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The Atlanta Falcons (7-8) trek to Soldier Field on Sunday, December 31, 2023 to go up against the Chicago Bears (6-9).
Bears vs. Falcons Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Bears as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Bears have -155 odds to pick up the win, while the Falcons are listed at +130 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 39 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Bears vs. Falcons Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Chicago, Illinois
- Stadium: Soldier Field
Betting Preview
Bears
The Bears rank 20th in total offense (324.7 yards per game) and 12th in total defense (318.1 yards allowed per game) this season. The Bears are totaling 20.9 points per game on offense, which ranks them 21st in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank 21st, surrendering 23.0 points per contest.
The Bears have been a bottom-five pass offense this season, ranking fifth-worst with 182.6 passing yards per contest. On the defensive side of the ball, they are ranked 24th in the NFL (237.5 passing yards allowed per game). The Bears have been a handful for opposing teams in the running game, as they rank top-five in both rushing offense (second-best with 142.1 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (best with 80.7 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.
Despite sporting a bottom-five defense on third down that ranks fourth-worst in the NFL (43.7% third-down percentage), the Bears have had more success offensively, ranking 10th in the NFL by posting a 42.2% third-down conversion rate. The Bears are putting up 5.0 yards per play (22nd in the league), while surrendering 5.2 per play on the defensive side of the ball (15th in the NFL) this season. With 23 forced turnovers (12th in NFL) against 25 turnovers committed (26th in NFL), the Bears (-2) have the 19th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL.
Falcons
With 332.5 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Falcons rank 16th in the NFL in 2023. On defense, they rank ninth, surrendering 308.4 total yards per game. With 19.1 points per game on offense, the Falcons rank 24th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank sixth, giving up 19.2 points per game.
The Falcons rank 22nd in the NFL with 202.7 passing yards per game on offense, and they rank eighth with 197.5 passing yards surrendered per contest on defense. From an offensive angle, the Falcons are putting up 129.8 rushing yards per game (eighth-ranked). They rank 15th in the NFL on defense (110.9 rushing yards given up per game).
The Falcons rank 13th in the NFL with a 40.8% third-down conversion percentage, but they’ve been carried by their defense, which ranks third-best by surrendering a 33.7% third-down rate. In terms of yards per play, the Falcons rank 16th in the NFL (5.1) and seventh on the other side of the ball (4.9 yards allowed per play). At -5, the Falcons have the 23rd-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with 16 forced turnovers (24th in NFL) and 21 turnovers committed (18th in NFL).
Bears vs. Falcons Injury Report
Bears
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| D’Onta Foreman | RB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Cole Kmet | TE | Knee | Probable |
| Nathan Peterman | QB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Darnell Mooney | WR | Concussion | Out |
| Lucas Patrick | C | Knee | Probable |
| DeMarquis Gates | LB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Quindell Johnson | SS | Gameday inactive | Out |
Falcons
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Togiai | DT | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Kaleb McGary | OT | Knee | Probable |
| Logan Woodside | QB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| John FitzPatrick | TE | Gameday inactive | Out |
| John Leglue | OT | Gameday inactive | Out |
Bears vs. Falcons Betting Analysis
Bears Betting Insights
The Bears have covered the spread seven times in 15 games with a set spread. In games they have played as 2.5-point favorites or more, the Bears have an ATS record of 1-0-1.
This season, Bears games have hit the over eight times.
The Bears played as a moneyline favorite of -155 or shorter in just two games last season, and they split them 1-1.
Falcons Betting Insights
The Falcons have compiled a 5-10-0 record against the spread this year. The Falcons have an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
This season, five Falcons games have gone over the point total. The Falcons have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won twice.
The Falcons have not won as an underdog of +130 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
Bears vs. Falcons Against The Spread & Betting Records
Bears
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 43.2 | 42.2 | 44.1 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 24.3 | 22.7 | 25.6 |
| ATS Record | 7-6-2 | 3-2-2 | 4-4-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 8-7-0 | 4-3-0 | 4-4-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-6 |
Falcons
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 40.2 | 41.4 | 38.9 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 21.5 | 22.1 | 20.9 |
| ATS Record | 5-10-0 | 3-5-0 | 2-5-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 5-10-0 | 3-5-0 | 2-5-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 5-6 | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 2-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
Players to Watch
Bears
- Justin Fields has 2,146 passing yards through 11 games this year, averaging 195.1 per game with a 60.9% completion percentage and 15 touchdowns against nine interceptions.
- He has added 585 rushing yards (53.2 per game) and three touchdowns on the ground.
- D.J. Moore has caught 83 passes on 117 targets for 1,141 total yards and seven touchdowns. He is averaging 5.5 catches and 76.1 yards per game in 15 games.
- In the passing game, Cole Kmet, has totaled 678 receiving yards and six touchdowns after grabbing 70 balls on 86 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 45.2 yards and 4.7 receptions in 15 games.
- D’Onta Foreman has rushed for 425 yards with four touchdowns (47.2 yards per game across nine games).
- Foreman has been targeted 16 times and turned those targets into 11 catches, 77 yards and one TD.
- On the defensive side, T.J. Edwards has two interceptions to go with 141 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and six passes defended in 2023.
- Montez Sweat has 53 tackles, 13.0 TFL, and 12.5 sacks this season.
- Tremaine Edmunds has put up 98 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four interceptions this year.
- So far this season, Jaquan Brisker has 92 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and one interception.
Falcons
- Desmond Ridder is averaging 7.1 passing yards per attempt (15th in the NFL) and 194.5 yards per game this year, completing 63.3% of his passes on the way to 2,528 total yards, 10 touchdowns and 10 interceptions through 13 games.
- He’s added 193 yards on the ground (third on the Falcons), with five rushing touchdowns. He’s averaging 14.8 yards per game and 3.8 per attempt.
- Bijan Robinson has 873 rushing yards (leading the Falcons) and four rushing touchdowns, while averaging 58.2 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt (11th in the NFL).
- Robinson has also picked up 373 receiving yards (24.9 per game) on 48 catches (3.2 per game). He’s been targeted 74 times and has caught three touchdown passes.
- Tyler Allgeier has rushed for four touchdowns this year, and has totaled 646 rushing yards (43.1 per game and 3.7 per carry).
- Drake London has been targeted 91 times, resulting in 61 catches for 808 yards .
- Jessie Bates III has intercepted six passes and also has 117 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 11 passes defended in 2023. He’s second in the NFL in interceptions.
- Kaden Elliss has registered 3.0 sacks in addition to his 10.0 TFL and 110 tackles through 15 games.
- Nathan Landman has recorded 2.0 sacks as well as 6.0 TFL, 94 tackles, and one interception in the 2023 campaign.
- Richie Grant’s season stats include 86 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and one interception in 15 games. He is fourth on the Falcons in tackles.
Bears vs. Falcons Predictions and Pick
Our prediction to win this game is the Bears, and we expect that Bears will cover the spread (Bears -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 39 points.
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