Lions vs Chiefs Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 1 – September 7, 2023

Betsperts Media & Technology

On Thursday, September 7, 2023, the Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) and the Detroit Lions (0-0) do battle at Arrowhead Stadium.

Chiefs vs. Lions Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Chiefs as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Chiefs have -285 odds to pick up the win, while the Lions are listed at +230 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 54 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Chiefs vs. Lions Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, September 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBC
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium

Betting Preview

Chiefs

The Chiefs, on average, scored 4.1 more points per game last year (29.2) than the Lions allowed (25.1). The Chiefs were 12-0 overall and 5-6-1 against the spread when they scored over 25.1 points last year.

The Chiefs’ offense held a 21.2-yard advantage in yards gained per game versus yards allowed by the Lions’ defense last season (413.6 to 392.4). The Chiefs averaged 6.4 yards per play, while the Lions gave up 6.2.

The Chiefs’ record last year when they racked up more than the Lions’ season average in total yards allowed (392.4): 9-0 overall, 4-4-1 ATS.

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Lions

The Lions put an average of 26.6 points on the board last year, 4.9 more than the 21.7 the Chiefs allowed. In games when the Lions scored more than 21.7 points last year, they were 6-6 overall and 9-2-1 against the spread. The Lions’ offense held a 51.8-yard advantage in yards gained per game versus yards conceded by the Chiefs’ defense last year (380.0 to 328.2). The Lions averaged 5.9 yards per play, while the Chiefs surrendered 5.1.

The Lions’ record last year when they racked up more than the Chiefs’ season average in total yards conceded (328.2): 5-5 overall, 7-2-1 ATS.

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Chiefs vs. Lions Injury Report

Chiefs

Player Pos. Injury Status
L’Jarius Sneed CB Knee Questionable
Leo Chenal LB Hip Questionable
Nic Jones DB Finger Questionable
Nikko Remigio WR Wrist Out
Cam Jones LB Concussion Questionable

Lions

Player Pos. Injury Status
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR Ankle Questionable
Julian Okwara LB Arm Out
Nate Sudfeld QB Knee Out

Chiefs vs. Lions Betting Analysis

Chiefs Betting Insights

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Against the spread, the Chiefs were 6-10-1 last year. Against the spread, as 6.5-point favorites or more, the Chiefs went 3-6-1 last year.

The Chiefs had eight of its 17 games go over the point total last year.

Lions Betting Insights

Against the spread, the Lions were 12-4-1 last season. The Lions had two wins ATS (2-1) as a 6.5-point underdog or more last season.

Last season, Detroit won six out of the 12 games, or 50%, in which it was the underdog. Last season, Detroit was at least a +230 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests. Last season, 10 of the Lions’ 17 games went over the point total.

The Lions were underdogs 12 times last season and won six, or 50%, of those games. Last season, the Lions were at least a +230 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.

Chiefs vs. Lions Against The Spread & Betting Records

Chiefs

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.6 49.1 50.1
Implied Team Total AVG 28.6 29.3 28.1
ATS Record 6-10-1 2-5-1 4-5-0
Over/Under Record 8-9-0 2-6-0 6-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 13-2 7-0 6-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-1 1-0

Lions

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.1 50.7 47.2
Implied Team Total AVG 26.5 27.3 25.6
ATS Record 12-4-1 7-1-1 5-3-0
Over/Under Record 10-7-0 6-3-0 4-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-2 3-1 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 6-6 2-3 4-3

Players to Watch

Chiefs

  • Patrick Mahomes II passed for 5,250 yards last year (to rank first in the NFL), with 41 touchdowns (first in the NFL) and 12 interceptions. He completed 67.1% of his passes while averaging 308.8 yards per game and 8.1 per attempt.
  • On the ground, Mahomes added four rushing touchdowns and 358 rushing yards.
  • Travis Kelce put together a 2022 campaign that included 110 catches (third in the NFL) for 1,338 yards (eighth in the NFL) and 12 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL) over 17 games played. He was on the receiving end of 152 targets and averaged 6.5 receptions per game.
  • Jerick McKinnon averaged 17.1 rushing yards per game last season (291 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
  • McKinnon’s offensive output included 56 receptions (3.3 per game) on 71 targets for 512 yards (30.1 per game) and nine receiving touchdowns.
  • Isiah Pacheco scored five touchdowns on the ground, while running for 830 total yards (4.9 per attempt and 48.8 per game).
  • Nick Bolton’s 2022 output included 180 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and two interceptions in 17 games.
  • Drue Tranquill registered 5.5 sacks in addition to his 10.0 TFL, 145 tackles, and one interception over 17 games with the Chargers.
  • L’Jarius Sneed recorded 3.5 sacks as well as 5.0 TFL, 108 tackles, and three interceptions in the 2022 season.
  • Willie Gay Jr. totaled 2.5 sacks as well as 8.0 TFL, 88 tackles, and one interception.

Lions

  • To go along with his 4,438 passing yards and 65.1% completion percentage last year, Jared Goff tallied 29 touchdowns against seven interceptions.
  • In 16 games, Amon-Ra St. Brown was targeted 146 times, leading to 106 receptions, 1,161 yards and six touchdowns.
  • David Montgomery racked up 801 rushing yards (50.1 yards per game) and five touchdowns with the Bears last year, averaging 4.0 yards per carry.
  • Montgomery delivered 316 yards and one touchdown on 34 grabs as a pass-catcher.
  • Marvin Jones Jr. got 81 targets last year with the Jaguars, and converted them into 46 receptions (2.9 per game) for 529 yards and three TDs.
  • Last year Alex Anzalone posted 125 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in 17 games.
  • Aidan Hutchinson was on the field for 17 games, registering three interceptions to go along with 52 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 9.5 sacks, and three passes defended.
  • In 12 games for the Eagles last season, Chauncey Gardner-Johnson delivered 67 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and six interceptions.
  • A big contributor on defense, Kerby Joseph had four interceptions to go with 75 tackles and eight passes defended.

Chiefs vs. Lions Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is the Chiefs, and we expect that Chiefs will cover the spread (Chiefs -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 54 points.

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How to Bet on Chiefs vs. Lions

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