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When the Washington Commanders (4-11) host the San Francisco 49ers (11-4) on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at FedExField, they will try to end a six-game losing streak.
49ers vs. Commanders Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 14 points, with bookmakers listing the 49ers as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the 49ers have -1050 odds to pick up the win, while the Commanders are listed at +675 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 48.5 points.
Game Info
How to Watch 49ers vs. Commanders Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Landover, Maryland
- Stadium: FedExField
Betting Preview
49ers
The 49ers own the 11th-ranked defense this season (312.3 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on offense, ranking second-best with 404.3 yards per game. The 49ers have been shining on both offense and defense, ranking second-best in scoring offense (29.6 points per game) and third-best in scoring defense (17.8 points allowed per game).
The 49ers own the 16th-ranked defense this season in terms of passing yards (222.0 allowed per game), and they’ve been better on offense, ranking second-best with 265.7 passing yards per game. The 49ers have been firing on all cylinders in the running game this year, as they rank fourth-best in rushing offense (138.7 rushing yards per game) and fourth-best in rushing defense (90.3 rushing yards allowed per game).
On the offensive side of the ball, the 49ers have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking fourth-best in the NFL by putting up a 47.5% third-down conversion rate. They rank 21st on defense (39.8% third-down percentage allowed). The 49ers sport the eighth-ranked defense this year in terms of yards per play (5.0 yards per play allowed), and they’ve been more effective on offense, ranking best with 6.8 yards per play. The 49ers have forced 25 total turnovers (third in NFL) this season and have turned it over 17 times (10th in NFL) for a turnover margin of +8, the fourth-best in the league.
Commanders
The Commanders have been sputtering on defense, ranking worst with 384.3 total yards allowed per game. They have been more productive on the other side of the ball, regstering 327.4 total yards per contest (19th-ranked). The Commanders rank 23rd in points per game (20.6), but they’ve been less productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking worst in the NFL with 30.2 points surrendered per contest.
The Commanders rank 16th in passing yards per game (228.7), but they’ve been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 261.6 passing yards allowed per contest. With 98.7 rushing yards per game on offense, the Commanders rank 21st in the NFL. Defensively they rank 23rd, surrendering 122.7 rushing yards per contest.
With a 36.5% third-down conversion rate on offense, the Commanders rank 22nd in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 23rd, giving up a 40.6% third-down rate. The Commanders’ defense has been a bottom-five unit this season in terms of yards per play, allowing 5.9, which ranks third-worst in the NFL. On offense, they rank 16th at 5.1 yards per play. The Commanders have a bottom-five turnover margin this season, second-worst at -10.
49ers vs. Commanders Injury Report
49ers
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Mason | RB | Illness | Probable |
| Danny Gray | WR | Shoulder | Questionable |
| Ambry Thomas | CB | Knee | Probable |
| Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles | LB | Illness | Probable |
| Jauan Jennings | WR | Concussion | Out |
| Ross Dwelley | TE | Ankle | Out |
| Brandon Allen | QB | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Jalen Graham | LB | Gameday inactive | Out |
Commanders
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | Hamstring | Out |
| Benjamin St-Juste | CB | Concussion | Out |
| Charles Leno Jr. | OT | Calf | Out |
| Tyler Larsen | C | Knee | Out |
| Andrew Wylie | OG | Elbow | Out |
| Cole Turner | TE | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Kendall Fuller | CB | Knee | Out |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | Foot | Out |
| Mitchell Tinsley | WR | Gameday inactive | Out |
| Jalen Harris | DE | Gameday inactive | Out |
49ers vs. Commanders Betting Analysis
49ers Betting Insights
The 49ers have registered an 8-7-0 record against the spread this season. The 49ers are 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 14-point favorites.
49ers games have gone over the total eight times this season.
Commanders Betting Insights
The Commanders have covered the spread six times in 15 games with a set spread.
This season, Commanders games have hit the over nine times. The Commanders have won three, or 27.3%, of the 11 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
The Commanders have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +675 moneyline set for this game.
49ers vs. Commanders Against The Spread & Betting Records
49ers
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 44.0 | 44.4 | 43.6 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 26.1 | 27.3 | 25.1 |
| ATS Record | 8-7-0 | 3-4-0 | 5-3-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 8-6-1 | 4-3-0 | 4-3-1 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 11-4 | 5-2 | 6-2 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Commanders
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 42.4 | 43.2 | 41.9 |
| Implied Team Total AVG | 24.4 | 25.2 | 23.9 |
| ATS Record | 6-8-1 | 0-5-1 | 6-3-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 9-6-0 | 4-2-0 | 5-4-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-5 |
Players to Watch
49ers
- Christian McCaffrey has put up 1,395 rushing yards (first in the NFL) with 14 touchdowns (93.0 yards per game through 15 games). His 5.4 yards per attempt rank third in the NFL.
- McCaffrey has been targeted 78 times in the receiving game and has 63 catches (4.2 per game) for 537 yards (35.8 per game) and seven TDs.
- Brock Purdy has passed for 4,050 yards (fourth in the NFL), 29 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He averages 270.0 yards per game and 9.7 per attempt, while completing 68.8%.
- He has tacked on 140 rushing yards (9.3 per game) and two touchdowns on the ground.
- In the passing game, Deebo Samuel, has racked up 834 receiving yards and six touchdowns after pulling down 53 balls on 81 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 64.2 yards and 4.1 receptions over 13 games.
- Brandon Aiyuk has put up 1,203 receiving yards (eighth in the NFL) and six touchdowns with 65 catches on 93 targets. He’s averaging 4.6 receptions and 85.9 yards per game.
- Over on defense, Fred Warner has four interceptions (fifth in the NFL) to go with 127 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 3.0 sacks, and 11 passes defended in 2023.
- Nick Bosa has 49 tackles, 14.0 TFL, and 10.0 sacks this season.
- Dre Greenlaw has collected 110 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and four passes defended.
- This season, Charvarius Ward has 64 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and four interceptions.
Commanders
- Sam Howell is averaging 6.5 passing yards per attempt (23rd in the NFL) and 241.5 yards per game this year, completing 63.2% of his passes on the way to 3,623 total yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions through 15 games.
- On the ground, Howell has added five rushing touchdowns and 265 rushing yards (second on the Commanders).
- Brian Robinson Jr. has scored five rushing touchdowns, while totaling 664 rushing yards (4.2 per attempt and 51.1 per game).
- Robinson also has 29 catches for 325 yards (sixth on the Commanders), with three receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 36 times and averages 25.0 yards per game.
- So far this season, Terry McLaurin has caught 69 passes for 885 receiving yards with three touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 116 total times and is averaging 4.6 receptions per game through 15 games played.
- Curtis Samuel has been targeted 83 times, resulting in 57 catches for 565 yards .
- Kamren Curl’s 2023 output includes 106 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack through 15 games. He leads the Commanders in tackles.
- Da’Ron Payne has 49 tackles, 12.0 TFL, 4.0 sacks, and four passes defended.
- Cody Barton has 100 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one interception in the 2023 campaign. He is second on the Commanders in tackles.
- Jonathan Allen has 47 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
49ers vs. Commanders Predictions and Pick
Our prediction to win this contest is the 49ers, and we predict that 49ers will cover the spread (49ers -14). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 48.5 points.
How to Bet on 49ers vs. Commanders
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