Denver vs. Los Angeles Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, April 27, 2024

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In Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Denver Nuggets will go up against the Los Angeles Lakers.

The Nuggets face off against the Lakers. The Nuggets are favored by 4 points against the Lakers. The point total for the matchup is set at 218.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds

Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Lakers

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with oddsmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorite.

Denver vs. Los Angeles Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Denver has -175 odds to win the game, while Los Angeles is listed at +145 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 218 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
  • TV: ABC

Nuggets vs. Lakers Betting Trends

The Nuggets have covered the spread in a matchup 38 times this season (38-42-2). Denver has been the favorite in 72 games this season and won 53 (73.6%) of those contests. Games involving the Nuggets have hit the over 35 times this season.

The Lakers have covered the spread 38 times this year (38-44-0). Los Angeles has come away with 15 wins in the 35 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season. This season, 47 of the Lakers’ games have gone over the point total.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Key Players to Watch

Nuggets

Nikola Jokic is putting up 26.4 points, 9.0 assists and 12.4 boards per game. Michael Porter Jr.’s numbers for the season are 16.7 points, 1.5 assists and 7.0 boards per contest. Jamal Murray’s numbers for the season are 21.2 points, 6.5 assists and 4.1 boards per contest. Aaron Gordon’s numbers for the season are 13.9 points, 3.5 assists and 6.5 boards per game.

Lakers

Anthony Davis gets the Lakers 24.7 points, 12.6 boards and 3.5 assists per game. He also averages 1.2 steals and 2.3 blocks (fourth in NBA). LeBron James averages 25.7 points, 7.3 boards and 8.3 assists, making 54.0% of his shots from the field and 41.0% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 treys per contest. D’Angelo Russell provides the Lakers 18.0 points, 3.1 boards and 6.3 assists per contest, plus 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocks. Austin Reaves averages 15.9 points, 4.3 boards and 5.5 assists, making 48.6% of his shots from the floor and 36.7% from 3-point range, with 1.9 triples per contest.

What you need to know about the Nuggets

The Nuggets are scoring 114.9 points per game (14th-ranked in NBA) this season, while ceding 109.6 points per contest (sixth-ranked). With 44.4 boards per game, the Nuggets are seventh in the NBA. They allow 42.3 rebounds per contest, which ranks seventh in the league. With 29.5 assists per game, the Nuggets rank third-best in the league in the category.

When playing at home, Denver is putting up 7.3 more points per game (118.5) than it is on the road (111.2). With 11.7 three-pointers per game, Denver ranks 25th in the NBA. It sports a 37.4% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks ninth in the league. Denver is top-five this season in three-pointers allowed, currently second-best in the league with 11.2 treys ceded per game. Meanwhile, it ranks eighth with a 35.5% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Nuggets have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall over their past 10 games. Denver has hit the over in four of its last 10 outings. On the offensive side of the ball, the Nuggets have picked up their production slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 115.2 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 114.9 they’ve put up over the course of this season. Denver’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (105.8) is 3.8 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (109.6).

What you need to know about the Lakers

On offense the Lakers are the sixth-ranked team in the NBA (118.0 points per game). Defensively they are 23rd (117.4 points conceded per game). At 43.1 rebounds per game and 44.0 rebounds conceded, Los Angeles is 18th and 18th in the league, respectively. The Lakers are fifth-best in the league in assists (28.5 per game) in 2023-24.

In 2023-24 the Lakers are averaging 2.0 more points per game at home (119.0) than on the road (117.0). The Lakers are 24th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (11.8 per game) and eighth in 3-point percentage (37.7%). Defensively, Los Angeles is third-worst in the league in 3-pointers allowed per game at 14.3. It is 24th in 3-point percentage conceded at 37.6%.

The Lakers have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. Six of Los Angeles’ past 10 games have gone over the total. Los Angeles is putting up 116.0 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 2.0 fewer points than its average for the season (118.0). While the Lakers are allowing 117.4 points per game in 2023-24, they have improved that mark over their past 10 games, allowing 114.4 points per contest.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Nuggets, and we project that Lakers will cover the spread (Nuggets -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 218 points.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Lakers

You can bet on Denver vs. Los Angeles at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Denver vs. Los Angeles picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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