Vikings vs Buccaneers Prediction: Week 1 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 10, 2023

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Sunday, September 10, 2023 will see the Minnesota Vikings (0-0) take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) at U.S. Bank Stadium.

Vikings vs. Buccaneers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with sportsbooks listing the Vikings as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Vikings have -250 odds to pick up the win, while the Buccaneers are listed at +205 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 45.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Vikings vs. Buccaneers Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: U.S. Bank Stadium

Betting Preview

Vikings

The Vikings, on average, scored 3.8 more points per game last year (24.9) than the Buccaneers allowed (21.1). The Vikings were 12-1 overall and 7-6 against the spread when they scored over 21.1 points last year.

The Vikings’ offense held a 37.2-yard advantage in yards gained per game versus yards allowed by the Buccaneers’ defense last year (361.5 to 324.3). The Vikings averaged 5.5 yards per play, while the Buccaneers gave up 5.1.

The Vikings’ record last season when they racked up more than the Buccaneers’ season average in total yards allowed (324.3): 10-2 overall, 5-7 ATS.

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Buccaneers

The Vikings gave up an average of 25.1 points last season, 6.7 more than the 18.4 the Buccaneers put on the board. The Buccaneers were 1-1 overall and 1-1 against the spread when they scored over 25.1 points last year. The Buccaneers’ offense gained 42.0 fewer yards per game than the Vikings’ defense conceded last year (346.7 to 388.7). The Buccaneers earned 5.1 yards per play, while the Vikings gave up 5.9.

When the Buccaneers offense put together a game with more than the Vikings’ average yardage allowed (388.7) last year, the team was 4-1 overall and 2-3 against the spread.

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Vikings vs. Buccaneers Injury Report

Vikings

Player Pos. Injury Status
Kene Nwangwu RB Back Out
T.J. Hockenson TE Back Questionable
Jalen Nailor WR Leg Questionable
NaJee Thompson CB Undisclosed Questionable

Buccaneers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Chase Edmonds RB Undisclosed Questionable
K.J. Britt ILB Hamstring Questionable
Mike Evans WR Groin Questionable
Ryan Jensen C Knee Out
SirVocea Dennis ILB Undisclosed Questionable

Vikings vs. Buccaneers Betting Analysis

Vikings Betting Insights

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The Vikings covered the spread seven times in 17 games last year. As a 6-point favorite or greater, the Vikings had one win ATS (1-2) last season.

There were 11 Vikings games (out of 17) that hit the over last season.

Buccaneers Betting Insights

Against the spread, the Buccaneers were 4-12-1 last season.

Last season, Tampa Bay was listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests. Tampa Bay was not a bigger underdog last season than the +205 moneyline set for this game. The Buccaneers had six of their 17 games hit the over last year.

Last season, the Buccaneers were listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests. The Buccaneers were not a bigger underdog last season than the +205 moneyline set for this game.

Vikings vs. Buccaneers Against The Spread & Betting Records

Vikings

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.3 46.6 46.0
Implied Team Total AVG 25.1 25.2 25.0
ATS Record 7-10-0 4-5-0 3-5-0
Over/Under Record 11-6-0 7-2-0 4-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 12-0 8-0 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 0-1 1-3

Buccaneers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.4 44.2 42.6
Implied Team Total AVG 24.2 24.0 24.4
ATS Record 4-12-1 2-6-1 2-6-0
Over/Under Record 6-11-0 4-5-0 2-6-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-6 5-3 3-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-1 0-2

Players to Watch

Vikings

  • Kirk Cousins threw for 4,547 yards last year (to rank fourth in the NFL), with 29 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and 14 interceptions. He completed 65.9% of his attempts while averaging 267.5 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt.
  • On the ground, Cousins added two rushing touchdowns and 97 rushing yards.
  • Justin Jefferson had 1,809 receiving yards (first in the NFL) and eight touchdowns on 128 receptions (first in the NFL), while being targeted 184 times.
  • In 17 games played last season, T.J. Hockenson had 86 catches (5.1 receptions per game on 7.6 targets per game) for 914 yards and six receiving touchdowns.
  • K.J. Osborn was targeted 90 times, resulting in 60 catches for 650 yards .
  • Jordan Hicks recorded 3.0 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL, 128 tackles, and one interception over 17 games in 2022.
  • Danielle Hunter had 65 tackles, 12.0 TFL, and 10.5 sacks.
  • Harrison Smith intercepted five passes on top of85 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 10 passes defended in the 2022 season. His interception total ranked fifth in the NFL.
  • Camryn Bynum’s stat sheet included two interceptions as well as 80 tackles and six passes defended in 17 games

Buccaneers

  • Last season Mike Evans caught 77 balls on 127 targets for 1,124 yards and six touchdowns.
  • In 12 games, Baker Mayfield passed for 2,163 yards (180.3 yards per game) to go along with 10 touchdowns, eight interceptions, and a completion percentage of 60.0%.
  • As a runner, Mayfield scrambled for 89 yards (2.9 YPC) and one touchdown.
  • Chris Godwin was an integral piece of the aerial attack last season, registering 104 catches for 1,023 yards and three touchdowns.
  • In 17 games last year, Rachaad White run for 481 rushing yards (3.7 yards per carry) and one touchdown.
  • White had 50 receptions (2.9 per game) for 290 yards (17.1 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Devin White was on the field for 17 games, posting 5.5 sacks to go with 8.0 TFL and 124 tackles.
  • With 124 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 3.0 sacks, and five passes defended in 17 games, Lavonte David was a significant contributor on defense last season.
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. helped on defense with one interception to go along with 80 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 4.0 sacks, and three passes defended in 13 games.
  • Carlton Davis was a significant contributor on D last year, with one interception to go with 63 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 12 passes defended.

Vikings vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Vikings, and we expect that Vikings will cover the spread (Vikings -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 45.5 points.

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How to Bet on Vikings vs. Buccaneers

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