Brisker had 104 tackles, five TFL, four sacks, and one interception.
  • Tremaine Edmunds intercepted one pass on top of102 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended during the 2022 season for the Bills.
  • Eddie Jackson’s season stats include 80 tackles, one TFL, and four interceptions over 12 games.

Packers

  • In 17 games last season, Aaron Jones piled up 1,121 rushing yards and two touchdowns while averaging 5.3 yards per carry.
  • In the receiving game, Jones contributed 395 yards and five touchdowns on 59 grabs.
  • A.J. Dillon put up 770 rushing yards (4.1 yards per carry) and seven TDs.
  • The air attack was also aided by the receiving ability of Dillon, who reeled in 28 balls (on 43 targets) for 206 yards and zero touchdowns.
  • In 13 games last season, Romeo Doubs converted 67 targets into 42 catches, 425 yards and three touchdowns.
  • Samori Toure was targeted 10 times leading to five catches, 82 yards and one touchdown in 11 games.
  • Quay Walker was on the field for 17 games, collecting 1.5 sacks to go with five TFL and 119 tackles.
  • With 125 tackles, one sack, and four passes defended in 17 games, Jonathan Owens was a big contributor on the Texans’ defense last season.
  • Rasul Douglas was on the field for 17 games and totaled four interceptions to go along with 77 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and 13 passes defended.
  • With 8.5 sacks to go along with nine TFL and 59 tackles, Preston Smith made a big impact on D.

Bears vs. Packers Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Packers, and we expect that Packers will cover the spread (Bears -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 41 points.

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How to Bet on Bears vs. Packers

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