Bills vs Jets Prediction: Week 14 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – December 11, 2022

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The Buffalo Bills (9-3), who have found victory in three consecutive games, enter into a contest against the New York Jets (7-5) on Sunday, December 11, 2022 at Highmark Stadium.

Bills vs. Jets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Bills as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Bills have -410 odds to pick up the win, while the Jets are listed at +330 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 43.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Bills vs. Jets Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Orchard Park, New York
  • Stadium: Highmark Stadium

Betting Preview

Bills

Offensively, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best in the NFL by compiling 410.8 yards per game. They rank 10th on defense (320.2 yards allowed per game). The Bills have been finding success on both offense and defense, ranking third-best in scoring offense (27.8 points per game) and fourth-best in scoring defense (17.4 points allowed per game).

The Bills rank 17th in pass defense this year (218.3 passing yards allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 274.5 passing yards per game. The Bills rank eighth in rushing yards this season (136.3 rushing yards per game), but they’ve been shining on defense, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 101.8 rushing yards allowed per game.

The Bills sport the 14th-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (38.8% third-down percentage allowed), and they’ve been better offensively, ranking best with a 51.7% third-down conversion rate. The Bills rank 10th in yards per play allowed this year (5.2), but they’ve been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 6.2 yards per play. With 20 forced turnovers (fourth in NFL) against 20 turnovers committed (29th in NFL), the Bills’ even turnover margin ranks 17th in the league.

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Jets

The Jets’ defense has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank fourth-best in the NFL with 307.0 total yards allowed per contest. In terms of offense, they are accumulating 339.0 total yards per game, which ranks 18th. From an offensive angle, the Jets are putting up 21.0 points per game (18th-ranked). They rank sixth in the NFL on defense (18.6 points surrendered per game).

With 223.9 passing yards per game on offense, the Jets rank 15th in the NFL. On defense, they rank sixth, allowing 194.3 passing yards per game. The Jets are compiling 115.1 rushing yards per game on offense this season (20th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 112.7 rushing yards per contest (12th-ranked) on defense.

The Jets’ third-down offense has been a bottom-five unit this season, generating a 32.9% third-down percentage, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL. On defense, they rank 21st with a 40.7% third-down rate ceded. The Jets have been thriving on defense in terms of yards per play, giving up just 4.8 (second-best). Offensively, they rank 19th in the NFL by compiling 5.3 yards per play. The Jets own a 0 turnover margin this season, which ranks 17th in the NFL.

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Bills vs. Jets Injury Report

Bills

Player Pos. Injury Status
Jordan Phillips DT Shoulder Questionable
Dion Dawkins OT Ankle Questionable

Jets

Player Pos. Injury Status
Michael Carter RB Ankle Questionable
Michael Carter II CB Ankle Questionable

Bills vs. Jets Betting Analysis

Bills Betting Insights

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The Bills have covered the spread six times over 12 games with a set spread. The Bills are 2-3 ATS when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites.

Bills games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this season. The Bills won 64.3% of the games last season when they were the moneyline favorite (9-5).

The Bills had a 6-1 record last year (winning 85.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -410 or shorter.

Jets Betting Insights

The Jets have registered a 7-5-0 record against the spread this year. In games they have played as 9.5-point underdogs or more, the Jets have a perfect ATS record of 1-0.

Jets games have gone over the total five times this season. This season, the Jets have been the underdog 10 times and won five of those games.

The Jets have played as an underdog of +330 or more once this season and won that game.

Bills vs. Jets Against The Spread & Betting Records

Bills

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.4 47.4 50.8
Implied Total AVG 28.3 28.8 27.9
ATS Record 6-6-0 3-2-0 3-4-0
Over/Under Record 3-9-0 3-2-0 0-7-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-3 4-1 5-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Jets

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 41.8 43.0 40.5
Implied Total AVG 23.6 24.7 22.5
ATS Record 7-5-0 3-3-0 4-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 2-4-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 5-5 2-3 3-2

Players to Watch

Bills

  • Josh Allen has passed for 3,406 yards (third in the NFL), 25 touchdowns (second in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He averages 283.8 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt, while completing 64.1% of his attempts.
  • In addition to his passing stats, Allen has 581 rushing yards (second on the Bills), with five rushing touchdowns.
  • Stefon Diggs‘ 1,202 receiving yards this season (third in the NFL) have come from 127 targets and 91 receptions (second in the NFL). He’s averaging 100.2 receiving yards and 7.6 catches per game, with 10 receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL).
  • Devin Singletary has 603 rushing yards with four touchdowns (50.3 yards per game across 12 games).
  • Singletary has recorded 31 receptions, 226 yards and one TD through the air.
  • Gabriel Davis averages 3.2 receptions and 60.5 yards per game, and has 665 total receiving yards and 35 catches. He’s gotten 66 total targets, and has caught six touchdown passes (ninth in the NFL).
  • On the defensive side for the Bills, Matt Milano has racked up 67 tackles, 11.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and two interceptions in 2022.
  • Damar Hamlin has 1.5 sacks (fifth on the Bills) as well as 4.0 TFL and 74 tackles.
  • Tremaine Edmunds has totaled 72 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and four passes defended.
  • This season, Taron Johnson has 67 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one interception. He’s third on the Bills in tackles.

Jets

  • Garrett Wilson has totaled 790 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 57 receptions, while being targeted 94 times this season.
  • James Robinson averages 38.6 rushing yards per game through 11 games (425 total yards), while scoring three rushing touchdowns.
  • Robinson has added 11 receptions (1.0 per game) for 51 yards (4.6 per game) with two receiving touchdowns. He’s been targeted 14 times in the passing attack.
  • In seven games this season, Zach Wilson has amassed 1,279 passing yards, with four touchdowns against five interceptions and completing 55.6% of his passes.
  • He’s added 94 yards on the ground (sixth on the Jets), with one rushing touchdown. He’s averaging 13.4 yards per game and 3.9 per attempt.
  • Tyler Conklin has 40 catches for 388 yards and three receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.3 yards per game through 12 games and has been targeted 63 times.
  • In 2022, C.J. Mosley has put up 117 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and one interception over 12 games.
  • Quinnen Williams has 44 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 9.0 sacks.
  • Jordan Whitehead has 68 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two interceptions in the 2022 season. He is second on the Jets in tackles.
  • D.J. Reed Jr. has 1.0 TFL, 59 tackles, and one interception over 12 games.

Bills vs. Jets Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is the Bills, and we expect that Bills will cover the spread (Bills -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 43.5 points.

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How to Bet on Bills vs. Jets

You can bet on Bills vs. Jets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Bills vs. Jets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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