Steelers vs Browns Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 2 – September 18, 2023

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An AFC North clash between the Cleveland Browns (1-0) and Pittsburgh Steelers (0-1) is scheduled for Monday, September 18, 2023 at Acrisure Stadium.

Browns vs. Steelers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing the Browns as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Browns have -130 odds to pick up the win, while the Steelers are listed at +110 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 39 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Browns vs. Steelers Live?

  • Game Day: Monday, September 18, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Acrisure Stadium

Betting Preview

Browns

The Browns’ average points scored last season (21.2) and the Steelers’ average points allowed (20.4) were within 0.8 points. The Browns were 6-3 overall and 7-2 against the spread when they scored more than 20.4 points last year.

The Steelers’ defense surrendered 330.4 yards per game last year, just 18.7 yards fewer than the 349.1 the Browns’ offense averaged. The Browns picked up 5.3 yards per play, while the Steelers allowed 5.5.

When the Browns offense put together a game with more than the Steelers’ average yardage allowed (330.4) last year, they were 4-6 overall and 6-4 against the spread.

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Steelers

The Steelers averaged 4.3 fewer points per game last season (18.1) than the Browns conceded (22.4). When they exceeded what the Browns gave up last year (22.4 points per game), the Steelers were 4-1 overall and 4-1 against the spread. The average number of yards the Steelers’ offense put up and the Browns’ defense gave up last season was within 8.6 yards (322.6 compared to 331.2). The Steelers averaged 4.9 yards per play, while the Browns gave up 5.4.

In contests when the Steelers offense accumulated more than the Browns’ average yard allowance last year (331.2), the team was 6-2 against the spread and 5-3 overall.

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Browns vs. Steelers Injury Report

Browns

Player Pos. Injury Status
Jack Conklin OT Knee Out
Amari Cooper WR Groin Questionable
Siaki Ika DT Foot Questionable

Steelers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Anthony McFarland Jr. RB Knee Out
Diontae Johnson WR Hamstring Out
Cameron Heyward DT Groin Out
Josiah Scott CB Undisclosed Out

Browns vs. Steelers Betting Analysis

Browns Betting Insights

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The Browns’ record against the spread last year was 9-8-0. Against the spread, as 2-point favorites or more, the Browns went 3-3 last year.

In 17 Browns games last year, eight hit the over.

Steelers Betting Insights

Against the spread, the Steelers were 10-6-1 last season. The Steelers had an ATS record of 5-4-1 as underdogs of 2 points or more last season.

Pittsburgh won five, or 45.5%, of the 11 games it played as underdogs last season. Pittsburgh was 4-6 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +110 or more on the moneyline. In 17 Steelers games last season, seven of them went over the total.

Last season, the Steelers won five out of the 11 games, or 45.5%, in which they were the underdog. Last season, the Steelers won four of their 10 games, or 40%, when they were the underdog by at least +110 on the moneyline.

Browns vs. Steelers Against The Spread & Betting Records

Browns

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.3 40.6 45.7
Implied Team Total AVG 23.6 22.1 25
ATS Record 9-8-0 5-3-0 4-5-0
Over/Under Record 8-8-1 4-3-1 4-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-4 2-3 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-6 2-1 2-5

Steelers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 40.6 40.1 41.1
Implied Team Total AVG 22.6 21.9 23.3
ATS Record 10-6-1 4-3-1 6-3-0
Over/Under Record 7-10-0 3-5-0 4-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 3-2 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-6 1-2 4-4

Players to Watch

Browns

  • Nick Chubb rushed for 12 touchdowns last year, and accumulated 1,525 total rushing yards (89.7 per game and 5 per attempt).
  • On top of his rushing statistics, Chubb caught 27 passes (on 37 targets) for 239 yards, with one receiving touchdown. He averaged 14.1 yards per game.
  • Amari Cooper had 78 catches for 1,160 yards and nine receiving touchdowns (sixth in the NFL). He was targeted 132 times and averaged 4.6 receptions per game over 17 games played.
  • Last season, Donovan Peoples-Jones caught 61 passes for 839 receiving yards with three touchdowns through the air. He was targeted 96 total times and averaged 3.6 receptions per game over 17 games played.
  • Deshaun Watson had 1,102 passing yards, seven touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage was 58.2% and he averaged 183.7 yards per game and 6.5 per attempt.
  • He tacked on 175 rushing yards, while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 29.2 yards per game and 4.9 per carry).
  • Myles Garrett put up 16 sacks to go with 18 TFL and 60 tackles over 16 games in 2022.
  • Za’Darius Smith had 44 tackles, 15 TFL, and 10 sacks for the Vikings.
  • Grant Delpit had 101 tackles, four TFL, and four interceptions in the 2022 season.
  • Rodney McLeod’s stat sheet for the Colts included two interceptions as well as 92 tackles, eight TFL, and eight passes defended in 17 games

Steelers

  • Last season Najee Harris ran for 1,034 yards (60.8 yards per carry) and seven rushing touchdowns.
  • Harris made an impact in the receiving game too, reeling in 41 balls on 53 targets for 229 yards and three touchdowns.
  • In 13 games, Kenny Pickett passed for 2,404 yards (184.9 yards per game) to go along with seven touchdowns, nine interceptions, and a completion percentage of 63%.
  • When he wasn’t moving the ball through the air, Pickett ran for 237 yards (18.2 yards per game) and three touchdowns.
  • Last season George Pickens grabbed 52 balls on 84 targets for 801 yards and four touchdowns.
  • Pat Freiermuth received 98 targets last season and turned them into 63 catches (3.9 per game) for 732 yards and two TDs.
  • Alex Highsmith was on the field for 17 games, posting 14.5 sacks to go with 12 TFL and 63 tackles.
  • Elandon Roberts was on the field for 17 games for the Dolphins last season, registering 104 tackles, 10 TFL, and 4.5 sacks.
  • With 96 tackles, one TFL, and six interceptions, Minkah Fitzpatrick was a big player last season on defense.
  • Desmond King II was a significant contributor on D last year for the Texans, with two interceptions to go with 88 tackles, 10 TFL, and eight passes defended.

Browns vs. Steelers Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Steelers, and we project that Steelers will cover the spread (Browns -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 39 points.

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How to Bet on Browns vs. Steelers

You can bet this Browns vs. Steelers pick at every legal online sportsbook

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