Commanders vs Titans Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 5 – October 2022

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A skidding Washington Commanders (1-3) team hosts the Tennessee Titans (2-2) on Sunday, October 9, 2022 at FedExField. The Commanders have lost three games in a row.

Titans vs. Commanders Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing the Titans as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Titans have -120 odds to pick up the win, while the Commanders are listed at +100 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 43 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Titans vs. Commanders Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Landover, Maryland
  • Stadium: FedExField

Betting Preview

Titans

While the Titans rank 26th in total defense with 392.3 yards allowed per game, they’ve been slightly worse on offense, ranking fourth-worst (287.5 yards per game). The Titans are compiling 18.8 points per game on offense (21st in NFL), and they rank 25th on the other side of the ball with 25.3 points allowed per game.

With 274.0 passing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL, the Titans have been forced to rely on their 27th-ranked passing offense (185.3 passing yards per contest) to keep them competitive. The Titans are averaging 102.3 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 20th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 19th, surrendering 118.3 rushing yards per game.

Defensively, the Titans have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking fifth-best by allowing a 31.2% third-down conversion rate. They rank 17th on offense (37.8% third-down percentage). Despite sporting a bottom-five defense in terms of yards per play that ranks third-worst in the NFL (6.3 yards per play allowed), the Titans have had more success on offense, ranking 19th in the NFL by putting up 5.2 yards per play. The Titans have the 16th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL at even, forcing six turnovers (12th in NFL) while turning it over six times (15th in NFL).

Commanders

From an offensive perspective, the Commanders are generating 330.8 total yards per contest (23rd-ranked). They rank 23rd in the NFL on defense (371.8 total yards given up per game). The Commanders rank 25th in points per game (18.3), but they’ve been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 26.8 points allowed per contest.

The Commanders rank 18th in the NFL with 230.3 passing yards per game on offense, and they rank 24th with 259.8 passing yards given up per contest on the defensive side of the ball. The Commanders rank 21st in the NFL with 100.5 rushing yards per contest on offense, and they rank 16th with 112.0 rushing yards given up per game on defense.

The Commanders’ defense has been keeping opposing offenses in check on third down, giving up a 30.9% third-down conversion rate (fourth-best). Offensively, they rank sixth in the NFL with a 43.9% third-down rate. The Commanders’ offense has not been getting things done in terms of yards per play, ranking worst in the NFL at 4.6. They have been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, allowing 6.0 yards per play (25th-ranked). The Commanders have forced one turnover this season and have turned the ball over seven times, leading to a -6 turnover margin that is third-worst in the NFL.

Titans vs. Commanders Injury Report

Titans

Player Pos. Injury Status
Caleb Farley CB Knee Questionable
Treylon Burks WR Toe Out
Amani Hooker DB Concussion Out
Olasunkanmi Adeniyi OLB Neck Out
Zach Cunningham LB Elbow Out
Bud Dupree OLB Hip Out
Joe Jones LB Knee Out
Nate Davis OG Knee Questionable
Lonnie Johnson Jr. CB Illness Questionable

Commanders

Player Pos. Injury Status
Samuel Cosmi OT Thumb Out
Logan Thomas TE Calf Questionable
Percy Butler FB Quad Out
Jahan Dotson WR Hamstring Out
Camilo Eifler LB Hamstring Out
David Mayo LB Hamstring Questionable

Titans vs. Commanders Betting Analysis

Titans Betting Insights

The Titans have covered the spread two times in four games with a set spread. The Titans have yet to cover a spread (0-1) when they are at least 1-point favorites.

This season, Titans games have hit the over twice. The Titans put together a 6-3 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 66.7% of those games).

The Titans went 6-3 last year (winning 66.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -120 or shorter.

Commanders Betting Insights

The Commanders have put together a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this year. The Commanders are winless against the spread when they are 1-point underdogs or more (0-2).

Commanders games have gone over the total twice this season. The Commanders have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

This season, the Commanders have been at least a +100 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.

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Titans vs. Commanders Against The Spread & Betting Records

Titans

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.9 44.5 45.3
Implied Total AVG 25.5 24.5 26.5
ATS Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 1-0 1-1

Commanders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.9 45.3 44.5
Implied Total AVG 24.3 25.0 23.5
ATS Record 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Players to Watch

Titans

  • Derrick Henry has put up 306 rushing yards with three touchdowns (76.5 yards per game across four games). His 4.0 yards per attempt rank 36th in the NFL.
  • He’s also hauled in eight passes (on 12 targets) for 91 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He’s averaging 22.8 receving yards and 2.0 catches per game.
  • Ryan Tannehill has passed for 784 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He averages 196.0 yards per game and 7.8 per attempt, while completing 66.3%.
  • He’s rushed for 20 yards (fourth on the Titans) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 5.0 rushing yards per game.
  • In three games, Dontrell Hilliard has amassed 22 yards on the ground, averaging 7.3 yards per game without scoring a touchdown.
  • Hilliard has received nine targets in the passing game and has eight catches (2.7 per game) for 109 yards (36.3 per game) and two TDs.
  • Robert Woods averages 3.3 receptions and 41.8 yards per game, and has 167 total receiving yards and 13 catches. He’s gotten 20 total targets, and has caught one touchdown pass.
  • Over on defense, Roger McCreary has 30 tackles and 1.0 TFL in 2022. His tackle total leads the Titans.
  • Kevin Byard has 29 tackles and one interception this season. He’s second on the Titans in tackles.
  • Rashad Weaver has collected eight tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 4.0 sacks so far this year.
  • Denico Autry has 3.0 sacks (second on the Titans) as well as 2.0 TFL and seven tackles on the season.

Commanders

  • Carson Wentz is averaging 6.0 passing yards per attempt (32nd in the NFL) and 257.8 yards per game this year, completing 62.2% of his passes on the way to 1,031 total yards, eight touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and five interceptions through four games.
  • On the ground, Wentz has added 62 rushing yards (third on the Commanders).
  • Antonio Gibson averages 43.3 rushing yards per game over four games (173 total yards), while scoring two rushing touchdowns.
  • Gibson has also collected 101 receiving yards (25.3 per game) on 13 catches (3.3 per game). He’s been targeted 16 times and is still seeking his first receiving touchdown.
  • In four games played this season, Jahan Dotson has 12 catches (3.0 receptions per game on 5.5 targets per game) for 152 yards and four receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL).
  • Curtis Samuel has 26 catches (ninth in the NFL) for 219 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averages 6.5 yards per game through four games and has been targeted 37 times.
  • So far in 2022, Darrick Forrest has put up 1.0 TFL, 21 tackles, and one interception over four games.
  • Jonathan Allen has totaled 2.0 sacks in addition to his 5.0 TFL and 17 tackles through four games.
  • Jamin Davis has 18 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 3.0 sacks during the 2022 season.
  • Da’Ron Payne has 15 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and three passes defended.

Titans vs. Commanders Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Commanders, and we predict that Commanders will cover the spread (Titans -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 43 points.

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How to Bet on Titans vs. Commanders

You can bet on Titans vs. Commanders at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Titans vs. Commanders picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.

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