Lions vs. Vikings Prediction: Week 14 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – December 11, 2022

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The Detroit Lions (5-7) and the Minnesota Vikings (10-2) — two NFC North foes — match up on Sunday, December 11, 2022 at Ford Field.

Lions vs. Vikings Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Lions as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Lions have -130 odds to pick up the win, while the Vikings are listed at +110 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 53 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Lions vs. Vikings Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Stadium: Ford Field

Betting Preview

Lions

The Lions sport the seventh-ranked offense this year (369.1 yards per game), and they’ve been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking worst with 402.2 yards allowed per game. With 27 points allowed per game on defense, which ranks worst in the NFL, the Lions have had to rely on their sixth-ranked offense (26.3 points per contest) to keep them competitive.

The Lions are averaging 242.1 passing yards per game offensively this year (eighth in NFL), and they are allowing 252.5 passing yards per game (27th) on the defensive side of the ball. The Lions have the 10th-ranked rushing offense this season (127 rushing yards per game), and they’ve been worse on defense, ranking fifth-worst with 149.7 rushing yards allowed per game.

In addition to a 48.6% third-down conversion rate allowed on defense, which ranks second-worst in the NFL, the Lions have put up the 10th-ranked third-down conversion rate (42.8%) on offense. Despite sporting a bottom-five defense in terms of yards per play that ranks worst in the NFL (6.2 yards per play allowed), the Lions have put up better results on the other side of the ball, ranking seventh in the NFL by putting up 5.8 yards per play. The Lions rank 13th in the NFL with a +1 turnover margin after forcing 15 turnovers (12th in the NFL) and committing 14 (12th in the NFL).

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Vikings

The Vikings rank 19th in total yards per game (335.8), but they’ve been less effective defensively, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 398.7 total yards conceded per contest. With 24.1 points per game on offense, the Vikings rank 11th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 21st, allowing 23.3 points per contest.

The Vikings have been struggling against the pass, ranking worst with 283.6 passing yards allowed per game. They have been more effective offensively, compiling 234.1 passing yards per contest (10th-ranked). With 101.8 rushing yards per game on offense, the Vikings rank 25th in the NFL. Defensively they rank 16th, surrendering 115.1 rushing yards per contest.

The Vikings are generating a 40.6% third-down conversion rate on offense this season (13th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up a 38.3% third-down rate (13th-ranked) on defense. The Vikings’ defense has been struggling in terms of yards allowed per play, ranking third-worst at 6. They have been more productive offensively, regstering 5.2 yards per play (20th-ranked). The Vikings have produced 20 forced turnovers this season and have turned the ball over 12 times, resulting in a +8 turnover margin, which ranks third-best in the NFL.

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Lions vs. Vikings Injury Report

Lions

Player Pos. Injury Status
Evan Brown C Ankle Questionable

Vikings

Player Pos. Injury Status
Akayleb Evans CB Head Out

Lions vs. Vikings Betting Analysis

Lions Betting Insights

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The Lions have covered the spread eight times over 12 games with a set spread. The Lions have yet to cover the spread when they are at least 2.5-point favorites (0-1).

Lions games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under eight times this season. The Lions never played as the moneyline favorite in a game last season.

The Lions did not play a game last season with moneyline odds of -130 or shorter.

Vikings Betting Insights

The Vikings have covered the spread six times this season (6-6-0). In games they have played as 2.5-point underdogs or more, the Vikings have an ATS record of 1-1.

This season, seven Vikings games have gone over the point total. The Vikings have won one of the three games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Vikings have entered two games this season as the underdog by +110 or more and are 1-1 in those contests.

Lions vs. Vikings Against The Spread & Betting Records

Lions

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.5 50.4 48.3
Implied Total AVG 26.9 27.3 26.4
ATS Record 8-3-1 5-1-1 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 8-4-0 5-2-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-6 2-3 2-3

Vikings

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.9 46.4 45.2
Implied Total AVG 24.9 25.1 24.6
ATS Record 6-6-0 4-3-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 7-5-0 5-2-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-0 6-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-1 1-1

Players to Watch

Lions

  • Jared Goff has thrown for 3,022 yards (seventh in the NFL), 19 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and seven interceptions this year. He is averaging 251.8 yards per game and 7.5 per attempt, while completing 64.9% of his passes.
  • Jamaal Williams averages 4.1 yards per carry (35th in the NFL) and 64.1 yards per game, and has 769 total rushing yards. He has recorded 14 rushing TDs this season.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has six touchdown catches this season (ninth in the NFL), and has 76 receptions (seventh in the NFL) for 830 yards on 100 targets, while averaging 6.9 catches and 75.5 yards per game.
  • D’Andre Swift has run for 354 yards, averaging 39.3 yards per game and scoring four touchdowns.
  • Swift has been targeted 41 times to the tune of 28 receptions, 235 yards and two TDs.
  • On the defensive side, Alex Anzalone has 89 tackles, three TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in 2022. His tackle total leads the Lions.
  • DeShon Elliott has 78 tackles, four TFL, and one interception so far this season. He’s second on the Lions in tackles.
  • Jeff Okudah has totaled 55 tackles, two TFL, and one interception so far this year. He’s fourth on the Lions in tackles.
  • So far this season, Malcolm Rodriguez has 63 tackles, four TFL, and one sack. He’s third on the Lions in tackles.

Vikings

  • Kirk Cousins has thrown for 2,933 yards this year (to rank 10th in the NFL), with 18 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He is completing 64.6% of his attempts while averaging 244.4 yards per game and 6.5 per attempt.
  • On the ground, Cousins has added two rushing touchdowns and 58 rushing yards (third on the Vikings).
  • Justin Jefferson has put together a 2022 campaign that includes 88 catches (third in the NFL) for 1,277 yards (second in the NFL) and six receiving touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) through 12 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 127 targets and is averaging 7.3 receptions per game.
  • This season through 12 games, Dalvin Cook has churned out 927 rushing yards (leading the Vikings and fifth in the NFL) and scored seven rushing touchdowns. He averages 77.3 yards per game and 4.7 per carry (16th in the NFL).
  • Cook has helped in the passing game, amassing 157 receiving yards (13.1 per game) on 28 catches (2.3 per game), while being targeted 42 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
  • T.J. Hockenson has 620 receiving yards and four touchdowns from 56 receptions after getting 83 targets.
  • Jordan Hicks’ 2022 output includes 98 tackles, three sacks, and one interception through 12 games. He is second on the Vikings in tackles.
  • Eric Kendricks’ stat sheet includes 100 tackles, four TFL, and five passes defended.
  • Harrison Smith has intercepted five passes on top of 73 tackles, one TFL, and 10 passes defended in the 2022 campaign. His interception total ranks third in the NFL.
  • Danielle Hunter’s stats include 48 tackles, 11 TFL, eight sacks, and three passes defended in 12 games

Lions vs. Vikings Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Vikings, and we predict that Vikings will cover the spread (Lions -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 53 points.

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How to Bet on Lions vs. Vikings

You can bet on Lions vs. Vikings at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Lions vs. Vikings picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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