Colts vs. Texans Prediction: Week 18 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – January 8, 2023

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The reeling Indianapolis Colts (4-11-1) bring a six-game losing streak into a game against the Houston Texans (2-13-1) on Sunday, January 8, 2023 at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Colts vs. Texans Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with bookmakers listing the Colts as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Colts have -135 odds to pick up the win, while the Texans are listed at +115 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 37.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Colts vs. Texans Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 8, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium

Betting Preview


While the Colts rank 16th in total defense with 332.4 yards allowed per game, they’ve been a little less successful on offense, ranking fourth-worst (306.3 yards per game). With 16.1 points per game (third-worst) and 24.7 points allowed per game on defense (fifth-worst), the Colts have been getting outplayed on both sides of the ball this year.

The Colts are totaling 201.9 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 23rd in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 10th, allowing 204.3 passing yards per contest. The Colts are totaling 104.4 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 24th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 23rd, allowing 128.1 rushing yards per game.

The Colts rank fourth-worst in third-down conversion rate (33.0%), but they’ve been better on defense, ranking 11th with a 38.1% third-down conversion rate allowed. While the Colts’ defense ranks 10th with 5.2 yards per play allowed, they’ve been worse on offense, ranking second-worst with 4.7 yards per play. The Colts have forced 18 total turnovers (23rd in NFL) this season and have turned it over 31 times (32nd in NFL) for a turnover margin of -13, the worst in the league.

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The Texans have been unproductive on both sides of the ball this season, ranking worst in total offense (278.8 total yards per game) and third-worst in total defense (378.4 total yards allowed per game). The Texans have been struggling on offense, ranking third-worst in the NFL with 16.1 points per game. They have been more productive on the other side of the ball, surrendering 24.3 points per contest (26th-ranked).

From an offensive standpoint, the Texans are compiling 190.2 passing yards per contest (25th-ranked). They rank 12th in the NFL on defense (209.8 passing yards allowed per game). In terms of rushing, this season has been tough for the Texans on both offense and defense, as they are averaging only 88.6 rushing yards per game (second-worst) and surrendering 168.6 rushing yards per game (worst).

The Texans’ offense has not been getting things done on third down, ranking third-worst in the NFL with a 30.0% third-down conversion percentage. They have been more productive on defense, surrendering a 39.4% third-down rate (20th-ranked). The Texans rank second-worst in yards per play (4.7), but they’ve been better defensively, ranking 24th in the NFL with 5.7 yards surrendered per play. The Texans have accumulated 24 forced turnovers (sixth in NFL) and committed 25 turnovers (31st in NFL) this season for a -1 turnover margin that ranks 17th in the NFL.

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Colts vs. Texans Injury Report


Player Pos. Injury Status
Nick Foles QB Ribs Out
Kenny Moore II CB Ankle Out
Kylen Granson TE Ankle Out
Stephon Gilmore CB Wrist Questionable
Brandon Facyson CB Concussion Questionable


Player Pos. Injury Status
Steven Nelson DB Illness Out
Jimmy Morrissey C Concussion Out
Phillip Dorsett WR Hamstring Out
O.J. Howard TE Hip Questionable

Colts vs. Texans Betting Analysis

Colts Betting Insights

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The Colts have put together a 6-10-0 record against the spread this season. The Colts have not covered a spread (0-4) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.

This season, six Colts games have gone over the point total. The Colts finished 5-3 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 62.5% of those games).

The Colts had a 4-3 record last year (winning 57.1% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter.

Texans Betting Insights

The Texans have covered the spread eight times over 16 games with a set spread. The Texans have an ATS record of 8-6-1 when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.

This year, six Texans games have gone over the point total. This season, the Texans have won two out of the 16 games, or 12.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

This season, the Texans have won two of their 15 games, or 13.3%, when they’re the underdog by at least +115 on the moneyline.

Colts vs. Texans Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.2 43.6 42.9
Implied Total AVG 23.9 23.9 23.9
ATS Record 6-10-0 3-4-0 3-6-0
Over/Under Record 6-10-0 2-5-0 4-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-4-1 1-3 0-1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-7 1-2 2-5


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.6 44.5 42.7
Implied Total AVG 25.9 26.0 25.8
ATS Record 8-7-1 3-5-0 5-2-1
Over/Under Record 6-10-0 3-5-0 3-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-13-1 0-7-1 2-6

Players to Watch


  • Matt Ryan has thrown for 3,057 yards, 14 touchdowns and 13 interceptions this year. He averages 254.8 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt, while completing 67.0% of his attempts.
  • He has added 70 rushing yards (5.8 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
  • Michael Pittman Jr. has caught 96 passes (ninth in the NFL) on 136 targets for 895 total yards and three touchdowns. He is averaging 6.4 catches and 59.7 yards per game in 15 games.
  • In the passing game, Parris Campbell, has racked up 581 receiving yards and three touchdowns after hauling in 57 balls on 83 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 36.3 yards and 3.6 receptions through 16 games.
  • Alec Pierce has 38 receptions for 551 yards and two touchdowns. He’s been targeted 73 times in the passing game, and averages 2.5 receptions and 36.7 yards through 15 games played.
  • Over on the defensive side, Zaire Franklin has 158 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 2.0 sacks in 2022. His tackle total leads the Colts and is fourth in the NFL.
  • Bobby Okereke has 144 tackles and 6.0 TFL so far this season. His tackle total .
  • DeForest Buckner has collected 70 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and 8.0 sacks this year. He’s fourth on the Colts in tackles.
  • This season, Rodney McLeod has 84 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and one interception. He’s third on the Colts in tackles.


  • Davis Mills is averaging 6.4 passing yards per attempt (29th in the NFL) and 201.4 yards per game this year, completing 61.2% of his passes on the way to 2,820 total yards, 14 touchdowns and 13 interceptions through 14 games.
  • Mills has also rushed for two touchdowns and 102 yards (second on the Texans).
  • Brandin Cooks has 52 catches for 593 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 87 times and averages 4.3 receptions per game through 12 games played.
  • Through 15 games played this season, Chris Moore has 46 catches (3.1 receptions per game on 4.6 targets per game) for 526 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
  • Jordan Akins has 33 catches for 425 yards and three receiving touchdowns. He averages 2.4 yards per game in 14 games and has been targeted 46 times.
  • So far in 2022, Jalen Pitre has 140 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and five interceptions through 16 games.
  • Christian Kirksey has 3.0 sacks in addition to his 6.0 TFL, 118 tackles, and one interception over 16 games.
  • Jonathan Owens has 117 tackles and 1.0 sack in the 2022 season. He is third on the Texans in tackles.
  • Desmond King II’s season stats include 81 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and two interceptions in 16 games. He is fourth on the Texans in tackles.

Colts vs. Texans Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Colts, and we predict that Colts will cover the spread (Colts -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 37.5 points.

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How to Bet on Colts vs. Texans

You can bet on Colts vs. Texans at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Colts vs. Texans picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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