Indiana vs. Milwaukee Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, April 28, 2024

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In Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Indiana Pacers will take on the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Pacers head into their matchup against the Bucks as a 10-point favorite. The point total for the game is set at 216.5.

Pacers vs. Bucks Odds

Point Spread for Pacers vs. Bucks

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with oddsmakers listing the Pacers as the favorite.

Indiana vs. Milwaukee Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Indiana has -410 odds to win the game, while Milwaukee is listed at +320 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 216.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
  • TV: TNT

Pacers vs. Bucks Betting Trends

The Pacers have gone 44-35-3 against the spread this season. Indiana has won 27, or 61.4%, of the 44 games it has played as the favorite this season. This season, Pacers games have hit the over 42 times.

The Bucks have covered the spread in a matchup 35 times this year (35-46-1). Milwaukee has been an underdog in 15 games this season and has come away with the win four times (26.7%) in those contests. This year, Bucks games have hit the over 41 times.

Pacers vs. Bucks Key Players to Watch

Pacers

Pascal Siakam posts 21.7 points, 7.1 boards and 4.3 assists per game, making 53.6% of shots from the floor and 34.6% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Tyrese Haliburton’s numbers for the season are 20.1 points, 10.9 assists and 3.9 boards per contest. Myles Turner’s numbers on the season are 17.1 points, 1.3 assists and 6.9 boards per contest. T.J. McConnell’s numbers on the season are 10.2 points, 5.5 assists and 2.7 boards per contest.

Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo gives the Bucks 30.4 points, 11.5 boards and 6.5 assists per game. He also averages 1.2 steals and 1.1 blocks. Damian Lillard gives 24.3 points, 4.4 boards and 7.0 assists per game, plus 1.0 steal and 0.2 blocks. Bobby Portis gets the Bucks 13.8 points, 7.4 boards and 1.3 assists per contest, plus 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocks. Brook Lopez’s averages for the season are 12.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists, making 48.5% of his shots from the floor and 36.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 triples per game.

What you need to know about the Pacers

Because of the Pacers’ defensive struggles this season, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA with 120.2 points allowed per game, they’ve been forced to count on their offense, which ranks best in the league tallying 123.3 points per game. The Pacers have struggled to collect rebounds this season, ranking third-worst in the league with 41.5 boards per game. They rank 15th by allowing 43.4 boards per contest. The Pacers have been one of the best teams in the league when it comes to assists, as they are averaging 30.8 per game (best in NBA).

Offensively Indiana has performed better when playing at home this year, putting up 125.5 points per game, compared to 121.0 per game on the road. With 13.2 three-pointers per game, Indiana is 10th in the NBA. It has a 37.4% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks ninth in the league. Indiana ranks best in the NBA by allowing 10.7 threes per game. In terms of three-point percentage allowed, it ranks 16th in the league at 36.5%.

The Pacers have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their past 10 games. Eight of Indiana’s past 10 outings have hit the over. The Pacers’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, racking up 124.4 points per contest compared to the 123.3 they’ve averaged this year. Indiana’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (115.5) is 4.7 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (120.2).

What you need to know about the Bucks

The Bucks are the fourth-best team in the league in points scored (119.0 per game) and 21st in points conceded (116.4). Milwaukee is eighth in the league in rebounds per game (44.2) and 18th in rebounds allowed (44.0). With 26.5 assists per game, the Bucks are 17th in the NBA.

In 2023-24 the Bucks are averaging 4.5 more points per game at home (121.2) than on the road (116.7). The Bucks are the fifth-best squad in the NBA in 3-pointers made (14.2 per game) and 11th in 3-point percentage (37.3%). Giving up 12.6 3-pointers per game and conceding 35.6% from beyond the arc, Milwaukee is 12th and ninth in the league, respectively, in those categories.

The Bucks have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 3-7 overall over their last 10 contests. Five of Milwaukee’s past 10 outings have hit the over. Milwaukee is scoring 107.2 points per game over its past 10 games, which is 11.8 fewer points than its average for the season (119.0). The Bucks are giving up 111.8 points per game over their last 10 games, which is 4.6 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (116.4).

Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Pacers, and we project that Bucks will cover the spread (Pacers -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 216.5 points.

How to bet Pacers vs. Bucks

You can bet on Indiana vs. Milwaukee at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Indiana vs. Milwaukee picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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