Panthers vs Falcons Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 1 – September 10, 2023

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A pair of NFC South foes clash on Sunday, September 10, 2023 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium when the Atlanta Falcons (0-0) and the Carolina Panthers (0-0) meet.

Falcons vs. Panthers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Falcons as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Falcons have -180 odds to pick up the win, while the Panthers are listed at +150 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 39.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Falcons vs. Panthers Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Betting Preview

Falcons

The Falcons put roughly the same amount of points on the board per game last year (21.5) as the Panthers allowed (22). The Falcons were 12-4 overall and 14-2 against the spread when they scored more than 22 points last season.

The Falcons’ offense racked up 31.6 fewer yards per game than the Panthers’ defense allowed last season (318.6 to 350.2). The Falcons earned 5.4 yards per play, while the Panthers allowed 5.4.

In contests where the Falcons offense accumulated more than the Panthers’ average yard allowance last season (350.2), they were 6-2 against the spread and 6-2 overall.

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Panthers

The Panthers’ average points scored last year (20.4) and the Falcons’ average points allowed (22.7) were within 2.3 points. When they went over what the Falcons gave up last year (22.7 points per game), the Panthers were 8-6 overall and 10-4 against the spread. The Falcons’ defense gave up 362.1 yards per game last year, 55.9 more than the 306.2 the Panthers’ offense accumulated. The Panthers gained 5.3 yards per play and the Falcons conceded 5.7.

In contests when the Panthers offense accumulated more than the Falcons’ average yard allowance last season (362.1), the team was 4-2 against the spread and 2-4 overall.

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Falcons vs. Panthers Injury Report

Falcons

Player Pos. Injury Status
Cordarrelle Patterson RB Thigh Questionable
Khadarel Hodge WR Ankle Questionable
Penny Hart WR Concussion Out
Jeff Okudah CB Ankle Out

Panthers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Adam Thielen WR Ankle Questionable
Marquis Haynes OLB Back Out
D.J. Chark WR Hamstring Out
Stephen Sullivan TE Hip Out
Henry Anderson DE Foot Out

Falcons vs. Panthers Betting Analysis

Falcons Betting Insights

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The Falcons beat the spread nine times in 17 games last season. The Falcons won once ATS (1-2) as a 3.5-point favorite or more last season.

The Falcons had seven of its 17 games hit the over last year.

Panthers Betting Insights

Panthers posted a 9-8-0 record against the spread last season. The Panthers went 5-4 as underdogs of 3.5 points or greater last season.

Carolina was an underdog in 13 games last season and won seven (53.8%) of those contests. Last season, Carolina won three of its nine games, or 33.3%, when it was the underdog by at least +150 on the moneyline. The Panthers had eight of their 17 games go over the point total last year.

The Panthers were underdogs 13 times last season and won seven, or 53.8%, of those games. The Panthers were 3-6 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +150 or more on the moneyline.

Falcons vs. Panthers Against The Spread & Betting Records

Falcons

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.9 44.7 43.1
Implied Team Total AVG 24.2 23.9 24.5
ATS Record 9-8-0 5-4-0 4-4-0
Over/Under Record 7-10-0 4-5-0 3-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 4-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-9 2-3 1-6

Panthers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 41.2 40.5 42
Implied Team Total AVG 22.9 21.9 24
ATS Record 9-8-0 5-4-0 4-4-0
Over/Under Record 8-9-0 4-5-0 4-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-4 0-3 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 7-6 5-1 2-5

Players to Watch

Falcons

  • Tyler Allgeier rushed for three touchdowns last year, and had 1,035 total rushing yards (64.7 per game and 4.9 per attempt).
  • Allgeier’s contributions include 16 receptions (one per game) on 17 targets for 139 yards (8.7 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson scored eight rushing touchdowns, while totaling 695 rushing yards (4.8 per attempt and 53.5 per game).
  • For the Commanders last season, Taylor Heinicke passed for 1,859 yards last year, 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. He completed 62.2% of his attempts while averaging 206.6 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
  • He added 96 yards on the ground, with one rushing touchdown. He averaged 10.7 yards per game and 3.4 per attempt.
  • Drake London had 866 receiving yards and four touchdowns from 72 receptions on 117 targets.
  • Richie Grant’s 2022 output included 122 tackles, three TFL, and two interceptions in 17 games.
  • Kaden Elliss had 74 tackles, seven TFL, and seven sacks for the Saints.
  • During the 2022 season, Grady Jarrett had 61 tackles, 12 TFL, and six sacks in 17 games.
  • Lorenzo Carter totaled four sacks as well as six TFL, 58 tackles, and one interception.

Panthers

  • In 17 games with the Eagles last year, Miles Sanders tallied 1,269 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns while averaging 4.9 yards per carry.
  • Andy Dalton played 14 games last season with the Saints, and totaled 2,871 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, nine interceptions and a 66.7% completion percentage.
  • In 17 games with the Vikings last year, Adam Thielen converted 107 targets into 70 receptions, 716 yards and six touchdowns.
  • Chuba Hubbard rushed for 466 yards (4.9 yards per carry) and two touchdowns in the running attack.
  • Hubbard had 14 receptions (0.9 per game) for 171 yards (11.4 per game) and zero touchdowns.
  • Last year Frankie Luvu compiled 111 tackles, 19 TFL, seven sacks, and one interception in 15 games.
  • Brian Burns was on the field for 16 games, registering 63 tackles, 17 TFL, 12.5 sacks, and three passes defended.
  • Shaq Thompson posted 135 tackles, eight TFL, 0.5 sacks, and four passes defended in 17 games.
  • Vonn Bell was an important contributor on D last season for the Bengals, with four interceptions to go with 77 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and eight passes defended.

Falcons vs. Panthers Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Falcons, and we expect that Panthers will cover the spread (Falcons -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 39.5 points.

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How to Bet on Falcons vs. Panthers

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