Patriots vs Raiders Prediction: Week 15 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – December 18, 2022

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The Las Vegas Raiders (5-8) stay home at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, December 18, 2022 to challenge the New England Patriots (7-6).

Patriots vs. Raiders Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing the Patriots as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Patriots have -110 odds to pick up the win, while the Raiders are listed at -110 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 44.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Patriots vs. Raiders Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • Stadium: Allegiant Stadium

Betting Preview

Patriots

The Patriots are totaling 319.6 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 24th in the NFL. On defense, they rank sixth, surrendering 312.6 yards per contest. On defense, the Patriots have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best by surrendering just 18.4 points per game. They rank 18th on offense (21.2 points per game).

The Patriots are compiling 214.8 passing yards per game on offense (21st in the NFL), and they rank ninth on defense with 201.3 passing yards allowed per game. The Patriots rank 23rd in run offense (104.8 rushing yards per game) and 12th in run defense (111.3 rushing yards allowed per game) this season.

The Patriots are averaging a 35.6% third-down conversion rate on offense (26th in the NFL), and they rank 16th defensively with a 39.5% third-down percentage allowed. The Patriots are putting up 5.4 yards per play on offense (18th in the league), while featuring the fifth-best yards per play on defense in the NFL (4.9) this season. The Patriots own the eighth-ranked turnover margin in the league at +3, forcing 21 turnovers (fifth in NFL) while turning it over 18 times (23rd in NFL).

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Raiders

In terms of total yards, the Raiders rank eighth in the NFL (361.9 total yards per game) and 24th on the other side of the ball (365.0 total yards allowed per contest). With 23.7 points per game on offense, the Raiders rank 11th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 24th, surrendering 24.1 points per contest.

The Raiders’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in pass defense this season, ceding 254.5 passing yards per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank 12th with 233.5 passing yards per contest. From an offensive angle, the Raiders are generating 128.5 rushing yards per game (10th-ranked). They rank ninth in the NFL defensively (110.5 rushing yards given up per game).

From an offensive perspective, the Raiders are putting up a 38.5% third-down conversion percentage (19th-ranked). They rank 26th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (43.2% third-down rate allowed). The Raiders’ offense has been thriving in terms of yards per play, posting 5.9 (fifth-best) this season. Defensively, they rank 20th by giving up 5.7 yards per play. At -3, the Raiders own the 24th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with 10 forced turnovers (31st in NFL) and 13 turnovers committed (second in NFL).

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Patriots vs. Raiders Injury Report

Patriots

Player Pos. Injury Status
Rhamondre Stevenson RB Ankle Questionable
Damien Harris RB Thigh Questionable
Jakobi Meyers WR Head Questionable
DeVante Parker WR Head Questionable
Joe Cardona LS Ankle Questionable
Jalen Mills CB Groin Questionable
Jack Jones DB Knee Questionable

Raiders

Player Pos. Injury Status
Josh Jacobs RB Finger Questionable
Darren Waller TE Hamstring Questionable
Hunter Renfrow WR Oblique Questionable
Rock Ya-Sin CB Knee Questionable
Jayon Brown LB Hand Out
Dylan Parham OG Knee Questionable
Sam Webb CB Illness Questionable
Andrew Billings DT Lower leg Questionable
Denzel Perryman LB Hip Questionable

Patriots vs. Raiders Betting Analysis

Patriots Betting Insights

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The Patriots are 7-5-1 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 1-point favorites or more, the Patriots have an ATS record of 5-1-1.

This season, Patriots games have hit the over five times. The Patriots won eight of the 12 games they were the moneyline favorite last season (66.7%).

When they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -110 or shorter, the Patriots had an 8-4 record (winning 66.7% of their games).

Raiders Betting Insights

The Raiders have covered the spread in a game six times this season (6-7-0). The Raiders have an ATS record of 3-1 when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.

This season, Raiders games have hit the over six times. The Raiders have been underdogs in four games this season and won two (50%) of those contests.

The Raiders have a record of 2-2 when they’re set as an underdog of -110 or more by oddsmakers this season.

Patriots vs. Raiders Against The Spread & Betting Records

Patriots

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.3 42.4 42.1
Implied Total AVG 23.2 23.3 23.1
ATS Record 7-5-1 3-3-0 4-2-1
Over/Under Record 5-8-0 2-4-0 3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-1 3-1 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-5 0-2 1-3

Raiders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.0 47.0 47.1
Implied Total AVG 25.5 25.8 25.4
ATS Record 6-7-0 3-2-0 3-5-0
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 3-2-0 3-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-6 3-2 0-4
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 0-0 2-2

Players to Watch

Patriots

  • Mac Jones has 2,198 passing yards through 10 games this year, averaging 219.8 per game with a 68.2% completion percentage and seven touchdowns against eight interceptions.
  • In addition to his passing statistics, Jones has 87 rushing yards (third on the Patriots), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Hunter Henry‘s 406 receiving yards this season have come from 42 targets and 28 receptions. He’s averaging 31.2 receiving yards and 2.2 catches per game, with two receiving touchdowns.
  • In 12 games played, Nelson Agholor is averaging 29.9 yards and 2.5 receptions per game to total 359 receiving yards and 30 catches. He’s been targeted 45 times, and has two receiving touchdowns.
  • Bailey Zappe has 781 passing yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He has completed 70.7% of his passes, averaging 195.3 yards per game and 8.5 per attempt.
  • On defense, Matthew Judon has 14.5 sacks (first in the NFL) to go with 11.0 TFL and 48 tackles in 2022.
  • Deatrich Wise has 6.5 sacks (third on the Patriots) in addition to his 6.0 TFL and 47 tackles.
  • This season, Ja’Whaun Bentley has put up 2.0 sacks (fourth on the Patriots) to go along with his 2.0 TFL, 83 tackles, and one interception.
  • Josh Uche has 24 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 10.0 sacks.

Raiders

  • So far this year, Davante Adams has 82 receptions (fifth in the NFL) for 1,247 yards (third in the NFL) with 12 receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL). He has been targeted 142 times and averages 6.3 catches per game in 13 games played.
  • Derek Carr has 3,117 passing yards, 20 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and 10 interceptions. His completion percentage is 62.0% and he averages 239.8 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
  • Mack Hollins has put up 588 receiving yards and three touchdowns on 47 receptions, while being targeted 76 times on the season.
  • Foster Moreau has 25 catches for 316 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averages 2.3 yards per game through 11 games and has been targeted 46 times.
  • Maxx Crosby’s 2022 output includes 73 tackles, 15.0 TFL, and 11.5 sacks in 13 games. He leads the Raiders in tackles.
  • Duron Harmon has 59 tackles and two interceptions. He is fourth on the Raiders in tackles.
  • Nate Hobbs has 1.0 sack (fourth on the Raiders) in addition to his 1.0 TFL and 53 tackles.
  • Chandler Jones’ season stats include 33 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in 13 games.

Patriots vs. Raiders Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this game is the Patriots, and we project that Patriots will cover the spread (Patriots -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 44.5 points.

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How to Bet on Patriots vs. Raiders

You can bet on Patriots vs. Raiders at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Patriots vs. Raiders picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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